Problem 17
According to The Chronicle for Higher Education Almanac (2016), there were 1,003,329 Associate degrees awarded by U.S. community colleges in the \(2013-2014\) academic year. A total of 613,034 of these degrees were awarded to women. a. If a person who received an Associate degree in \(2013-\) 2014 is selected at random, what is the probability that the selected person will be female? b. What is the probability that the selected person will be male?
Problem 19
The National Center for Health Statistics (www.cdc .gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr64/nvsr64_12.pdf, retrieved April 25,2017 ) gave the following information on births in the United States in 2014 : $$ \begin{array}{|lr|} \hline \text { Type of Birth } & \text { Number of Births } \\ \hline \text { Single birth } & 3,848,214 \\ \text { Twins } & 135,336 \\ \text { Triplets } & 4,233 \\ \text { Quadruplets } & 246 \\ \text { Quintuplets or higher } & 47 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ Use this information to estimate the probability that a randomly selected pregnant woman who gave birth in 2014 a. delivered twins b. delivered quadruplets c. gave birth to more than a single child
Problem 20
A deck of 52 cards is mixed well, and 5 cards are dealt. a. It can be shown that (disregarding the order in which the cards are dealt) there are 2,598,960 possible hands, of which only 1287 are hands consisting entirely of spades. What is the probability that a hand will consist entirely of spades? What is the probability that a hand will consist entirely of a single suit? b. It can be shown that exactly 63,206 of the possible hands contain only spades and clubs, with both suits represented. What is the probability that a hand consists entirely of spades and clubs with both suits represented?
Problem 21
Six people hope to be selected as a contestant on a TV game show. Two of these people are younger than 25 years old. Two of these six will be chosen at random to be on the show. a. What is the sample space for the chance experiment of selecting two of these people at random? (Hint: You can think of the people as being labeled \(\mathrm{A}, \mathrm{B}, \mathrm{C}, \mathrm{D}, \mathrm{E},\) and \(\mathrm{F}\). One possible selection of two people is \(\mathrm{A}\) and \(\mathrm{B}\). There are 14 other possible selections to consider.) b. Are the outcomes in the sample space equally likely? c. What is the probability that both the chosen contestants are younger than \(25 ?\) d. What is the probability that both the chosen contestants are not younger than \(25 ?\) e. What is the probability that one is younger than 25 and the other is not?
Problem 22
A small college has 2700 students enrolled. Consider the chance experiment of selecting a student at random. For each of the following pairs of events, indicate whether or not you think they are mutually exclusive and explain your reasoning. a. the event that the selected student is a senior and the event that the selected student is majoring in computer science. b. the event that the selected student is female and the event that the selected student is majoring in computer science. c. the event that the selected student's college residence is more than 10 miles from campus and the event that the selected student lives in a college dormitory. d. the event that the selected student is female and the event that the selected student is on the college football team.
Problem 26
A large cable company reports that \(80 \%\) of its customers subscribe to its cable TV service, \(42 \%\) subscribe to its Internet service, and \(97 \%\) subscribe to at least one of these two services. a. Use the given probability information to set up a hypothetical 1000 table. b. Use the table from Part (a) to find the following probabilities: i. the probability that a randomly selected customer subscribes to both cable TV and Internet service. ii. the probability that a randomly selected customer subscribes to exactly one of these services.
Problem 27
a. Suppose events \(E\) and \(F\) are mutually exclusive with \(P(E)=0.41\) and \(P(E)=0.23\). i. What is the value of \(P(E \cap F) ?\) ii. What is the value of \(P(E \cup F) ?\) b. Suppose that for events \(A\) and \(B, P(A)=0.26, P(B)=0.34\), and \(P(A \cup B)=0.47\). Are \(A\) and \(B\) mutually exclusive? How can you tell?
Problem 35
a. Suppose events \(E\) and \(F\) are mutually exclusive with \(P(E)=0.14\) and \(P(F)=0.76\) i. \(\quad\) What is the value of \(P(E \cap F) ?\) ii. What is the value of \(P(E \cup F)\) ? b. Suppose that for events \(A\) and \(B, P(A)=0.24, P(B)=0.24\) and \(P(A \cup B)=0.48\). Are \(A\) and \(B\) mutually exclusive? How can you tell?
Problem 37
A rental car company offers two options when a car is rented. A renter can choose to pre-purchase gas or not and can also choose to rent a GPS device or not. Suppose that the events \(A=\) event that gas is pre-purchased \(B=\) event that a GPS is rented are independent with \(P(A)=0.20\) and \(P(B)=0.15\). a. Construct a hypothetical 1000 table with columns corresponding to whether or not gas is pre-purchased and rows corresponding to whether or not a GPS is rented. b. Use the table to find \(P(A \cup B)\). Give a long-run relative frequency interpretation of this probability.
Problem 49
Lyme disease is transmitted by infected ticks. Several tests are available for people with symptoms of Lyme disease. One of these tests is the EIA/IFA test. The paper "Lyme Disease Testing by Large Commercial Laboratories in the United States" (Clinical Infectious Disease [2014]: \(676-681\) ) found that \(11.4 \%\) of those tested actually had Lyme disease. Consider the following events: \(+\) represents a positive result on the blood test \- represents a negative result on the blood test \(L\) represents the event that the patient actually has Lyme disease \(L^{C}\) represents the event that the patient actually does not have Lyme disease The following probabilities are based on percentages given in the paper: $$ \begin{array}{r} P(L)=0.114 \\ P\left(L^{C}\right)=0.886 \end{array} $$ $$ \begin{array}{c} P(+\mid L)=0.933 \\ P(-\mid L)=0.067 \\ P\left(+\mid L^{C}\right)=0.039 \\ P\left(-\mid L^{C}\right)=0.961 \end{array} $$ a. For each of the given probabilities, write a sentence giving an interpretation of the probability in the context of this problem. b. Use the given probabilities to construct a hypothetical 1000 table with columns corresponding to whether or not a person has Lyme disease and rows corresponding to whether the blood test is positive or negative. c. Notice the form of the known conditional probabilities; for example, \(P(+\mid L)\) is the probability of a positive test given that a person selected at random from the population actually has Lyme disease. Of more interest is the probability that a person has Lyme disease, given that the test result is positive. Use information from the table constructed in Part (b) to calculate this probability.