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By how much must the sample size n be increased if the width of the CI (7.5) is to be halved? If the sample size is increased by a factor of 25, what effect will this have on the width of the interval? Justify your assertions.

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a) The sample size \({\rm{n}}\)should be increased four times;

(b) The width would decrease by a factor of 5.

Step by step solution

01

Concept Introduction

"A (p, 1) tolerance interval (TI) based on a sample is designed in such a way that it includes at least a proportion p of the sampled population with confidence 1; such a TI is sometimes referred to as p-content (1) coverage TI."

02

 Evaluate the effect will this have on the width of the interval 

When given a normal population,

A \({\rm{100(1 - \alpha )\% }}\)confidence interval

for the mean is given by

\(\left( {{\rm{\bar x - }}{{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}{\rm{ \times }}\frac{{\rm{\sigma }}}{{\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}{\rm{,\bar x + }}{{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}{\rm{ \times }}\frac{{\rm{\sigma }}}{{\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}} \right)\)

When the value of \({{\rm{\sigma }}^{\rm{2}}}\)is known.

This is the mentioned \({\rm{Cl}}\) in the exercise.

In order for confidence interval

\(\left( {{\rm{\bar x - }}{{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}{\rm{ \times }}\frac{{\rm{\sigma }}}{{\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}{\rm{,\bar x + }}{{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}{\rm{ \times }}\frac{{\rm{\sigma }}}{{\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}} \right)\)

To have width\({\rm{w}}\), \({\rm{n}}\)is the required sample size

\({\rm{n = }}{\left( {{\rm{2}}{{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}{\rm{ \times }}\frac{{\rm{\sigma }}}{{\rm{w}}}} \right)^{\rm{2}}}\)

The lower the width \({\rm{w}}\), the larger the number \({\rm{n}}\).

This suggests that

\({\rm{w = 2}}{{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}\frac{{\rm{\sigma }}}{{\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}\)

As a result, if the new width is \({\rm{w/2}}\), the sample size may be calculated using

\(\frac{{\rm{w}}}{{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ = 2}}{{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}\frac{{\rm{\sigma }}}{{\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}\)

As a result, the sample size must be 4 times \({\rm{n}}\)in order to attain a width of \({\rm{w/2}}\). This statement is correct since the following holds true for sample size\({n^\prime }{\rm{ = 4n}}\).

\(\begin{aligned}{l}{w^\prime } &= {\rm{2}}{{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt {{n^\prime }} }}\\ &= 2 {{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}\frac{{\rm{\sigma }}}{{\sqrt {{\rm{4n}}} }} &= \frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ \times }}\left( {{\rm{2}}{{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}\frac{{\rm{\sigma }}}{{\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}} \right)\\ &= \frac{{\rm{w}}}{{\rm{2}}}\end{aligned}\)

As a result, the sample size \({\rm{n}}\) should be raised by four times.

Assume that \({n^{\prime \prime }}{\rm{ = 25n}}\). \({w^{\prime \prime }}\)Becomes

\(\begin{aligned}{l}{w^{\prime \prime }} &= {\rm{2}}{{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{a/2}}}}\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt {{n^{\prime \prime }}} }}\\ &= 2 {{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}\frac{{\rm{\sigma }}}{{\sqrt {{\rm{25n}}} }} &= \frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{5}}}{\rm{ \times }}\left( {{\rm{2}}{{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}\frac{{\rm{\sigma }}}{{\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}} \right)\\ &= \frac{{\rm{w}}}{{\rm{5}}}\end{aligned}\)

So, the width would decrease by a factor of 5.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Assume that the helium porosity (in percentage) of coal samples taken from any particular seam is normally distributed with true standard deviation .75.

a. Compute a 95% CI for the true average porosity of a certain seam if the average porosity for 20 specimens from the seam was 4.85.

b. Compute a 98% CI for true average porosity of another seam based on 16 specimens with a sample average porosity of 4.56.

c. How large a sample size is necessary if the width of the 95% interval is to be .40?

d. What sample size is necessary to estimate true average porosity to within .2 with 99% confidence?

Consider a normal population distribution with the value of \({\rm{\sigma }}\) known. a. What is the confidence level for the interval \({\rm{\bar x \pm 2}}{\rm{.81\sigma /}}\sqrt {\rm{n}} \)? b. What is the confidence level for the interval \({\rm{\bar x \pm 1}}{\rm{.44\sigma /}}\sqrt {\rm{n}} \)? c. What value of \({{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}\) in the CI formula (\({\rm{7}}{\rm{.5}}\)) results in a confidence level of \({\rm{99}}{\rm{.7\% }}\)? d. Answer the question posed in part (c) for a confidence level of \({\rm{75\% }}\).

A study of the ability of individuals to walk in a straight line reported the accompanying data on cadence (strides per second) for a sample of n =\({\rm{20}}\) randomly selected healthy men.

\({\rm{.95 }}{\rm{.85 }}{\rm{.92 }}{\rm{.95 }}{\rm{.93 }}{\rm{.86 1}}{\rm{.00 }}{\rm{.92 }}{\rm{.85 }}{\rm{.81 }}{\rm{.78 }}{\rm{.93 }}{\rm{.93 1}}{\rm{.05 }}{\rm{.93 1}}{\rm{.06 1}}{\rm{.06 }}{\rm{.96 }}{\rm{.81 }}{\rm{.96}}\)

A normal probability plot gives substantial support to the assumption that the population distribution of cadence is approximately normal. A descriptive summary of the data from Minitab follows:

Variable N Mean Median TrMean StDev SEMean cadence

\({\rm{20 0}}{\rm{.9255 0}}{\rm{.9300 0}}{\rm{.9261 0}}{\rm{.0809 0}}{\rm{.0181}}\)

Variable Min Max Q1 Q3 cadence

\({\rm{0}}{\rm{.7800 1}}{\rm{.0600 0}}{\rm{.8525 0}}{\rm{.9600}}\)

a. Calculate and interpret a \({\rm{95\% }}\) confidence interval for population mean cadence.

b.Calculate and interpret a \({\rm{95\% }}\)prediction interval for the cadence of a single individual randomly selected from this population.

c. Calculate an interval that includes at least \({\rm{99\% }}\)of the cadences in the population distribution using a confidence level of \({\rm{95\% }}\)

A journal article reports that a sample of size 5 was used as a basis for calculating a 95% CI for the true average natural frequency (Hz) of delaminated beams of a certain type. The resulting interval was (229.764, 233.504). You decide that a confidence level of 99% is more appropriate than the 95% level used. What are the limits of the 99% interval? (Hint: Use the center of the interval and its width to determine \(\overline x \) and s.)

Determine the following:

a. The 95th percentile of the chi-squared distribution with \({\rm{v = 10}}\)

b. The 5th percentile of the chi-squared distribution with\({\rm{v = 10}}\)

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