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a. Under the same conditions as those leading to the interval\({\rm{(7}}{\rm{.5),p((}}\overline {\rm{X}} {\rm{ - \mu )/(\sigma /}}\sqrt {\rm{n}} {\rm{) < 1}}{\rm{.645 = }}{\rm{.95}}{\rm{.}}\)Use this to derive a one-sided interval for\({\rm{\mu }}\)that has infinite width and provides a lower confidence bound on m. What is this interval for the data in Exercise 5(a)?

b. Generalize the result of part (a) to obtain a lower bound with confidence level\({\rm{100(1 - \alpha )\% }}\)

c. What is an analogous interval to that of part (b) that provides an upper bound on\({\rm{\mu }}\)? Compute this 99% interval for the data of Exercise 4(a).

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. Interval for the data \(\left( {\bar x - 1.645 \cdot \frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}, + \infty } \right);(4.5741, + \infty );\)

b. The required result is\(\left( {\bar x - {{\rm{z}}_{\rm{\alpha }}}{\rm{ \times }}\frac{{\rm{\sigma }}}{{\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}{\rm{,}} + \infty } \right) \cdot \)

c. A software can also be used to calculate the probability\(\left( { - \infty ,\bar x + {z_\alpha } \cdot \frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}} \right);( - \infty ,59.7)\).

Step by step solution

01

Concept Introduction

"A (p, 1) tolerance interval (TI) based on a sample is designed in such a way that it includes at least a proportion p of the sampled population with confidence 1; such a TI is sometimes referred to as p-content (1) coverage TI."

02

Step 2:What is this interval for the data in Exercise

(a)

Consider the given,

\({\rm{P}}\left( {\frac{{{\rm{\bar X - \mu }}}}{{{\rm{\sigma /}}\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}{\rm{ < 1}}{\rm{.645}}} \right){\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.95}}\)

\({\rm{\mu }}\)has a one-sided interval that can be calculated as

\(\begin{array}{l}\frac{{{\rm{\bar x - \mu }}}}{{{\rm{\sigma /}}\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}{\rm{ < 1}}{\rm{.645}}\\{\rm{\bar x - \mu < 1}}{\rm{.645 \times }}\frac{{\rm{\sigma }}}{{\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}\\{\rm{\mu > \bar x - 1}}{\rm{.645 \times }}\frac{{\rm{\sigma }}}{{\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}\end{array}\)

or equally

\(\left( {{\rm{\bar x - 1}}{\rm{.645 \times }}\frac{{\rm{\sigma }}}{{\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}{\rm{,}} + \infty } \right)\)

From the exercise\({\rm{5,(a)}}\), for \({\rm{\bar x = 4}}{\rm{.85,\sigma = 0}}{\rm{.75,n = 20}}\), the one-sided interval is

\(\begin{array}{c}\left( {\bar x - 1.645 \cdot \frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}, + \infty } \right) = \left( {4.85 - 1.645 \cdot \frac{{0.75}}{{\sqrt {20} }}, + \infty } \right)\\ = (4.5741, + \infty ).\end{array}\)

Thus, Interval for the data \(\left( {\bar x - 1.645 \cdot \frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}, + \infty } \right);(4.5741, + \infty );\)

03

Explanation of the solution

(b)

Generally, from

\({\rm{P}}\left( {\frac{{{\rm{\bar X - \mu }}}}{{{\rm{\sigma /}}\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}{\rm{ < }}{{\rm{z}}_{\rm{\alpha }}}} \right){\rm{ = 1 - \alpha }}\)

For \({\rm{\mu }}\), an universal one-sided confidence interval with a confidence level of \({\rm{100(1 - \alpha )\% }}\) percent can be calculated as follows:

\(\begin{array}{c}\frac{{{\rm{\bar x - \mu }}}}{{{\rm{\sigma /}}\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}{\rm{ < }}{{\rm{z}}_{\rm{\alpha }}}\\{\rm{\bar x - \mu < }}{{\rm{z}}_{\rm{\alpha }}}{\rm{ \times }}\frac{{\rm{\sigma }}}{{\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}\\{\rm{\mu > \bar x - }}{{\rm{z}}_{\rm{\alpha }}}{\rm{ \times }}\frac{{\rm{\sigma }}}{{\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}\end{array}\)

or equally

Thus, the result is \(\left( {\bar x - {{\rm{z}}_{\rm{\alpha }}}{\rm{ \times }}\frac{{\rm{\sigma }}}{{\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}{\rm{,}} + \infty } \right) \cdot \)

04

Step 4:Compute this 99% interval for the data

(c)

Consider the formula,

\({\rm{P}}\left( {{{\rm{z}}_{\rm{\alpha }}}{\rm{ < }}\frac{{{\rm{\bar X - \mu }}}}{{{\rm{\sigma /}}\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}} \right){\rm{ = 1 - \alpha }}\)

For\({\rm{\mu }}\), an universal one-sided confidence interval with a confidence level of \({\rm{100(1 - \alpha )\% }}\) percent can be calculated as follows:

\(\begin{array}{l}{{\rm{z}}_{\rm{\alpha }}}{\rm{ < }}\frac{{{\rm{\bar x - \mu }}}}{{{\rm{\sigma /}}\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}\\{{\rm{z}}_{\rm{\alpha }}}{\rm{ \times }}\frac{{\rm{\sigma }}}{{\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}{\rm{ < \bar x - \mu }}\\{\rm{\mu < \bar x + }}{{\rm{z}}_{\rm{\alpha }}}{\rm{ \times }}\frac{{\rm{\sigma }}}{{\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}\end{array}\)

or equally

\(\left( { - \infty ,\bar x + {z_{\rm{\alpha }}}{\rm{ \times }}\frac{{\rm{\sigma }}}{{\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}} \right)\)

From the exercise\({\rm{4,(a)}}\), for \({\rm{\bar x = 58}}{\rm{.3,\sigma = 3,n = 25}}\), the one-sided interval is

\(\begin{array}{c}\left( {\bar x - 1.645 \cdot \frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}, + \infty } \right) = \left( { - \infty ,58.3 + 2.33 \cdot \frac{3}{{\sqrt {25} }}} \right)\\ = ( - \infty ,59.7)\end{array}\)

Where

\(\begin{array}{c}{\rm{100(1 - \alpha ) = 95}}\\{\rm{\alpha = 0}}{\rm{.05}}\end{array}\)

and

\({{\rm{z}}_{\rm{\alpha }}}{\rm{ = }}{{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{0}}{\rm{.05}}}}\mathop {\rm{ = }}\limits^{{\rm{(1)}}} {\rm{2}}{\rm{.33}}\)

(1): this is obtained from

\({\rm{P}}\left( {{\rm{Z > }}{{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{0}}{\rm{.05}}}}} \right){\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.05}}\)

and from the appendix's normal probability table

Thus, software can also be used to calculate the probability\(\left( { - \infty ,\bar x + {z_\alpha } \cdot \frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}} \right);( - \infty ,59.7)\)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The following observations are lifetimes (days) subsequent to diagnosis for individuals suffering from blood cancer (鈥淎 Goodness of Fit Approach to the Class of Life Distributions with Unknown Age,鈥 Quality and Reliability Engr. Intl., \({\rm{2012: 761--766):}}\)

\(\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}{{\rm{115 181 255 418 441 461 516 739 743 789 807}}}\\{{\rm{865 924 983 1025 1062 1063 1165 1191 1222 1222 1251}}}\\{{\rm{1277 1290 1357 1369 1408 1455 1478 1519 1578 1578 1599}}}\\{{\rm{1603 1605 1696 1735 1799 1815 1852 1899 1925 1965}}}\end{array}\)

a. Can a confidence interval for true average lifetime be calculated without assuming anything about the nature of the lifetime distribution? Explain your reasoning. (Note: A normal probability plot of the data exhibits a reasonably linear pattern.)

b. Calculate and interpret a confidence interval with a \({\rm{99\% }}\)confidence level for true average lifetime.

Determine the values of the following quantities

\(\begin{array}{l}{\rm{a}}{\rm{.}}{{\rm{x}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{,1,15}}\\{\rm{b}}{\rm{.}}{{\rm{X}}^{\rm{3}}}{\rm{,125}}\\{\rm{c}}{\rm{.}}{{\rm{X}}^{\rm{7}}}{\rm{01,25}}\\{\rm{d}}{\rm{.}}{{\rm{X}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{00525}}\\{\rm{e}}{\rm{.}}{{\rm{X}}^{\rm{7}}}{\rm{9925}}\\{\rm{f}}{\rm{.}}{{\rm{X}}^{\rm{7}}}{\rm{995,25}}\end{array}\)

In Example 6.8, we introduced the concept of a censored experiment in which n components are put on test and the experiment terminates as soon as r of the components have failed. Suppose component lifetimes are independent, each having an exponential distribution with parameter 位. Let Y1 denote the time at which the first failure occurs, Y2 the time at which the second failure occurs, and so on, so that Tr= Y1 + 鈥 + Yr+ (n- r)Yr is the total accumulated lifetime at termination. Then it can be shown that 2位罢r has a chi-squared distribution with 2r df. Use this fact to develop a 100(1 - )% CI formula for true average lifetime \(\frac{{\bf{1}}}{{\bf{\lambda }}}\) . Compute a 95% CI from the data in Example 6.8.

Exercise 72 of Chapter 1 gave the following observations on a receptor binding measure (adjusted distribution volume) for a sample of 13 healthy individuals: 23, 39, 40, 41, 43, 47, 51, 58, 63, 66, 67, 69, 72.

a. Is it plausible that the population distribution from which this sample was selected is normal?

b. Calculate an interval for which you can be 95% confident that at least 95% of all healthy individuals in the population have adjusted distribution volumes lying between the limits of the interval.

c. Predict the adjusted distribution volume of a single healthy individual by calculating a 95% prediction interval. How does this interval鈥檚 width compare to the width of the interval calculated in part (b)?

The article 鈥淢easuring and Understanding the Aging of Kraft Insulating Paper in Power Transformers鈥 contained the following observations on degree of polymerization for paper specimens for which viscosity tim\({\rm{418 421 421 422 425 427 431 434 437 439 446 447 448 453 454 463 465}}\)es concentration fell in a certain middle range:

a. Construct a boxplot of the data and comment on any interesting features.

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c. Calculate a two-sided \({\rm{95\% }}\)confidence interval for true average degree of polymerization (as did the authors of the article). Does the interval suggest that \({\rm{440}}\) is a plausible value for true average degree of polymerization? What about \({\rm{450}}\)?

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