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a. Suppose events \(E\) and \(F\) are mutually exclusive with \(P(E)=0.41\) and \(P(E)=0.23\). i. What is the value of \(P(E \cap F) ?\) ii. What is the value of \(P(E \cup F) ?\) b. Suppose that for events \(A\) and \(B, P(A)=0.26, P(B)=0.34\), and \(P(A \cup B)=0.47\). Are \(A\) and \(B\) mutually exclusive? How can you tell?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. i. Since events E and F are mutually exclusive, \(P(E \cap F) = 0\). a. ii. For mutually exclusive events E and F, \(P(E \cup F) = P(E) + P(F) = 0.41 + 0.23 = 0.64\). b. We find that \(P(A \cap B) = 0.13\). Since this is not equal to 0, events A and B are not mutually exclusive.

Step by step solution

01

i. Finding the value of \(P(E \cap F)\) for mutually exclusive events

Since events E and F are mutually exclusive, by definition, they cannot occur simultaneously. This means that the probability of their intersection, \(P(E \cap F)\), must be equal to 0.
02

ii. Finding the value of \(P(E \cup F)\) for mutually exclusive events

To find the probability of the union of these two mutually exclusive events, we can simply add their individual probabilities, as they cannot occur at the same time. Thus, we have: \(P(E \cup F) = P(E) + P(F) = 0.41 + 0.23 = 0.64\). So the value of \(P(E \cup F)\) is 0.64. #Part b: Determining if events A and B are mutually exclusive#
03

i. Computing the probability of the intersection of events A and B

We are given the probabilities of events A, B and their union, and we'll use these values to determine if A and B are mutually exclusive. First, we need to compute the value of \(P(A \cap B)\). We can use the following formula that relates probabilities of the union and intersection of two events: \(P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)\) Plugging in the given values, we get: \(0.47 = 0.26 + 0.34 - P(A \cap B)\) Now we can solve for \(P(A \cap B)\: \(P(A \cap B) = 0.26 + 0.34 - 0.47 = 0.13\)
04

ii. Determining if events A and B are mutually exclusive

Now that we have found the probability of the intersection of events A and B, we can determine if they are mutually exclusive. If events A and B were mutually exclusive, their intersection probability would be 0. However, we found that \(P(A \cap B) = 0.13\), which is not equal to 0. Therefore, events A and B are not mutually exclusive.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Mutually Exclusive Events
When we refer to events as \textbf{mutually exclusive}, we mean that these events cannot happen at the same time. For example, when flipping a regular coin, the events 'landing on heads' and 'landing on tails' are mutually exclusive because the coin can only land on one side at a time.

In probability terms, if events are mutually exclusive, the probability of their intersection, denoted as \( P(E \cap F) \), is always zero because there's no scenario in which both events can take place simultaneously. Hence, if \( E \) and \( F \) are mutually exclusive and we know \( P(E) = 0.41 \) and \( P(F) = 0.23 \), then \( P(E \cap F) = 0 \). This concept is crucial to understanding how probable outcomes are determined in scenarios where certain results are exclusive to each other.
Probability Intersection
The \textbf{probability intersection} refers to the probability that two events, \( E \) and \( F \), both occur. It is denoted by \( P(E \cap F) \). To visualize this, think of a Venn diagram with two overlapping circles, where each circle represents an event, and their overlap indicates the intersection.

For mutually exclusive events, as we already know, this intersection probability is zero. However, if two events can occur together, then we calculate the intersection probability by determining how likely it is that both events happen simultaneously. For instance, if you have a bag of red and blue marbles, and events \( A \) and \( B \) represent drawing a red marble and a blue marble, then the probability of drawing both at the same time (without replacement) can be calculated by determining the overlap in those events.
Probability Union
The \textbf{probability union} of two events \( E \) and \( F \) is the probability that at least one of the events occurs. It's shown as \( P(E \cup F) \) and can be understood through the inclusive 'or' logic, which signifies 'either this, that, or both'.

For mutually exclusive events where the probability of intersection is zero, the probability of the union is simply the sum of their individual probabilities: \( P(E \cup F) = P(E) + P(F) \). But when events are not mutually exclusive, and they can occur together, we subtract the intersection from the total to avoid double counting: \( P(E \cup F) = P(E) + P(F) - P(E \cap F) \). This ensures we account for each distinct outcome.
Independent Events
Lastly, let's explore \textbf{independent events}. Two events are considered independent if the outcome of one event does not influence the outcome of the other. For instance, flipping a coin and rolling a die are independent events because the result of the coin flip doesn't affect the die roll.

To determine if events are independent, you can test whether the probability of one event occurring affects the probability of the other event. Mathematically, if \( A \) and \( B \) are independent, then \( P(A \cap B) = P(A)*P(B) \). If this equation holds true, then you've shown that the occurrence of event \( A \) has no bearing on the probability of event \( B \) occurring, and vice versa.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Phoenix is a hub for a large airline. Suppose that on a particular day, 8000 passengers arrived in Phoenix on this airline. Phoenix was the final destination for 1800 of these passengers. The others were all connecting to flights to other cities. On this particular day, several inbound flights were late, and 480 passengers missed their connecting flight. Of these 480 passengers, 75 were delayed overnight and had to spend the night in Phoenix. Consider the chance experiment of choosing a passenger at random from these 8000 passengers. Calculate the following probabilities: a. the probability that the selected passenger had Phoenix as a final destination. b. the probability that the selected passenger did not have Phoenix as a final destination. c. the probability that the selected passenger was connecting and missed the connecting flight. d. the probability that the selected passenger was a connecting passenger and did not miss the connecting flight. e. the probability that the selected passenger either had Phoenix as a final destination or was delayed overnight in Phoenix. f. An independent customer satisfaction survey is planned. Fifty passengers selected at random from the 8000 passengers who arrived in Phoenix on the day described above will be contacted for the survey. The airline knows that the survey results will not be favorable if too many people who were delayed overnight are included. Write a few sentences explaining whether or not you think the airline should be worried, using relevant probabilities to support your answer.

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