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It is important that face masks used by fire fighters be able to withstand high temperatures because fire fighters commonly work in temperatures of 200鈥500掳F. In a test of one type of mask, 11 of 55 masks had lenses pop out at 250掳. Construct a 90% upper confidence bound for the true proportion of masks of this type whose lenses would pop out at 250掳.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The upper boundary of the confidence interval is \(0.2887\).

Step by step solution

01

Step 1:Margin of error.

The margin of the error is then:

\(E = {Z_{\alpha /2}}\sqrt {\frac{{\widehat p(1 - \widehat p)}}{n}} \)

02

Step 2:The sample proportion.

Given that,

\(\begin{aligned}{\rm{Sample size}}:n &= 55\\{\rm{Confidence interval: }}c &= 90\% \end{aligned}\)

The sample proportion is the number of successes divided by the sample size:

\(\begin{aligned}p &= \frac{x}{n}\\p &= \frac{{11}}{{55}}\\ p &= 0.2\end{aligned}\)

For confidence level \(1 - \alpha = 0.90\), determine \({Z_\alpha } = {Z_{0.1}}\)using the normal probability table in the appendix ( look up \(0.10\)in the table, the z-score is then the found z-score with opposite sign):

\({Z_{\alpha /2}} = 1.645\)

03

Step 3:The upper boundary of confidence interval.

The margin of the error is then:

\(\begin{aligned}E &= {Z_{\alpha /2}}\sqrt {\frac{{\widehat p(1 - \widehat p)}}{n}} \\E &= 1.645\sqrt {\frac{{0.2(1 - 0.2)}}{{55}}} \\E \approx 0.0887\end{aligned}\)

The upper boundary of the confidence interval is then:

\(\begin{aligned} p + E &= 0.2 + 0.0887\\ p + E &= 0.2887\end{aligned}\)

Hence, The upper boundary of the confidence interval is \(0.2887\).

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