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A mixture of pulverized fuel ash and Portland cement to be used for grouting should have a compressive strength of more than 1300 KN/m2 . The mixture will not be used unless experimental evidence indicates conclusively that the strength specification has been met. Suppose compressive strength for specimens of this mixture is normally distributed with 蟽= 60. Let 碌 denote the true average compressive strength.

a.What are the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses?

b.Let \(\overline X \) denote the sample average compressive strength for n= 10 randomly selected specimens. Consider the test procedure with test statistic \(\overline X \) itself (not standardized). If \(\overline x = 1340\), should H0 be rejected using a significance level of .01? (Hint: What is the probability distribution of the test statistic when H0 is true?)

c.What is the probability distribution of the test statistic when 碌 = 1350? For a test with 伪 = .01, what is the probability that the mixture will be judged unsatisfactory when in fact 碌= 1350 (a type II error)?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a)\({H_0}:\mu = 1300KN/{m^2}\),\({H_a}:\mu > 1300KN/{m^2}\)

b) Since \(\overline x = 1340\) is less than \(1344.2086\), we fail to reject the null hypothesis \({H_0}\).

c) Normal distribution with mean \(1350\) and standard deviation \(18.9737\),\(\beta = 37.83\% \)

Step by step solution

01

Step 1:Null hypothesis.

The null hypothesis, denoted by H0, is the claim that is initially assumed to be true (the 鈥減rior belief鈥 claim). The alternative hypothesis, denoted by Ha, is the assertion that is contradictory to H0.

The null hypothesis will be rejected in favour of the alternative hypothesis only if sample evidence suggests that H0 is false. If the sample does not strongly contradict H0, we will continue to believe in the plausibility of the null hypothesis. The two possible conclusions from a hypothesis-testing analysis are then reject H0 or fail to reject H0.

02

Step 2:Solution for part a).

Given that, Normal distribution with

\(\sigma = 60\)

Given claim: the average compressive strength is more than \(1300KN/{m^2}\).

The average is represented by the population mean \(\mu \).

The null hypothesis states that the population mean is equal to the value mentioned in the claim:

\({H_0}:\mu = 1300KN/{m^2}\)

The alternative hypothesis states the given claim:

\({H_a}:\mu > 1300KN/{m^2}\)

03

Step 3:Solution for part b).

Given that, Normal distribution with

\(\sigma = 60\)

\(\begin{array}{l}n = 10\\\overline x = 1340\end{array}\)

\(\begin{array}{l}\mu = 1300\\\alpha = 0.01\end{array}\)

Determine \({z_\alpha } = {z_{0.01}}\) using the normal probability table in the appendix (look up \(0.01\) in the table , the z-score is then the found z-score with the opposite sign);

\({z_{0.01}} = 2.33\)

The sampling distribution of the sample mean \(\overline x \) has mean \(\mu \)and standard deviation \(\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}\).

The corresponding sample mean is the population mean (of the null hypothesis) increased by the product of the z-score and the standard deviation:

\(\begin{array}{l}\overline x = \mu + z\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}\\ = 1300 + 2.33\frac{{60}}{{\sqrt {10} }}\\ \approx 1344.2086\end{array}\)

We will reject the null hypothesis if the sample mean is larger than \(1344.2086\).

Since \(\overline x = 1340\) is less than \(1344.2086\), we fail to reject the null hypothesis \({H_0}\).

04

Step 4:Solution for part c).

Given that, Normal distribution with

\(\sigma = 60\)

\(n = 10\)

\(\begin{array}{l}\mu = 1350\\\alpha = 0.01\end{array}\)

Probability distribution:

Since the distribution of \(X\) is normal, the sampling distribution of the sample mean \(\overline x \) is also normal.

The sampling distribution of the sample mean \(\overline x \) has mean \(\mu \)and standard deviation \(\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}\).

\(\begin{array}{l}{\mu _{\overline x }} = \mu = 1350\\{\sigma _{\overline x }} = \frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}\\{\sigma _{\overline x }} = \frac{{60}}{{\sqrt {10} }}\\{\sigma _{\overline x }} \approx 18.9737\end{array}\)

Thus the probability distribution of the test statistic is a normal distribution with mean \(1350\) and standard deviation \(18.9737\).

05

Step 5:Solution for part c): Type II error.

Determine \({z_\alpha } = {z_{0.01}}\) using the normal probability table in the appendix (look up \(0.01\) in the table , the z-score is then the found z-score with the opposite sign);

\({z_{0.01}} = 2.33\)

The sampling distribution of the sample mean \(\overline x \) has mean \(\mu \)and standard deviation \(\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}\).

The corresponding sample mean is the population mean (of the null hypothesis) increased by the product of the z-score and the standard deviation:

\(\begin{array}{l}\overline x = \mu + z\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}\\ = 1300 + 2.33\frac{{60}}{{\sqrt {10} }}\\ \approx 1344.2086\end{array}\)

We will reject the null hypothesis if the sample mean is larger than \(1344.2086\).

06

Step 6:Solution for part c): z-score.

The z-score is the value decreased by the mean, divided by the standard deviation:

\(\begin{array}{l}z = \frac{{\overline x - {\mu _{\overline x }}}}{{{\sigma _{\overline x }}}}\\ = \frac{{1344.2086 - 1350}}{{18.9737}}\\ \approx - 0.31\end{array}\)

Determine the probability that we fail to reject the null hypothesis using the normal probability table in the appendix,

\(\begin{array}{l}\beta = P(\overline X \le 1344.2086)\\ = P(Z < - 0.31)\\ = 0.3783\end{array}\)

\(\beta = 37.83\% \)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The accompanying data on cube compressive strength (MPa) of concrete specimens appeared in the article 鈥淓xperimental Study of Recycled Rubber-Filled High-Strength Concrete鈥 (Magazine of Concrete Res., 2009: 549鈥556):

\(\begin{array}{l}112.3 97.0 92.7 86.0 102.0\\99.2 95.8 103.5 89.0 86.7\end{array}\)

a. Is it plausible that the compressive strength for this type of concrete is normally distributed?

b. Suppose the concrete will be used for a particular application unless there is strong evidence that true average strength is less than \(100MPa\). Should the concrete be used? Carry out a test of appropriate hypotheses.

A sample of n sludge specimens is selected and the pH of each one is determined. The one-sample t test will then be used to see if there is compelling evidence for concluding that true average pH is less than 7.0. What conclusion is appropriate in each of the following situations?

a.n= 6, t= -2.3, 伪= .05

b.n= 15, t= -3.1伪=.01

c.n= 12, t= -1.3, 伪= .05

d.n= 6, t = .7, 伪 = .05

e.n= 6, \(\overline x = 6.68,s/\sqrt n = .0820\)

A manufacturer of plumbing fixtures has developed a new type of washer less faucet. Let \(p = P\) (a randomly selected faucet of this type will develop a leak within \(2\) years under normal use). The manufacturer has decided to proceed with production unless it can be determined that \(p\) is too large; the borderline acceptable value of \(p\) is specified as \(.10\). The manufacturer decides to subject \(n\) of these faucets to accelerated testing (approximating \(2\) years of normal use). With \(X = \) the number among the \(n\) faucets that leak before the test concludes, production will commence unless the observed X is too large. It is decided that if \(p = .10\), the probability of not proceeding should be at most \(.10\), whereas if \(p = .30\) the probability of proceeding should be at most \(.10\). Can \(n = 10\) be used? \(n = 20\)? \(n = 25\)? What are the actual error probabilities for the chosen n?

The melting point of each of 16 samples of a certain brand of hydrogenated vegetable oil was determined, resulting in \(\overline x = 94.32\). Assume that the distribution of the melting point is normal with 蟽 =1.20.

a.Test H0: 碌 =95 versus Ha: 碌鈮 95 using a two -tailed level .01 test.

b.If a level .01 test is used, what is 尾(94), the probability of a type II error when 碌=94?

c.What value of n is necessary to ensure that 尾(94) = .1 when 伪 = .01?

Pairs of P-values and significance levels, 伪, are given.

For each pair, state whether the observed P-value would lead to rejection of H0 at the given significance level.

a.P颅-value = .084, 伪= .05

b.P颅-value = .003, 伪= .001

c.P-颅value = .498, 伪= .05

d.P-颅value = .084, 伪= .10

e.P-颅value = .039, 伪= .01

f.P-颅value = .218, 伪 = .10

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