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a. Suppose events \(E\) and \(F\) are mutually exclusive with \(P(E)=0.41\) and \(P(E)=0.23\). i. What is the value of \(P(E \cap F) ?\) ii. What is the value of \(P(E \cup F) ?\) b. Suppose that for events \(A\) and \(B, P(A)=0.26, P(B)=0.34\), and \(P(A \cup B)=0.47\). Are \(A\) and \(B\) mutually exclusive? How can you tell?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. i. Since events E and F are mutually exclusive, \(P(E \cap F) = 0\). a. ii. For mutually exclusive events E and F, \(P(E \cup F) = P(E) + P(F) = 0.41 + 0.23 = 0.64\). b. We find that \(P(A \cap B) = 0.13\). Since this is not equal to 0, events A and B are not mutually exclusive.

Step by step solution

01

i. Finding the value of \(P(E \cap F)\) for mutually exclusive events

Since events E and F are mutually exclusive, by definition, they cannot occur simultaneously. This means that the probability of their intersection, \(P(E \cap F)\), must be equal to 0.
02

ii. Finding the value of \(P(E \cup F)\) for mutually exclusive events

To find the probability of the union of these two mutually exclusive events, we can simply add their individual probabilities, as they cannot occur at the same time. Thus, we have: \(P(E \cup F) = P(E) + P(F) = 0.41 + 0.23 = 0.64\). So the value of \(P(E \cup F)\) is 0.64. #Part b: Determining if events A and B are mutually exclusive#
03

i. Computing the probability of the intersection of events A and B

We are given the probabilities of events A, B and their union, and we'll use these values to determine if A and B are mutually exclusive. First, we need to compute the value of \(P(A \cap B)\). We can use the following formula that relates probabilities of the union and intersection of two events: \(P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)\) Plugging in the given values, we get: \(0.47 = 0.26 + 0.34 - P(A \cap B)\) Now we can solve for \(P(A \cap B)\: \(P(A \cap B) = 0.26 + 0.34 - 0.47 = 0.13\)
04

ii. Determining if events A and B are mutually exclusive

Now that we have found the probability of the intersection of events A and B, we can determine if they are mutually exclusive. If events A and B were mutually exclusive, their intersection probability would be 0. However, we found that \(P(A \cap B) = 0.13\), which is not equal to 0. Therefore, events A and B are not mutually exclusive.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Mutually Exclusive Events
When we refer to events as \textbf{mutually exclusive}, we mean that these events cannot happen at the same time. For example, when flipping a regular coin, the events 'landing on heads' and 'landing on tails' are mutually exclusive because the coin can only land on one side at a time.

In probability terms, if events are mutually exclusive, the probability of their intersection, denoted as \( P(E \cap F) \), is always zero because there's no scenario in which both events can take place simultaneously. Hence, if \( E \) and \( F \) are mutually exclusive and we know \( P(E) = 0.41 \) and \( P(F) = 0.23 \), then \( P(E \cap F) = 0 \). This concept is crucial to understanding how probable outcomes are determined in scenarios where certain results are exclusive to each other.
Probability Intersection
The \textbf{probability intersection} refers to the probability that two events, \( E \) and \( F \), both occur. It is denoted by \( P(E \cap F) \). To visualize this, think of a Venn diagram with two overlapping circles, where each circle represents an event, and their overlap indicates the intersection.

For mutually exclusive events, as we already know, this intersection probability is zero. However, if two events can occur together, then we calculate the intersection probability by determining how likely it is that both events happen simultaneously. For instance, if you have a bag of red and blue marbles, and events \( A \) and \( B \) represent drawing a red marble and a blue marble, then the probability of drawing both at the same time (without replacement) can be calculated by determining the overlap in those events.
Probability Union
The \textbf{probability union} of two events \( E \) and \( F \) is the probability that at least one of the events occurs. It's shown as \( P(E \cup F) \) and can be understood through the inclusive 'or' logic, which signifies 'either this, that, or both'.

For mutually exclusive events where the probability of intersection is zero, the probability of the union is simply the sum of their individual probabilities: \( P(E \cup F) = P(E) + P(F) \). But when events are not mutually exclusive, and they can occur together, we subtract the intersection from the total to avoid double counting: \( P(E \cup F) = P(E) + P(F) - P(E \cap F) \). This ensures we account for each distinct outcome.
Independent Events
Lastly, let's explore \textbf{independent events}. Two events are considered independent if the outcome of one event does not influence the outcome of the other. For instance, flipping a coin and rolling a die are independent events because the result of the coin flip doesn't affect the die roll.

To determine if events are independent, you can test whether the probability of one event occurring affects the probability of the other event. Mathematically, if \( A \) and \( B \) are independent, then \( P(A \cap B) = P(A)*P(B) \). If this equation holds true, then you've shown that the occurrence of event \( A \) has no bearing on the probability of event \( B \) occurring, and vice versa.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A college job placement center has requests from five students for employment interviews. Three of these students are math majors, and the other two students are statistics majors. Unfortunately, the interviewer has time to talk to only two of the students. These two will be randomly selected from among the five. a. What is the sample space for the chance experiment of selecting two students at random? (Hint: You can think of the students as being labeled \(\mathrm{A}, \mathrm{B}, \mathrm{C}, \mathrm{D},\) and \(\mathrm{E}\). One possible selection of two students is \(\mathrm{A}\) and \(\mathrm{B}\). There are nine other possible selections to consider.) b. Are the outcomes in the sample space equally likely? c. What is the probability that both selected students are statistics majors? d. What is the probability that both students are math majors? e. What is the probability that at least one of the students selected is a statistics major? f. What is the probability that the selected students have different majors?

A rental car company offers two options when a car is rented. A renter can choose to pre-purchase gas or not and can also choose to rent a GPS device or not. Suppose that the events \(A=\) event that gas is pre-purchased \(B=\) event that a GPS is rented are independent with \(P(A)=0.20\) and \(P(B)=0.15\). a. Construct a hypothetical 1000 table with columns corresponding to whether or not gas is pre-purchased and rows corresponding to whether or not a GPS is rented. b. Use the table to find \(P(A \cup B)\). Give a long-run relative frequency interpretation of this probability.

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A study of the impact of seeking a second opinion about a medical condition is described in the paper "Evaluation of Outcomes from a National Patient- Initiated Second-Opinion Program". Based on a review of 6791 patient-initiated second opinions, the paper states the following: "Second opinions often resulted in changes in diagnosis (14.8\%), treatment \((37.4 \%),\) or changes in both \((10.6 \%)\)." Consider the following two events: \(D=\) event that second opinion results in a change in diagnosis \(T=\) event that second opinion results in a change in treatment a. What are the values of \(P(D), P(T),\) and \(P(D \cap T) ?\) b. Use the given probability information to set up a hypothetical 1000 table with columns corresponding to \(D\) and \(D^{C}\) and rows corresponding to \(T\) and \(T^{C}\). c. What is the probability that a second opinion results in neither a change in diagnosis nor a change in treatment? d. What is the probability that a second opinion results is a change in diagnosis or a change in treatment?

A construction firm bids on two different contracts. Let \(E_{1}\) be the event that the bid on the first contract is successful, and define \(E_{2}\) analogously for the second contract. Suppose that \(P\left(E_{1}\right)=0.4\) and \(P\left(E_{2}\right)=0.3\) and that \(E_{1}\) and \(E_{2}\) are independent events. a. Calculate the probability that both bids are successful (the probability of the event \(E_{1}\) and \(E_{2}\) ). b. Calculate the probability that neither bid is successful (the probability of the event \(\operatorname{not} E_{1}\) and not \(E_{2}\) ). c. What is the probability that the firm is successful in at least one of the two bids?

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