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A study of the ability of individuals to walk in a straight line reported the accompanying data on cadence (strides per second) for a sample of n =\({\rm{20}}\) randomly selected healthy men.

\({\rm{.95 }}{\rm{.85 }}{\rm{.92 }}{\rm{.95 }}{\rm{.93 }}{\rm{.86 1}}{\rm{.00 }}{\rm{.92 }}{\rm{.85 }}{\rm{.81 }}{\rm{.78 }}{\rm{.93 }}{\rm{.93 1}}{\rm{.05 }}{\rm{.93 1}}{\rm{.06 1}}{\rm{.06 }}{\rm{.96 }}{\rm{.81 }}{\rm{.96}}\)

A normal probability plot gives substantial support to the assumption that the population distribution of cadence is approximately normal. A descriptive summary of the data from Minitab follows:

Variable N Mean Median TrMean StDev SEMean cadence

\({\rm{20 0}}{\rm{.9255 0}}{\rm{.9300 0}}{\rm{.9261 0}}{\rm{.0809 0}}{\rm{.0181}}\)

Variable Min Max Q1 Q3 cadence

\({\rm{0}}{\rm{.7800 1}}{\rm{.0600 0}}{\rm{.8525 0}}{\rm{.9600}}\)

a. Calculate and interpret a \({\rm{95\% }}\) confidence interval for population mean cadence.

b.Calculate and interpret a \({\rm{95\% }}\)prediction interval for the cadence of a single individual randomly selected from this population.

c. Calculate an interval that includes at least \({\rm{99\% }}\)of the cadences in the population distribution using a confidence level of \({\rm{95\% }}\)

Short Answer

Expert verified

a) The boundaries of the confidence interval then become:

\(\begin{aligned}{\rm{\bar x - E = 0}}{\rm{.9255 - 0}}{\rm{.0379 = 0}}{\rm{.8876}}\\{\rm{\bar x + E = 0}}{\rm{.9255 + 0}}{\rm{.0379 = 0}}{\rm{.9634}}\end{aligned}\)

b) The boundaries of the confidence interval then become:

\(\begin{aligned}{\rm{\bar x - E = 0}}{\rm{.9255 - 0}}{\rm{.2925 = 0}}{\rm{.6330}}\\{\rm{\bar x + E = 0}}{\rm{.9255 + 0}}{\rm{.2925 = 1}}{\rm{.2180}}\end{aligned}\)

c) The boundaries of the confidence interval then become:

\(\begin{aligned}{\rm{\bar x - E = 0}}{\rm{.9255 - 0}}{\rm{.2925 = 0}}{\rm{.6330}}\\{\rm{\bar x + E = 0}}{\rm{.9255 + 0}}{\rm{.2925 = 1}}{\rm{.2180}}\end{aligned}\)

Step by step solution

01

To Calculate and interpret a \({\rm{95\% }}\)confidence interval

Given:

\(\begin{align}\text x̄ &=0 \text{.9255} \\ \text s&=0 \text{.0809} \\ \text n&=20 c=95 \end{align}\)

(a)

Determine the t-value by looking in the row starting with degrees of freedom \({\rm{df = n - 1 = 20 - 1 = 19}}\) and in the column with \({\rm{\alpha = (1 - c)/2 = (1 - 0}}{\rm{.95)/2 = 0}}{\rm{.025}}\) in table A. 5 :

\({{\rm{t}}_{{\rm{0}}{\rm{.025,19}}}}{\rm{ = 2}}{\rm{.093}}\)

The margin of error is then:

\({\rm{E = }}{{\rm{t}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}{\rm{ \times }}\frac{{\rm{s}}}{{\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}{\rm{ = 2}}{\rm{.093 \times }}\frac{{{\rm{0}}{\rm{.0809}}}}{{\sqrt {{\rm{20}}} }}{\rm{\gg 0}}{\rm{.0379}}\)

Hence The boundaries of the confidence interval then become:

\(\begin{aligned}{\rm{\bar x - E = 0}}{\rm{.9255 - 0}}{\rm{.0379 = 0}}{\rm{.8876}}\\{\rm{\bar x + E = 0}}{\rm{.9255 + 0}}{\rm{.0379 = 0}}{\rm{.9634}}\end{aligned}\)

02

Step 2:To Calculate and interpret a \({\rm{95\% }}\)prediction interval

(b)

Determine the t-value by looking in the row starting with degrees of freedom \({\rm{df = n - 1 = 20 - 1 = 19}}\)nd in the column with \({\rm{\alpha = (1 - c)/2 = (1 - 0}}{\rm{.95)/2 = 0}}{\rm{.025}}\)in tableA. 5 :

\({{\rm{t}}_{{\rm{0}}{\rm{.02x,19}}}}{\rm{ = 2}}{\rm{.093}}\)

The margin of error is then:

\({\rm{E = }}{{\rm{t}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}{\rm{ \times s}}\sqrt {{\rm{1 + }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{n}}}} {\rm{ = 2}}{\rm{.093 \times 0}}{\rm{.0809}}\sqrt {{\rm{1 + }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{\rm{20}}}}} {\rm{\gg 0}}{\rm{.1735}}\)

Hence The boundaries of the confidence interval then become:

\(\begin{aligned}{\rm{\bar x - E = 0}}{\rm{.9255 - 0}}{\rm{.1735 = 0}}{\rm{.7520}}\\{\rm{\bar x + E = 0}}{\rm{.9255 + 0}}{\rm{.1735 = 1}}{\rm{.0990}}\end{aligned}\)

03

To calculate an interval that includes at least \({\rm{99\% }}\)

(c)

Given:

\({\rm{k = 99\% = 0}}{\rm{.99}}\)

The tolerance critical value is given in the row with $n=20$ and in the column with confidence level \(95\% \)and\(\% \)of population captured \( \ge 99\% \)

\({\rm{tol = 3}}{\rm{.615}}\)

The margin of error is then the product of the tolerance critical value and the standard deviation:

\({\rm{E = tol \times s = 3}}{\rm{.615 \times 0}}{\rm{.0809\gg 0}}{\rm{.2925}}\)

Hence The boundaries of the confidence interval then become:

\(\begin{aligned}{\rm{\bar x - E = 0}}{\rm{.9255 - 0}}{\rm{.2925 = 0}}{\rm{.6330}}\\{\rm{\bar x + E = 0}}{\rm{.9255 + 0}}{\rm{.2925 = 1}}{\rm{.2180}}\end{aligned}\)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A random sample of n=\({\rm{15}}\)heat pumps of a certain type yielded the following observations on lifetime (in years):

\(\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}{{\rm{2}}{\rm{.0 1}}{\rm{.3 6}}{\rm{.0 1}}{\rm{.9 5}}{\rm{.1 }}{\rm{.4 1}}{\rm{.0 5}}{\rm{.3}}}\\{{\rm{15}}{\rm{.7 }}{\rm{.7 4}}{\rm{.8 }}{\rm{.9 12}}{\rm{.2 5}}{\rm{.3 }}{\rm{.6}}}\end{array}\)

a. Assume that the lifetime distribution is exponential and use an argument parallel to that to obtain a \({\rm{95\% }}\) CI for expected (true average) lifetime.

b. How should the interval of part (a) be altered to achieve a confidence level of \({\rm{99\% }}\)?

c. What is a \({\rm{95\% }}\)CI for the standard deviation of the lifetime distribution? (Hint: What is the standard deviation of an exponential random variable?)

A journal article reports that a sample of size 5 was used as a basis for calculating a 95% CI for the true average natural frequency (Hz) of delaminated beams of a certain type. The resulting interval was (229.764, 233.504). You decide that a confidence level of 99% is more appropriate than the 95% level used. What are the limits of the 99% interval? (Hint: Use the center of the interval and its width to determine \(\overline x \) and s.)

Determine the confidence level for each of the following large-sample one-sided confidence bounds:

\(\begin{array}{l}{\rm{a}}{\rm{.Upperbound:\bar x + }}{\rm{.84s/}}\sqrt {\rm{n}} \\{\rm{b}}{\rm{.Lowerbound:\bar x - 2}}{\rm{.05s/}}\sqrt {\rm{n}} \\{\rm{c}}{\rm{.Upperbound:\bar x + }}{\rm{.67\;s/}}\sqrt {\rm{n}} \end{array}\)

The amount of lateral expansion (mils) was determined for a sample of n=\({\rm{9}}\)pulsed-power gas metal arc welds used in LNG ship containment tanks. The resulting sample standard deviation was s=\({\rm{2}}{\rm{.81}}\)mils. Assuming normality, derive a \({\rm{95\% }}\)CI for s2 and for s.

A state legislator wishes to survey residents of her district to see what proportion of the electorate is aware of her position on using state funds to pay for abortions.

a. What sample size is necessary if the \({\rm{95\% }}\)CI for p is to have a width of at most . \({\rm{10}}\)irrespective of p?

b. If the legislator has strong reason to believe that at least \({\rm{2/3}}\)of the electorate know of her position, how large a sample size would you recommend?

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