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A bookstore sells books in several formats- hardcover, paperback, digital, and audio. Based on past sales, the table below gives the estimated probabilities that a randomly selected purchase will be of particular types. $$ \begin{array}{|cccc|} \hline \text { Hardcover } & \text { Paperback } & \text { Digital } & \text { Audio } \\ \hline 0.16 & 0.36 & 0.40 & 0.08 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ If a purchase is selected at random, what is the probability that this purchase is for a book that is a. digital or audio? b. not digital? c. a printed book?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. The probability of a purchase being a digital or audio book is 0.48. b. The probability of a purchase not being a digital book is 0.60. c. The probability of a purchase being a printed book is 0.52.

Step by step solution

01

a. Probability of a Digital or Audio book

To find the probability of a purchase being a digital or an audio book, we just have to add the individual probabilities of a digital and audio book together since these are disjoint events (a book cannot be both digital and audio). From the given table we have: \(P(Digital) = 0.40\) \(P(Audio) = 0.08\) Now, we can find the probability of a purchase being either a digital or audio book: \(P(Digital\, or\, Audio) = P(Digital) + P(Audio) = 0.40 + 0.08 = 0.48\) So, the probability of a purchase being a digital or audio book is 0.48.
02

b. Probability of a purchase not being a Digital book

To find the probability of a purchase not being a digital book, we can use the complement rule. The complement of an event is the probability of the event not occurring. In this case, the complement of a digital book is a non-digital book. We can find this by subtracting the probability of a digital book from 1: \(P(Not\,Digital) = 1 - P(Digital) = 1 - 0.40 = 0.60\) So, the probability of a purchase not being a digital book is 0.60.
03

c. Probability of a purchase being a printed book

A printed book can either be a hardcover or a paperback book. To find the probability of a purchase being a printed book, we just have to add the individual probabilities of a hardcover and a paperback book together since these are disjoint events (a book cannot be both hardcover and paperback). From the given table we have: \(P(Hardcover) = 0.16\) \(P(Paperback) = 0.36\) Now, we can find the probability of a purchase being a printed book: \(P(Printed\, Book) = P(Hardcover) + P(Paperback) = 0.16 + 0.36 = 0.52\) So, the probability of a purchase being a printed book is 0.52.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Complement Rule
The concept of the complement rule is fundamental in understanding probabilities. Essentially, the complement rule dictates that the probability of an event not occurring is equal to one minus the probability of the event occurring. To put it simply, the complement gives us everything that our original event does not.
For example, if we want to determine the probability of not getting a digital book, we look at the event where a digital book is indeed purchased, which has a given probability, and then subtract that from 1 (which represents the certainty of any outcome happening). In mathematical terms, if we denote the probability of purchasing a digital book as \(P(Digital)\), then the probability of not purchasing a digital book, or its complement \(P(Not\ Digital)\), is calculated as:
\[P(Not\ Digital) = 1 - P(Digital)\].
This rule is immensely useful as it allows us to quickly find the probability of the opposite of any given event, as long as we know the probability of the event itself.
Disjoint Events
Disjoint events, also known as mutually exclusive events, refer to events that cannot occur at the same time. Understanding these types of events is crucial when calculating probabilities because it helps us determine when we can simply add probabilities together for an either/or scenario.
In the given example, purchasing a digital book and purchasing an audio book are disjoint events. A book cannot be both digital and audio at the time of purchase; it must be one or the other. Therefore, when asked about the probability of purchasing either a digital or audio book, we can add the individual probabilities of these disjoint events to get the total probability.
Here’s how it's applied in our exercise:
\[P(Digital\, or\, Audio) = P(Digital) + P(Audio)\].
Remember, this addition rule only works for disjoint events since their occurrences do not overlap. In cases where events can occur simultaneously, other rules of probability must be applied.
Probability of Combined Events
The probability of combined events becomes relevant when we have more than one outcome that we consider a 'success' for an event. In our bookstore scenario, we're looking at combined events when we calculate the probability of purchasing a printed book, which can either be in hardcover or paperback format. These are also examples of disjoint events—in this situation, a book cannot be both hardcover and paperback, so we calculate the probability of either event by adding the probabilities of hardcover and paperback together.
Mathematically, we express this as:
\[P(Printed\ Book) = P(Hardcover) + P(Paperback)\].
Combined events probabilities help us understand the likelihood of one event or another occurring when we have multiple outcomes that we're interested in. This extends beyond disjoint events to include events that can happen at the same time, though the calculation becomes more complex as we must avoid counting overlapping probabilities twice. For example, if someone was interested in buying a book that could be either paperback or digital, and these were not mutually exclusive (such as a bundle offer), we would have to adjust our calculation to accommodate the overlap.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

5.62 An appliance manufacturer offers extended warranties on its washers and dryers. Based on past sales, the manufacturer reports that of customers buying both a washer and a dryer, \(52 \%\) purchase the extended warranty for the washer, \(47 \%\) purchase the extended warranty for the dryer, and \(59 \%\) purchase at least one of the two extended warranties. In Exercise \(5.34,\) you constructed a hypothetical 1000 table to calculate the following probabilities. Now use the probability formulas of this section to find these probabilities. a. The probability that a randomly selected customer who buys a washer and a dryer purchases an extended warranty for both the washer and the dryer. b. The probability that a randomly selected customer does not purchase an extended warranty for either the washer or dryer.

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