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Chapter 7: Statistical Intervals Based on a Single Sample

Q48SE

Page 307

The article 鈥淒istributions of Compressive Strength Obtained from Various Diameter Cores鈥 (ACI Materials J., 2012: 597鈥606) described a study in which compressive strengths were determined for concrete specimens of various types, core diameters, and length -to-diameter ratios. For one particular type, diameter, and l/d ratio, the 18 tested specimens resulted in a sample mean compressive strength of 64.41 MPa and a sample standard deviation of 10.32 MPa. Normality of the compressive strength distribution was judged to be quite plausible.

a.Calculate a confidence interval with confidence level 98% for the true average compressive strength under these circumstances.

b.Calculate a 98% lower prediction bound for the compressive strength of a single future specimen tested under the given circumstances. (Hint: t.02,17 = 2.224.)

Q4E

Page 285

A CI is desired for the true average stray-load loss \({\rm{\mu }}\) (watts) for a certain type of induction motor when the line current is held at \({\rm{10 amps}}\) for a speed of \({\rm{1500 rpm}}\). Assume that stray-load loss is normally distributed with \({\rm{\sigma = 3}}{\rm{.0}}\). a. Compute a \({\rm{95\% }}\) CI for \({\rm{\mu }}\) when \({\rm{n = 25}}\) and \({\rm{\bar x = 58}}{\rm{.3}}\). b. Compute a \({\rm{95\% }}\) CI for \({\rm{\mu }}\) when \({\rm{n = 100}}\) and \({\rm{\bar x = 58}}{\rm{.3}}\). c. Compute a \({\rm{99\% }}\) CI for \({\rm{\mu }}\) when \({\rm{n = 100}}\) and \({\rm{\bar x = 58}}{\rm{.3}}\). d. Compute an \({\rm{82\% }}\) CI for \({\rm{\mu }}\) when \({\rm{n = 100}}\) and \({\rm{\bar x = 58}}{\rm{.3}}\). e. How large must n be if the width of the \({\rm{99\% }}\) interval for \({\rm{\mu }}\) is to be \({\rm{1}}{\rm{.0}}\)?

Q50SE

Page 307

A journal article reports that a sample of size 5 was used as a basis for calculating a 95% CI for the true average natural frequency (Hz) of delaminated beams of a certain type. The resulting interval was (229.764, 233.504). You decide that a confidence level of 99% is more appropriate than the 95% level used. What are the limits of the 99% interval? (Hint: Use the center of the interval and its width to determine \(\overline x \) and s.)

Q52SE

Page 307

High concentration of the toxic element arsenic is all too common in groundwater. The article 鈥淓valuation of Treatment Systems for the Removal of Arsenic from Groundwater鈥 (Practice Periodical of Hazardous, Toxic, and Radioactive Waste Mgmt., 2005: 152鈥157) reported that for a sample of n = 5 water specimens selected for treatment by coagulation, the sample mean arsenic concentration was 24.3 碌g/L, and the sample standard deviation was 4.1. The authors of the cited article used t-based methods to analyze their data, so hopefully had reason to believe that the distribution of arsenic concentration was normal.

a.Calculate and interpret a 95% CI for true average arsenic concentration in all such water specimens.

b.Calculate a 90% upper confidence bound for the standard deviation of the arsenic concentration distribution.

c.Predict the arsenic concentration for a single water specimen in a way that conveys information about precision and reliability.

Q54SE

Page 308

It is important that face masks used by fire fighters be able to withstand high temperatures because fire fighters commonly work in temperatures of 200鈥500掳F. In a test of one type of mask, 11 of 55 masks had lenses pop out at 250掳. Construct a 90% upper confidence bound for the true proportion of masks of this type whose lenses would pop out at 250掳.

Q5E

Page 285

Assume that the helium porosity (in percentage) of coal samples taken from any particular seam is normally distributed with true standard deviation .75.

a. Compute a 95% CI for the true average porosity of a certain seam if the average porosity for 20 specimens from the seam was 4.85.

b. Compute a 98% CI for true average porosity of another seam based on 16 specimens with a sample average porosity of 4.56.

c. How large a sample size is necessary if the width of the 95% interval is to be .40?

d. What sample size is necessary to estimate true average porosity to within .2 with 99% confidence?

Q62SE

Page 309

a.Use the results of Example 7.5 to obtain a 95% lower confidence bound for the parameter of an exponential distribution, and calculate the bound based on the data given in the example.

b.If lifetime X has an exponential distribution, the probability that lifetime exceeds t is P(X>t) = e-位迟. Use the result of part (a) to obtain a 95% lower confidence bound for the probability that breakdown time exceeds 100 min.

Q6E

Page 283

On the basis of extensive tests, the yield point of a particular type of mild steel-reinforcing bar is known to be normally distributed with\({\rm{\sigma = 100,}}\)The composition of bars has been slightly modified, but the modification is not believed to have affected either the normality or the value of\({\rm{\sigma }}\).

a. Assuming this to be the case, if a sample of 25 modified bars resulted in a sample average yield point of 8439 lb, compute a 90% CI for the true average yield point of the modified bar.

b. How would you modify the interval in part (a) to obtain a confidence level of 92%?

Q7E

Page 285

By how much must the sample size n be increased if the width of the CI (7.5) is to be halved? If the sample size is increased by a factor of 25, what effect will this have on the width of the interval? Justify your assertions.

Q9E

Page 285

a. Under the same conditions as those leading to the interval\({\rm{(7}}{\rm{.5),p((}}\overline {\rm{X}} {\rm{ - \mu )/(\sigma /}}\sqrt {\rm{n}} {\rm{) < 1}}{\rm{.645 = }}{\rm{.95}}{\rm{.}}\)Use this to derive a one-sided interval for\({\rm{\mu }}\)that has infinite width and provides a lower confidence bound on m. What is this interval for the data in Exercise 5(a)?

b. Generalize the result of part (a) to obtain a lower bound with confidence level\({\rm{100(1 - \alpha )\% }}\)

c. What is an analogous interval to that of part (b) that provides an upper bound on\({\rm{\mu }}\)? Compute this 99% interval for the data of Exercise 4(a).

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