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Problem 1

The article "Scrambled Statistics: What Are the Chances of Finding Multi-Yolk Eggs?" (Significance [August 2016]: 11) gives the probability of a double-yolk egg as 0.001 . a. Give a relative frequency interpretation of this probability. b. If 5000 eggs were randomly selected, about how many double-yolk eggs would you expect to find?

Problem 2

An airline reports that for a particular flight operating daily between Phoenix and Atlanta, the probability of an on-time arrival is 0.86. Give a relative frequency interpretation of this probability.

Problem 4

What does it mean to say that the probability that a coin toss will land head side up is \(0.5 ?\)

Problem 5

In a particular state, automobiles that are more than 10 years old must pass a vehicle inspection in order to be registered. This state reports the probability that a car more than 10 years old will fail the vehicle inspection is 0.09 . Give a relative frequency interpretation of this probability.

Problem 8

The probability of getting a king when a card is selected at random from a standard deck of 52 playing cards is \(\frac{1}{13}\). a. Give a relative frequency interpretation of this probability. b. Express the probability as a decimal rounded to three decimal places. Then complete the following statement: If a card is selected at random, I would expect to see a king about times in 1000 .

Problem 11

Phoenix is a hub for a large airline. Suppose that on a particular day, 8000 passengers arrived in Phoenix on this airline. Phoenix was the final destination for 1800 of these passengers. The others were all connecting to flights to other cities. On this particular day, several inbound flights were late, and 480 passengers missed their connecting flight. Of these 480 passengers, 75 were delayed overnight and had to spend the night in Phoenix. Consider the chance experiment of choosing a passenger at random from these 8000 passengers. Calculate the following probabilities: a. the probability that the selected passenger had Phoenix as a final destination. b. the probability that the selected passenger did not have Phoenix as a final destination. c. the probability that the selected passenger was connecting and missed the connecting flight. d. the probability that the selected passenger was a connecting passenger and did not miss the connecting flight. e. the probability that the selected passenger either had Phoenix as a final destination or was delayed overnight in Phoenix. f. An independent customer satisfaction survey is planned. Fifty passengers selected at random from the 8000 passengers who arrived in Phoenix on the day described above will be contacted for the survey. The airline knows that the survey results will not be favorable if too many people who were delayed overnight are included. Write a few sentences explaining whether or not you think the airline should be worried, using relevant probabilities to support your answer.

Problem 12

A professor assigns five problems to be completed as homework. At the next class meeting, two of the five problems will be selected at random and collected for grading. You have only completed the first three problems. a. What is the sample space for the chance experiment of selecting two problems at random? (Hint: You can think of the problems as being labeled \(\mathrm{A}, \mathrm{B}, \mathrm{C}, \mathrm{D},\) and \(\mathrm{E}\). One possible selection of two problems is \(\mathrm{A}\) and \(\mathrm{B}\). If these two problems are selected and you did problems \(\mathrm{A}, \mathrm{B}\), and \(\mathrm{C}\), you will be able to turn in both problems. There are nine other possible selections to consider.) b. Are the outcomes in the sample space equally likely? c. What is the probability that you will be able to turn in both of the problems selected? d. Does the probability that you will be able to turn in both problems change if you had completed the last three problems instead of the first three problems? Explain. e. What happens to the probability that you will be able to turn in both problems selected if you had completed four of the problems rather than just three?

Problem 14

A college job placement center has requests from five students for employment interviews. Three of these students are math majors, and the other two students are statistics majors. Unfortunately, the interviewer has time to talk to only two of the students. These two will be randomly selected from among the five. a. What is the sample space for the chance experiment of selecting two students at random? (Hint: You can think of the students as being labeled \(\mathrm{A}, \mathrm{B}, \mathrm{C}, \mathrm{D},\) and \(\mathrm{E}\). One possible selection of two students is \(\mathrm{A}\) and \(\mathrm{B}\). There are nine other possible selections to consider.) b. Are the outcomes in the sample space equally likely? c. What is the probability that both selected students are statistics majors? d. What is the probability that both students are math majors? e. What is the probability that at least one of the students selected is a statistics major? f. What is the probability that the selected students have different majors?

Problem 15

Roulette is a game of chance that involves spinning a wheel that is divided into 38 segments of equal size, as shown in the accompanying picture. A metal ball is tossed into the wheel as it is spinning, and the ball eventually lands in one of the 38 segments. Each segment has an associated color. Two segments are green. Half of the other 36 segments are red, and the others are black. When a balanced roulette wheel is spun, the ball is equally likely to land in any one of the 38 segments. a. When a balanced roulette wheel is spun, what is the probability that the ball lands in a red segment? b. In the roulette wheel shown, black and red segments alternate. Suppose instead that all red segments were grouped together and that all black segments were together. Does this increase the probability that the ball will land in a red segment? Explain. c. Suppose that you watch 1000 spins of a roulette wheel and note the color that results from each spin. What would be an indication that the wheel was not balanced?

Problem 16

Suppose you want to estimate the probability that a randomly selected customer at a particular grocery store will pay by credit card. Over the past 3 months, 80,500 purchases were made, and 37,100 of them were paid for by credit card. What is the estimated probability that a randomly selected customer will pay by credit card?

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