/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Q12E The following observations are l... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91影视

91影视

The following observations are lifetimes (days) subsequent to diagnosis for individuals suffering from blood cancer (鈥淎 Goodness of Fit Approach to the Class of Life Distributions with Unknown Age,鈥 Quality and Reliability Engr. Intl., \({\rm{2012: 761--766):}}\)

\(\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}{{\rm{115 181 255 418 441 461 516 739 743 789 807}}}\\{{\rm{865 924 983 1025 1062 1063 1165 1191 1222 1222 1251}}}\\{{\rm{1277 1290 1357 1369 1408 1455 1478 1519 1578 1578 1599}}}\\{{\rm{1603 1605 1696 1735 1799 1815 1852 1899 1925 1965}}}\end{array}\)

a. Can a confidence interval for true average lifetime be calculated without assuming anything about the nature of the lifetime distribution? Explain your reasoning. (Note: A normal probability plot of the data exhibits a reasonably linear pattern.)

b. Calculate and interpret a confidence interval with a \({\rm{99\% }}\)confidence level for true average lifetime.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a) Confidence interval can be calculated without assuming anything

b) The boundaries of the confidence interval then become:

\(\begin{array}{l}{\rm{\bar x - E = 1191}}{\rm{.6279 - 198}}{\rm{.9474 = 992}}{\rm{.6805}}\\{\rm{\bar x + E = 1191}}{\rm{.6279 + 198}}{\rm{.9474 = 1390}}{\rm{.5753}}\end{array}\)

Step by step solution

01

Step 1: Given by

Given:

\({\rm{n = 43}}\)

\(\begin{array}{l}{\rm{115,181,255,418,441,461,516,739,743,789,807,865,924,983,1025,1062,1063,1}}\\{\rm{165,1191,1222,1222,1251,1277,1290,1357,1369,1408,1455,1478,1519,1578,1578,1599,1603,}}\\{\rm{ 1605,1696,1735,1799,1815,1852,1899,1925,1965}}\end{array}\)

Central limit theorem: If the sample size is large ,then the sampling distribution of the sample mean \({\rm{\bar x}}\)is approximately normal.

The data set contains 43 data values, thus we can use the central limit theorem to determine the shape of the distribution, because we then know that the average lifetime has approximately a normal distribution.

02

To plot Normal probability

The data values are on the horizontal axis and the standardized normal scores are on the vertical axis.

If the data contains n data values, then the standardized normal scores are the z-scores in the normal probability table of the appendix corresponding to an area of \(\frac{{{\rm{j - 0}}{\rm{.5}}}}{{\rm{n}}}\) (or the closest area) with \({\text{j^I \{ 1,2,3, ldots ,n\} }}\).

The smallest standardized score corresponds with the smallest data value, the second smallest standardized score corresponds with the second smallest data value, and so on.

The pattern in the normal probability plot is roughly linear, which indicate that the population distribution of x is approximately normal.

Since the distribution of x is approximately normal, the sampling distribution of the sample mean \({\rm{\bar x}}\)is also approximately normal.

Since the sampling distribution of the sample mean \({\rm{\bar x}}\)is approximately normal by the central limit theorem, we do not need to assume that the population distribution is approximately normal.

Hence confidence interval can be calculated without assuming anything.

03

To Calculate and interpret a confidence interval

(b) Given:

\({\rm{n = 43\bar x = 1191}}{\rm{.6s = 506}}{\rm{.6c = 99\% = 0}}{\rm{.99}}\)

\(\begin{array}{l}{\rm{115,181,255,418,441,461,516,739,743,789,807,865,924,983,}}\\{\rm{1025,1062,1063,1165,1191,1222,1222,1251,1277,1290,1357,1369,}}\\{\rm{1408,1455,1478,1519,1578,1578,1599,1603,}}\\{\rm{1605,1696,1735,1799,1815,1852,1899,1925,1965}}\end{array}\)

Central limit theorem: If the sample size is large , then the sampling distribution of the sample mean \({\rm{\bar x}}\)is approximately normal.

The data set contains 43 data values, thus we can use the central limit theorem to determine the shape of the distribution and we thus know that the sampling distribution of the sample mean is approximately normal.

04

Large-sample confidence interval

The sample mean is the sum of all data values divided by the sample size:

\({\rm{\bar x = }}\frac{{{\rm{115 + 181 + 255 + \ldots + 1899 + 1925 + 1965}}}}{{{\rm{43}}}}{\rm{ = }}\frac{{{\rm{51240}}}}{{{\rm{43}}}}{\rm{\gg 1191}}{\rm{.6279}}\)

The variance is the sum of squared deviations from the mean divided by n-1. The standard deviation is the square root of the variance:

\({\rm{s = }}\sqrt {\frac{{{{{\rm{(115 - 1191}}{\rm{.6279)}}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ + \ldots }}{\rm{. + (1965 - 1191}}{\rm{.6279}}{{\rm{)}}^{\rm{2}}}}}{{{\rm{43 - 1}}}}} {\rm{\gg 506}}{\rm{.6350}}\)

For confidence level \({\rm{1 - \alpha = 0}}{\rm{.99}}\), determine \({{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}{\rm{ = }}{{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{0}}{\rm{.005}}}}\)using the normal probability table in the appendix (look up 0.005 in the table, the z-score is then the found z score with opposite sign):

\({{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}{\rm{ = 2}}{\rm{.575}}\)

The margin of error is then:

\({\rm{E = }}{{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}{\rm{ \times }}\frac{{\rm{s}}}{{\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}{\rm{ = 2}}{\rm{.575 \times }}\frac{{{\rm{506}}{\rm{.6350}}}}{{\sqrt {{\rm{43}}} }}{\rm{\gg 198}}{\rm{.9474}}\)

Hence The boundaries of the confidence interval then become:

\(\begin{array}{l}{\rm{\bar x - E = 1191}}{\rm{.6279 - 198}}{\rm{.9474 = 992}}{\rm{.6805}}\\{\rm{\bar x + E = 1191}}{\rm{.6279 + 198}}{\rm{.9474 = 1390}}{\rm{.5753}}\end{array}\)

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91影视!

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

A state legislator wishes to survey residents of her district to see what proportion of the electorate is aware of her position on using state funds to pay for abortions.

a. What sample size is necessary if the \({\rm{95\% }}\)CI for p is to have a width of at most . \({\rm{10}}\)irrespective of p?

b. If the legislator has strong reason to believe that at least \({\rm{2/3}}\)of the electorate know of her position, how large a sample size would you recommend?

Let X1, X2,鈥, Xn be a random sample from a uniform distribution on the interval (0,胃), so that

\({\rm{f(x) = }}\left\{ \begin{aligned}{l}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{\theta }}}{\rm{ 0}} \le {\rm{x}} \le {\rm{\theta }}\\{\rm{0 otherwise}}\end{aligned} \right.\)

Then if Y= max(Xi ), it can be shown that the rv U=Y/胃 has density function

\({{\rm{f}}_U}{\rm{(u) = }}\left\{ \begin{aligned}{l}{\rm{n}}{{\rm{u}}^{n - 1}}{\rm{ 0}} \le u \le 1\\{\rm{0 otherwise}}\end{aligned} \right.\)

a. Use\({{\rm{f}}_U}{\rm{(u)}}\) to verify that

\({\rm{P}}\left( {{{(\alpha /2)}^{1/n}} < \frac{Y}{\theta } \le {{(1 - \alpha /2)}^{1/n}}} \right) = 1 - \alpha \)

and use this derive a \(100(1 - \alpha )\% \) CI for 胃.

b. Verify that \({\rm{P}}\left( {{\alpha ^{1/n}} < Y/\theta \le 1} \right) = 1 - \alpha \), and derive a 100(1 - )% CI for based on this probability statement.

c.Which of the two intervals derived previously is shorter? If my waiting time for a morning bus is uniformly distributed and observed waiting times are x1 = 4.2, x2 = 3.5, x3 = 1.7, x4 = 1.2, and x5 = 2.4, derive a 95% CI for by using the shorter of the two intervals.

On the basis of extensive tests, the yield point of a particular type of mild steel-reinforcing bar is known to be normally distributed with\({\rm{\sigma = 100,}}\)The composition of bars has been slightly modified, but the modification is not believed to have affected either the normality or the value of\({\rm{\sigma }}\).

a. Assuming this to be the case, if a sample of 25 modified bars resulted in a sample average yield point of 8439 lb, compute a 90% CI for the true average yield point of the modified bar.

b. How would you modify the interval in part (a) to obtain a confidence level of 92%?

In Example 6.8, we introduced the concept of a censored experiment in which n components are put on test and the experiment terminates as soon as r of the components have failed. Suppose component lifetimes are independent, each having an exponential distribution with parameter 位. Let Y1 denote the time at which the first failure occurs, Y2 the time at which the second failure occurs, and so on, so that Tr= Y1 + 鈥 + Yr+ (n- r)Yr is the total accumulated lifetime at termination. Then it can be shown that 2位罢r has a chi-squared distribution with 2r df. Use this fact to develop a 100(1 - )% CI formula for true average lifetime \(\frac{{\bf{1}}}{{\bf{\lambda }}}\) . Compute a 95% CI from the data in Example 6.8.

The article 鈥淕as Cooking, Kitchen Ventilation, and Exposure to Combustion Products鈥 reported that for a sample of 50 kitchens with gas cooking appliances monitored during a one week period, the sample mean CO2 level (ppm) was \({\rm{654}}{\rm{.16}}\), and the sample standard deviation was \({\rm{164}}{\rm{.43}}{\rm{.}}\)

a. Calculate and interpret a \({\rm{95\% }}\) (two-sided) confidence interval for true average CO2 level in the population of all homes from which the sample was selected.

b. Suppose the investigators had made a rough guess of \({\rm{175}}\) for the value of s before collecting data. What sample size would be necessary to obtain an interval width of ppm for a confidence level of \({\rm{95\% }}\)

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.