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Let X1, X2,鈥, Xn be a random sample from a uniform distribution on the interval (0,胃), so that

\({\rm{f(x) = }}\left\{ \begin{aligned}{l}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{\theta }}}{\rm{ 0}} \le {\rm{x}} \le {\rm{\theta }}\\{\rm{0 otherwise}}\end{aligned} \right.\)

Then if Y= max(Xi ), it can be shown that the rv U=Y/胃 has density function

\({{\rm{f}}_U}{\rm{(u) = }}\left\{ \begin{aligned}{l}{\rm{n}}{{\rm{u}}^{n - 1}}{\rm{ 0}} \le u \le 1\\{\rm{0 otherwise}}\end{aligned} \right.\)

a. Use\({{\rm{f}}_U}{\rm{(u)}}\) to verify that

\({\rm{P}}\left( {{{(\alpha /2)}^{1/n}} < \frac{Y}{\theta } \le {{(1 - \alpha /2)}^{1/n}}} \right) = 1 - \alpha \)

and use this derive a \(100(1 - \alpha )\% \) CI for 胃.

b. Verify that \({\rm{P}}\left( {{\alpha ^{1/n}} < Y/\theta \le 1} \right) = 1 - \alpha \), and derive a 100(1 - )% CI for based on this probability statement.

c.Which of the two intervals derived previously is shorter? If my waiting time for a morning bus is uniformly distributed and observed waiting times are x1 = 4.2, x2 = 3.5, x3 = 1.7, x4 = 1.2, and x5 = 2.4, derive a 95% CI for by using the shorter of the two intervals.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a)\(\frac{{\max ({X_i})}}{{{{\left( {1 - \frac{\alpha }{2}} \right)}^{\frac{1}{n}}}}} \le \theta < \frac{{\max ({X_i})}}{{{{\left( {\frac{\alpha }{2}} \right)}^{\frac{1}{n}}}}}\)

b) \(\max ({X_i}) \le \theta < \frac{{\max ({X_i})}}{{{{\left( \alpha \right)}^{\frac{1}{n}}}}}\)

c)The is \(95\% \) confidence interval \((4.2,7.65)\).

Step by step solution

01

Step 1:The probability density function. 

The probability density function , it is easy to obtain the following probability as

\(P\left[ {{{\left( {\frac{\alpha }{2}} \right)}^{\frac{1}{n}}} < \frac{Y}{\theta } \leqslant {{\left( {1 - \frac{\alpha }{2}} \right)}^{\frac{1}{n}}}} \right] = \int\limits_{{{\left( {\frac{\alpha }{2}} \right)}^{\frac{1}{n}}}}^{{{\left( {1 - \frac{\alpha }{2}} \right)}^{\frac{1}{n}}}} {n \cdot {u^{n - 1}}du} \)

\(= n \cdot \left. {\frac{{{u^n}}}{n}} \right|_{{{\left( {\frac{\alpha }{2}} \right)}^{\frac{1}{n}}}}^{{{\left( {1 - \frac{\alpha }{2}} \right)}^{\frac{1}{n}}}}\)

\(\begin{aligned}&= 1 - \frac{\alpha }{2} - \frac{\alpha }{2} \hfill \\&= 1 - \alpha \hfill \\\end{aligned} \)

02

Solution for part a).

From the given probability, \(100(1 - \alpha )\% \) confidence interval for \(\theta \) can be obtained as,

\(\begin{aligned}{\left( {\frac{\alpha }{2}} \right)^{\frac{1}{n}}} < \frac{Y}{\theta } \leqslant {\left( {1 - \frac{\alpha }{2}} \right)^{\frac{1}{n}}} \hfill \\&= \frac{{{{\left( {\frac{\alpha }{2}} \right)}^{\frac{1}{n}}}}}{Y} < \frac{1}{\theta } \leqslant \frac{{{{\left( {1 - \frac{\alpha }{2}} \right)}^{\frac{1}{n}}}}}{Y} \hfill \\&= \frac{{\max ({X_i})}}{{{{\left( {1 - \frac{\alpha }{2}} \right)}^{\frac{1}{n}}}}} \leqslant \theta < \frac{{\max ({X_i})}}{{{{\left( {\frac{\alpha }{2}} \right)}^{\frac{1}{n}}}}} \hfill \\\end{aligned} \)

03

Solution for part b).

Similarly as in part a), in order to verify that the probability is \(1 - \alpha \) look at

\(\begin{aligned}{l}P\left( {{{\left( \alpha \right)}^{\frac{1}{n}}} < \frac{Y}{\theta } \le 1} \right) & = \int\limits_{{{\left( \alpha \right)}^{\frac{1}{n}}}}^1 {n \cdot {u^{n - 1}}du} \\ & = n \cdot \left. {\frac{{{u^n}}}{n}} \right|_{{{\left( \alpha \right)}^{\frac{1}{n}}}}^1\\ & = 1 - \alpha \end{aligned}\)

The same way in part a), \(100(1 - \alpha )\% \) confidence interval for \(\theta \) can be obtained as,

\(\begin{aligned}{l}{\left( \alpha \right)^{\frac{1}{n}}} < \frac{Y}{\theta } \le 1\\ & = \max ({X_i}) \le \theta < \frac{{\max ({X_i})}}{{{{\left( \alpha \right)}^{\frac{1}{n}}}}}\end{aligned}\)

04

Solution for part c).

It is obvious that the interval b is shorter. You can draw \({f_U}(u)\) and notice it easier.

For given values, where, for \(95\% \) confidence level \(\alpha = 0.05,n = 5\) and the maximum value \(\max ({x_i}) = 4.2\), the \(95\% \) confidence interval is

\(\left( {4.2,\frac{{4.2}}{{{{0.05}^{1/5}}}}} \right) = (4.2,7.65)\)

Hence, The \(95\% \) confidence interval \((4.2,7.65)\).

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Exercise 72 of Chapter 1 gave the following observations on a receptor binding measure (adjusted distribution volume) for a sample of 13 healthy individuals: 23, 39, 40, 41, 43, 47, 51, 58, 63, 66, 67, 69, 72.

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\({\rm{20}}\)df, the areas to the right of the values \({\rm{.687, }}{\rm{.860, and 1}}{\rm{.064 are }}{\rm{.25, }}{\rm{.20, and }}{\rm{.15,}}\)respectively. What is the confidence level for each of the following three confidence intervals for the mean m of a normal population distribution? Which of the three intervals would you recommend be used, and why?

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