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a. Suppose events \(E\) and \(F\) are mutually exclusive with \(P(E)=0.14\) and \(P(F)=0.76\) i. \(\quad\) What is the value of \(P(E \cap F) ?\) ii. What is the value of \(P(E \cup F)\) ? b. Suppose that for events \(A\) and \(B, P(A)=0.24, P(B)=0.24\) and \(P(A \cup B)=0.48\). Are \(A\) and \(B\) mutually exclusive? How can you tell?

Short Answer

Expert verified
i. The value of \(P(E \cap F)\) is 0. ii. The value of \(P(E \cup F)\) is 0.9. For part b, events A and B are mutually exclusive because their union's probability is equal to the sum of their individual probabilities.

Step by step solution

01

Determine if events are mutually exclusive

Given that events E and F are mutually exclusive, this means that they cannot both occur simultaneously. The probability of their intersection, \(P(E \cap F)\), should be 0.
02

Calculate the probability of the intersection of E and F

Since events E and F are mutually exclusive, the probability of their intersection is: \[P(E \cap F) = 0\]
03

Calculate the probability of the union of E and F

For mutually exclusive events, the probability of their union is the sum of their individual probabilities: \[P(E \cup F) = P(E) + P(F) = 0.14 + 0.76 = 0.9\] Now, let's analyze part b of the exercise.
04

Determine if events A and B are mutually exclusive

To check if events A and B are mutually exclusive, we need to compare the given probability of their union (\(P(A \cup B)\)) with the sum of their individual probabilities: \(P(A \cup B) = 0.48\) \(P(A) + P(B) = 0.24 + 0.24 = 0.48\) Since \(P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B)\), it indicates that events A and B are mutually exclusive.
05

Answer the questions

i. The value of \(P(E \cap F)\) is 0. ii. The value of \(P(E \cup F)\) is 0.9. For part b, events A and B are mutually exclusive because their union's probability is equal to the sum of their individual probabilities.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Theory
Probability theory is the branch of mathematics that deals with the likelihood of events occurring. Probability is quantified as a number between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates an impossibility and 1 indicates certainty. Understanding the basics of probability is essential for analyzing different types of events, particularly when assessing outcomes in various endeavors like gambling, weather forecasting, and even in complex fields such as finance and the sciences.

When approaching problems in probability, it is crucial to define the experiment, identify possible outcomes, and determine the event of interest. This helps in assigning a probability value that measures the event's chance of happening. By mastering probability theory, students can better predict the likelihood of outcomes and make more informed decisions based on those predictions.
Intersection of Events
The intersection of events refers to a situation where two or more events happen at the same time. In mathematical terms, it's denoted by the symbol \(\cap\). In probability, the probability of the intersection of two events \(E\) and \(F\), written as \(P(E \cap F)\), helps us understand how likely it is for both events to occur together. If \(E\) and \(F\) are mutually exclusive, meaning they cannot both happen at the same time, then \(P(E \cap F) = 0\).

For example, in a deck of cards, the probability of drawing a card that is both red and a club (mutually exclusive events) is zero because a card cannot be from both suits simultaneously. Understanding intersections is crucial in calculating probabilities in more complex circumstances, such as those involving dependent events.
Union of Events
The union of two or more events, symbolized by \(\cup\), is the event that at least one of the included events occurs. When considering \(P(E \cup F)\), we're looking for the likelihood that event \(E\) or event \(F\), or both, happen. In the case of mutually exclusive events, which do not overlap, the probability of their union is simply the sum of their individual probabilities.

Calculating Union Probability

As in the original exercise, for mutually exclusive events \(E\) and \(F\), we get \(P(E \cup F) = P(E) + P(F)\). This concept is essential for determining the total probability of multiple outcomes and is frequently used across all areas of statistics and probability theory.
Mutually Exclusive
Mutually exclusive events are those that cannot occur simultaneously. If two events are mutually exclusive, the occurrence of one event excludes the possibility of the other event happening at the same time. This has significant implications in probability since it affects how probabilities are calculated.

In practical terms, if you're flipping a coin, the events 'Heads' and 'Tails' are mutually exclusive because the coin cannot land on both sides at the same time. As a result, mutually exclusive events have no elements in common, and their intersection is always an empty set, leading to \(P(E \cap F) = 0\). Recognizing mutually exclusive events is key to solving problems correctly and understanding the nature of how certain events relate to each other within a given context.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A large cable company reports that \(80 \%\) of its customers subscribe to its cable TV service, \(42 \%\) subscribe to its Internet service, and \(97 \%\) subscribe to at least one of these two services. a. Use the given probability information to set up a hypothetical 1000 table. b. Use the table from Part (a) to find the following probabilities: i. the probability that a randomly selected customer subscribes to both cable TV and Internet service. ii. the probability that a randomly selected customer subscribes to exactly one of these services.

The student council for a school of science and math has one representative from each of five academic departments: Biology (B), Chemistry (C), Mathematics (M), Physics (P), and Statistics (S). Two of these students are to be randomly selected for inclusion on a university-wide student committee. a. What are the 10 possible outcomes? b. From the description of the selection process, all outcomes are equally likely. What is the probability of each outcome? c. What is the probability that one of the committee members is the statistics department representative? d. What is the probability that both committee members come from laboratory science departments?

A small college has 2700 students enrolled. Consider the chance experiment of selecting a student at random. For each of the following pairs of events, indicate whether or not you think they are mutually exclusive and explain your reasoning. a. the event that the selected student is a senior and the event that the selected student is majoring in computer science. b. the event that the selected student is female and the event that the selected student is majoring in computer science. c. the event that the selected student's college residence is more than 10 miles from campus and the event that the selected student lives in a college dormitory. d. the event that the selected student is female and the event that the selected student is on the college football team.

A construction firm bids on two different contracts. Let \(E_{1}\) be the event that the bid on the first contract is successful, and define \(E_{2}\) analogously for the second contract. Suppose that \(P\left(E_{1}\right)=0.4\) and \(P\left(E_{2}\right)=0.3\) and that \(E_{1}\) and \(E_{2}\) are independent events. a. Calculate the probability that both bids are successful (the probability of the event \(E_{1}\) and \(E_{2}\) ). b. Calculate the probability that neither bid is successful (the probability of the event \(\operatorname{not} E_{1}\) and not \(E_{2}\) ). c. What is the probability that the firm is successful in at least one of the two bids?

Phoenix is a hub for a large airline. Suppose that on a particular day, 8000 passengers arrived in Phoenix on this airline. Phoenix was the final destination for 1800 of these passengers. The others were all connecting to flights to other cities. On this particular day, several inbound flights were late, and 480 passengers missed their connecting flight. Of these 480 passengers, 75 were delayed overnight and had to spend the night in Phoenix. Consider the chance experiment of choosing a passenger at random from these 8000 passengers. Calculate the following probabilities: a. the probability that the selected passenger had Phoenix as a final destination. b. the probability that the selected passenger did not have Phoenix as a final destination. c. the probability that the selected passenger was connecting and missed the connecting flight. d. the probability that the selected passenger was a connecting passenger and did not miss the connecting flight. e. the probability that the selected passenger either had Phoenix as a final destination or was delayed overnight in Phoenix. f. An independent customer satisfaction survey is planned. Fifty passengers selected at random from the 8000 passengers who arrived in Phoenix on the day described above will be contacted for the survey. The airline knows that the survey results will not be favorable if too many people who were delayed overnight are included. Write a few sentences explaining whether or not you think the airline should be worried, using relevant probabilities to support your answer.

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