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In a particular state, automobiles that are more than 10 years old must pass a vehicle inspection in order to be registered. This state reports the probability that a car more than 10 years old will fail the vehicle inspection is 0.09 . Give a relative frequency interpretation of this probability.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The relative frequency interpretation of the given probability (0.09) is that out of 100 vehicles that are more than 10 years old undergoing inspection, we would expect about 9 of them to fail the inspection.

Step by step solution

01

Relative Frequency Interpretation

Relative frequency interpretation refers to the ratio of the number of times an event occurs to the total number of trials. In the given exercise, the event of interest is the car more than 10 years old failing the vehicle inspection.
02

Convert Probability to Relative Frequency

The given probability is 0.09. To interpret this probability in terms of relative frequency, we need to consider that there were 100 trials (a common denominator for understanding probability in terms of percentages). We can express the given probability as a proportion out of 100.
03

Interpret Relative Frequency

So, with a probability of 0.09, we can convert it to a relative frequency of 9 out of 100, or 9%. This means that if we were to observe 100 vehicles that are more than 10 years old undergoing inspection, we would expect about 9 of them to fail the inspection. This provides an insight into the long-term frequency of this event occurring.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Relative Frequency
The concept of relative frequency is a fundamental aspect of understanding probability. It is essentially a way to look at how often something happens compared to the number of opportunities there are for it to happen. Imagine every time an event happens, it adds a tick to a list.

Relative frequency refers to the number of times a particular event occurs divided by the total number of trials or observations. For example, if you flip a coin 100 times and it lands on heads 55 times, the relative frequency of getting heads would be 55/100 or 0.55.

This method is especially useful because it provides an empirical approach to probability, relying on actual data and past occurrences rather than theoretical calculations. It helps us make reasonable predictions about future events based on observed patterns of past events.
Vehicle Inspection
Vehicle inspection is an official process that ensures automobiles meet safety and emissions standards. For vehicles older than 10 years, inspections can identify issues that may compromise the safety of the vehicle or the environment.

Each inspection checks various components of a vehicle, like brakes, lights, and emission controls. If a car fails, it may need repairs before it can be legally registered and driven.

In many regions, regular vehicle inspections help reduce the number of unsafe vehicles on the road, thus contributing to the safety of all drivers and passengers. The probability that a vehicle over 10 years old will fail its inspection gives insight into common aging issues in cars and the effectiveness of the inspection program.
Event Occurrence
In probability, an event occurrence refers to the instance when a particular event actually happens. For example, when discussing the event of a car failing a vehicle inspection, an occurrence is when a specific car doesn't meet the required inspection standards during a check.

Each occurrence is a chance for analyzing data and understanding probabilities more accurately. It helps in understanding how frequently an event happens over a series of trials.

By examining multiple instances and occurrences, one can determine patterns and make predictions, which is crucial for improving processes like vehicle inspections. Being able to predict the likelihood of a car failing based on age and condition can help owners maintain their vehicles better.
Long-term Frequency
Long-term frequency takes the concept of relative frequency and stretches it over a large number of trials or observations, providing a comprehensive way to predict outcomes over time. It is the stable frequency achieved as the number of trials tends to infinity.

In the context of vehicle inspections, if we consistently see that 9% of cars fail, this becomes a "long-term frequency". The more trials we consider, like thousands of car inspections over many years, the more accurate this frequency becomes.

Understanding long-term frequencies is vital because it allows businesses and governments to project trends and plan accordingly. For instance, they can allocate resources to vehicle maintenance programs or adjust inspection criteria to address issues observed through long-term data. This assists in creating a safer road environment and more reliable registration systems.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

5.62 An appliance manufacturer offers extended warranties on its washers and dryers. Based on past sales, the manufacturer reports that of customers buying both a washer and a dryer, \(52 \%\) purchase the extended warranty for the washer, \(47 \%\) purchase the extended warranty for the dryer, and \(59 \%\) purchase at least one of the two extended warranties. In Exercise \(5.34,\) you constructed a hypothetical 1000 table to calculate the following probabilities. Now use the probability formulas of this section to find these probabilities. a. The probability that a randomly selected customer who buys a washer and a dryer purchases an extended warranty for both the washer and the dryer. b. The probability that a randomly selected customer does not purchase an extended warranty for either the washer or dryer.

The article "Scrambled Statistics: What Are the Chances of Finding Multi-Yolk Eggs?" (Significance [August 2016]: 11) gives the probability of a double-yolk egg as 0.001 . a. Give a relative frequency interpretation of this probability. b. If 5000 eggs were randomly selected, about how many double-yolk eggs would you expect to find?

5.57 There are two traffic lights on Shelly's route from home to work. Let \(E\) denote the event that Shelly must stop at the first light, and define the event \(F\) in a similar manner for the second light. Suppose that \(P(E)=0.4, P(F)=0.3\) and \(P(E \cap F)=0.15 .\) In Exercise \(5.25,\) you constructed a hypothetical 1000 table to calculate the following probabilities. Now use the probability formulas of this section to find these probabilities. a. The probability that Shelly must stop for at least one light (the probability of the event \(E \cup F\) ). b. The probability that Shelly does not have to stop at either light. c. The probability that Shelly must stop at exactly one of the two lights. d. The probability that Shelly must stop only at the first light.

In a small city, approximately \(15 \%\) of those eligible are called for jury duty in any one calendar year. People are selected for jury duty at random from those eligible, and the same individual cannot be called more than once in the same year. What is the probability that an eligible person in this city is selected in both of the next 2 years? All of the next 3 years?

According to The Chronicle for Higher Education Almanac (2016), there were 1,003,329 Associate degrees awarded by U.S. community colleges in the \(2013-2014\) academic year. A total of 613,034 of these degrees were awarded to women. a. If a person who received an Associate degree in \(2013-\) 2014 is selected at random, what is the probability that the selected person will be female? b. What is the probability that the selected person will be male?

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