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The calibration of a scale is to be checked by weighing a 10-kg test specimen 25 times. Suppose that the results of different weightings are independent of one another and that the weight on each trial is normally distributed with 蟽 = .200 kg. Let 碌 denote the true average weight reading

on the scale.

a.What hypotheses should be tested?

b.With the sample mean itself as the test statistic, what is the P-value when \(\overline x = 9.85\), and what would you conclude at significance level .01?

c.For a test with 伪 =.01, what is the probability that recalibration is judged unnecessary when in fact 碌=10.1? When 碌= 9.8?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a)\({H_0}:\mu = 10kg\),\({H_a}:\mu \ne 10kg\)

b) \(P \approx 0\),It appears that the scale is not calibrated correctly.

c)if \(\mu = 10.1,\)then \(\beta = 53.19\% \)

if \(\mu = 9.8\)\(\beta = 0.75\% \)

Step by step solution

01

Step 1:Null hypothesis.

The null hypothesis, denoted by H0, is the claim that is initially assumed to be true (the 鈥減rior belief鈥 claim). The alternative hypothesis, denoted by Ha, is the assertion that is contradictory to H0.

The null hypothesis will be rejected in favour of the alternative hypothesis only if sample evidence suggests that H0 is false. If the sample does not strongly contradict H0, we will continue to believe in the plausibility of the null hypothesis. The two possible conclusions from a hypothesis-testing analysis are then reject H0 or fail to reject H0.

02

Step 2:Solution for part a).

Given that, Normal distribution with

\(\begin{array}{l}\sigma = 0.200\\n = 25\end{array}\)

Given claim: the average weight is \(10kg\).

The average is represented by the population mean \(\mu \).

The null hypothesis states that the population mean is equal to the value mentioned in the claim:

\({H_0}:\mu = 10kg\)

The alternative hypothesis states the opposite of the null hypothesis (since the null hypothesis states the given claim):

\({H_a}:\mu \ne 10kg\)

03

Step 3:Solution for part b) : z-score.

Given that, Normal distribution with

\(\begin{array}{l}\sigma = 0.200\\n = 25\end{array}\)

\(\overline x = 9.85\)

\(\alpha = 0.01\)

The sampling distribution of the sample mean \(\overline x \) has mean \(\mu \)and standard deviation \(\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}\).

The z-score is the value decreased by the mean, divided by the standard deviation:

\(\begin{array}{l}z = \frac{{\overline x - {\mu _{\overline x }}}}{{{\sigma _{\overline x }}}}\\ = \frac{{9.85 - 10}}{{0.2/\sqrt {25} }}\\ \approx - 3.75\end{array}\)

04

Step 4:Solution for part b): P-value.

The P-value is the probability of obtaining a value more extreme or equal to the standardized test statistic z. determine the probability using normal probability table in the appendix.

\(\begin{array}{l}P = P(Z < - 3.75orZ > 3.75)\\ = 2P(Z < - 3.75)\\ = 0\end{array}\)

If the P-value is the smaller than the significance level \(\alpha \), then the null hypothesis is rejected.

\(P < 0.01\),so it鈥檚 reject the \({H_0}\).

It appears that the scale is not calibrated correctly.

05

Step 5:Solution for part c): Sample mean.

Use the value,\(\mu = 10.1\)

Determine \({z_{\alpha /2}} = {z_{0.005}}\) using the normal probability table in the appendix (look up \(0.005\) in the table , the z-score is then the found z-score with the opposite sign);

\({z_{0.005}} = 2.575\)

The sampling distribution of the sample mean \(\overline x \) has mean \(\mu \)and standard deviation \(\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}\).

The corresponding sample mean is the population mean (of the null hypothesis) increased by the product of the z-score and the standard deviation:

\(\begin{array}{l}\overline x = \mu - z\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}\\ = 10 - 2.575\frac{{0.2}}{{\sqrt {25} }}\\ \approx 9.897\end{array}\)

\(\begin{array}{l}\overline x = \mu + z\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}\\ = 10 + 2.575\frac{{0.2}}{{\sqrt {25} }}\\ \approx 10.103\end{array}\)

We will reject the null hypothesis if the sample mean is smaller than \(9.897\) or larger than \(10.103\).

06

Step 6:Solution for part c): z-score if µ=10.1.

The z-score is the value decreased by the mean, divided by the standard deviation:

\(\begin{array}{l}z = \frac{{\overline x - {\mu _{\overline x }}}}{{{\sigma _{\overline x }}}}\\ = \frac{{9.897 - 10.1}}{{0.2/\sqrt {25} }}\\ \approx - 5.08\end{array}\)

\(\begin{array}{l}z = \frac{{\overline x + {\mu _{\overline x }}}}{{{\sigma _{\overline x }}}}\\ = \frac{{9.897 + 10.1}}{{0.2/\sqrt {25} }}\\ \approx 0.08\end{array}\)

Determine the probability that we fail to reject the null hypothesis using the normal probability table in the appendix,

\(\begin{array}{l}\beta = P( - 5.08 < Z < 0.08)\\ = P(Z < 0.08) - P(Z < - 5.08)\\ = 0.5319\\ = 53.19\% \end{array}\)

\(\beta = 37.83\% \)

07

Step 7:Solution for part c): z-score if µ=9.8.

Use the value,\(\mu = 9.8\)

The z-score is the value decreased by the mean, divided by the standard deviation:

\(\begin{array}{l}z = \frac{{\overline x - {\mu _{\overline x }}}}{{{\sigma _{\overline x }}}}\\ = \frac{{9.897 - 9.8}}{{0.2/\sqrt {25} }}\\ \approx 2.43\end{array}\)

\(\begin{array}{l}z = \frac{{\overline x + {\mu _{\overline x }}}}{{{\sigma _{\overline x }}}}\\ = \frac{{9.897 + 9.8}}{{0.2/\sqrt {25} }}\\ \approx 7.58\end{array}\)

Determine the probability that we fail to reject the null hypothesis using the normal probability table in the appendix,

\(\begin{array}{l}\beta = P(2.43 < Z < 7.58)\\ = P(Z < 7.58) - P(Z < 2.43)\\ = 1 - 0.9925\\ = 0.0075\end{array}\)

\(\beta = 0.75\% \)

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