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a. Suppose events \(E\) and \(F\) are mutually exclusive with \(P(E)=0.64\) and \(P(F)=0.17\) i. What is the value of \(P(E \cap F)\) ? ii. What is the value of \(P(E \cup F)\) ? b. Suppose that \(A\) and \(B\) are events with \(P(A)=0.3, P(B)=0.5\), and \(P(A \cap B)=0.15 .\) Are \(A\) and \(B\) mutually exclusive? How can you tell? c. Suppose that \(A\) and \(B\) are events with \(P(A)=0.65\) and \(P(B)=0.57 .\) Are \(A\) and \(B\) mutually exclusive? How can you tell?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. i. \(P(E \cap F) = 0\) ii. \(P(E \cup F) = 0.81\) b. No, events A and B are not mutually exclusive. c. No, events A and B are not mutually exclusive.

Step by step solution

01

Mutually exclusive events

Events E and F are mutually exclusive, which means they cannot happen at the same time. So, the probability of the intersection of two mutually exclusive events is 0, i.e., \(P(E \cap F) = 0\). Answer: \(P(E \cap F) = 0\) #Part a: ii. Finding \(P(E \cup F)\)#
02

Probabilities of unions

Since E and F are mutually exclusive, the probability of E or F happening (their union) can be calculated using the formula: \(P(E \cup F) = P(E) + P(F)\) Substitute the values of \(P(E)\) and \(P(F)\): \(P(E \cup F) = 0.64 + 0.17\) Now, calculate the value of \(P(E \cup F)\): \(P(E \cup F) = 0.81\) Answer: \(P(E \cup F) = 0.81\) #Part b: Are A and B mutually exclusive?#
03

Assessing mutual exclusivity

To determine if events A and B are mutually exclusive, we need to check if their intersection is zero. The given information states that \(P(A \cap B) = 0.15\). Since the intersection is not zero, events A and B are not mutually exclusive. Answer: No, events A and B are not mutually exclusive. #Part c: Are A and B mutually exclusive?#
04

Checking mutual exclusivity indirectly

In this case, we are not given the intersection of events A and B (\(P(A \cap B)\)). To decide whether events A and B are mutually exclusive or not, we can apply the following inequality, which is true for any two events: \(P(A) + P(B) - 1 \leq P(A \cap B)\) If this inequality is strict (meaning less than without the equal sign), then A and B are not mutually exclusive. Substitute the values of \(P(A)\) and \(P(B)\): \(0.65 + 0.57 - 1 = 0.22\) Since the result is positive, which indicates a strict inequality, events A and B are not mutually exclusive. Answer: No, events A and B are not mutually exclusive.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Mutually Exclusive Events
Events are mutually exclusive when they cannot occur at the same time. It's like having two different doors, but you can only go through one. In probability terms, if two events, say Event E and Event F, are mutually exclusive, the occurrence of one prevents the occurrence of the other.
For example, if you roll a die, the event of rolling an odd number and rolling an even number are mutually exclusive because you can't roll a number that is both odd and even at the same time.
Mathematically, the probability of the intersection (or both events happening simultaneously) of two mutually exclusive events is 0:
  • \(P(E \cap F) = 0\)
This means if you have events E and F with probabilities \(P(E) = 0.64\) and \(P(F) = 0.17\), since both events cannot happen together, \(P(E \cap F) = 0\).
Understanding this concept helps to identify whether two events can possibly impact each other or not.
Probability of Intersection
The probability of intersection refers to the probability that two events will happen at the same time. In other words, it's about finding the overlap between two events.
For instance, consider events A and B. The intersection is represented as \(P(A \cap B)\), which tells the likelihood of both events occurring together.
In our exercise, for events A and B with \(P(A \cap B) = 0.15\), it shows that these events are not mutually exclusive since their intersection probability is more than zero. They have a common part, making them have a possibility to occur simultaneously.
To find if events are mutually exclusive using intersection, check if the intersection probability is zero. If not, the events may share outcomes.
Probability of Union
The probability of the union of two events measures the likelihood that at least one of them occurs. It's like asking about the chance of either Event E happening, Event F happening, or both.
The general formula to calculate it is:
  • \( P(E \cup F) = P(E) + P(F) - P(E \cap F) \)
For mutually exclusive events, this simplifies to just adding their individual probabilities because \(P(E \cap F) = 0\).
So in our case with \(P(E) = 0.64\) and \(P(F) = 0.17\), the union probability would be \(P(E \cup F) = 0.64 + 0.17 = 0.81\). This formula is handy for understanding how events contribute to a larger likelihood scenario.
Event Independence
When discussing event independence, we mean that one event happening does not influence the probability of the other event occurring. Think about flipping a coin and rolling a die; the result of the coin does not affect the outcome of the die.
To mathematically check if two events are independent, see if the condition holds:
  • \( P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B) \)
If this is true, the events are independent. If it’s not, they are dependent.
In the given example with \(P(A \cap B) = 0.15\), \(P(A) = 0.3\), and \(P(B) = 0.5\), we can calculate:
  • \(0.3 \times 0.5 = 0.15\)
Since this matches \(P(A \cap B)\), events A and B are indeed independent. Understanding independence helps in scenarios where it is important to predict the outcome of one event without needing information about the others.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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