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The alternating current (AC) breakdown voltage of an insulating liquid indicates its dielectric strength. The article 鈥淭esting Practices for the AC Breakdown Voltage Testing of Insulation Liquids'' (IEEE)gave the accompanying sample observations on breakdown voltage (kV) of a particular circuit under certain conditions.

\(\begin{array}{l}{\rm{62\;50\;53\;57\;41\;53\;55\;61\;59\;64\;50\;53\;64\;62}}\\{\rm{\;50\;68 54\;55\;57\;50\;55\;50\;56\;55\;46\;55\;53\;54\;}}\\{\rm{52\;47\;47\;55 57\;48\;63\;57\;57\;55\;53\;59\;53\;52\;}}\\{\rm{50\;55\;60\;50\;56\;58}}\end{array}\)

a. Construct a boxplot of the data and comment on interesting features.

b. Calculate and interpret a \({\rm{95\% }}\)CI for true average breakdown voltage m. Does it appear that m has been precisely estimated? Explain.

c. Suppose the investigator believes that virtually all values of breakdown voltage are between \({\rm{40 and 70}}\). What sample size would be appropriate for the \({\rm{95\% }}\)CI to have a width of 2 kV (so that m is estimated to within 1 kV with \({\rm{95\% }}\)confidence)

Short Answer

Expert verified

a) The distribution appears to be roughly symmetric, because the box of the boxplot lies roughly in the middle between the whiskers.

b) The boundaries of the confidence interval then become is \((53.2285,56.1881)\)

c) The sample size is \({\rm{n = 217}}\)

Step by step solution

01

To Construct a boxplot

(a) Given:

\(\begin{array}{l}{\rm{n = 48 }}\\{\rm{c - 95\% = 0}}{\rm{.95}}\end{array}\)

\(\begin{array}{l}62,50,53,57,41,53,55,61,59,64,50,53,64,62,50\\,68,54,55,57,50,55,50,50,55,40,55,53,54,52,47,\\47,55,57,48,03,57,57,55,53,59,53,52,50,55,60,50,50,58\end{array}\)

Sort the data values from smallest to largest:

\(\begin{array}{l}41,40,47,47,48,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,52,52,53,53,53,53,53,53,54\\,54,55,55,55,55,55,55,55,55,50,50,57,\\57,57,57,57,58,59,59,60,61,02,02,63,04,64,68\end{array}\)

The minimum is \(41\) .

Since the number of data values is even, the median is the average of the two middle values of the sorted data set:

\({\rm{M - }}{{\rm{Q}}_{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ - }}\frac{{{\rm{55 + 55}}}}{{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ - 55}}\)

The first quartile is the median of the data values below the median (or at 25 \% of the data):

\({{\rm{Q}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{ - }}\frac{{{\rm{50 + 52}}}}{{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ - 51}}\)

The third quartile is the median of the data values above the median (or at 75 \% of the data):

\({{\rm{Q}}_{\rm{3}}}{\rm{ - }}\frac{{{\rm{57 + 57}}}}{{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ - 57}}\)

The maximum is \(08\) .

BOXPLOT

The whiskers of the boxplot are at the minimum and maximum value. The box starts at the first quartile, ends at the third quartile and has a vertical line at the median.

The first quartile is at \(25\% \)of the sorted data list, the median at \(50\% \)and the third quartile at \(75\% \).

Hence The distribution appear to be roughly symmetric, because the box of the boxplot lies roughly in the middle between the whiskers.

02

To Calculate and interpret a 95% CI for true average

(b) Central limit theorem: If the sample size is large (more than 30), then the sampling distribution of the sample mean \bar{x} is approximately normal.

LARGE-SAMPLE CONFIDENCE INTERVAL

The sample mean is the sum of all data values divided by the sample size:

\({\rm{\bar x - }}\frac{{{\rm{62 + 50 + 53 + \ldots + 50 + 56 + 58}}}}{{{\rm{48}}}}{\rm{ - }}\frac{{{\rm{2626}}}}{{{\rm{48}}}}{\rm{\gg 54}}{\rm{.7083}}\)

The variance is the sum of squared deviations from the mean divided by n-1. The standard deviation is the square root of the variance:

\({\rm{s - }}\sqrt {\frac{{{{{\rm{(62 - 54}}{\rm{.7083)}}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ + \ldots }}{\rm{. + (58 - 54}}{\rm{.7083}}{{\rm{)}}^{\rm{2}}}}}{{{\rm{48 - 1}}}}} {\rm{\gg 5}}{\rm{.2307}}\)

\({{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}{\rm{ - 1}}{\rm{.96}}\)

The margin of error is then:

\({\rm{E - }}{{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}{\rm{ \times }}\frac{{\rm{s}}}{{\sqrt {\rm{n}} }}{\rm{ - 1}}{\rm{.96 \times }}\frac{{{\rm{5}}{\rm{.2307}}}}{{\sqrt {{\rm{48}}} }}{\rm{\gg 1}}{\rm{.4798}}\)

The boundaries of the confidence interval then become:

\(\begin{array}{l}{\rm{\bar x - E - 54}}{\rm{.7083 - 1}}{\rm{.4798 - 53}}{\rm{.2285}}\\{\rm{\bar x + E - 54}}{\rm{.7083 + 1}}{\rm{.4798 - 56}}{\rm{.1881}}\end{array}\)

Hence The boundaries of the confidence interval then become is \((53.2285,56.1881)\)

03

To find the sample size

(c) Given:

\(\begin{array}{l}{\rm{E = 1}}\\{\rm{c = 95\% = 0}}{\rm{.9540}}\\{\rm{ to 70}}\end{array}\)

The population standard deviation can be estimated by one forth of the range of values:

\({\rm{\sigma \gg }}\frac{{{\rm{70 - 40}}}}{{\rm{4}}}{\rm{ - }}\frac{{{\rm{30}}}}{{\rm{4}}}{\rm{ - 7}}{\rm{.5}}\)

Formula sample size:

\(\begin{array}{l}{\rm{n - }}{\left( {\frac{{{{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}{\rm{\sigma }}}}{{\rm{E}}}} \right)^{\rm{2}}}\\{{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}{\rm{ - 1}}{\rm{.96}}\end{array}\)

The sample size is then (round up to the nearest integer!):

\({\rm{n - }}{\left( {\frac{{{{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}{\rm{\sigma }}}}{{\rm{E}}}} \right)^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ - }}{\left( {\frac{{{\rm{1}}{\rm{.96 \times 7}}{\rm{.5}}}}{{\rm{1}}}} \right)^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{\gg 217}}\)

Hence the sample size is \({\rm{n = 217}}\)

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In a sample of \({\rm{1000}}\) randomly selected consumers who had opportunities to send in a rebate claim form after purchasing a product, \({\rm{250}}\) of these people said they never did so. Reasons cited for their behaviour included too many steps in the process, amount too small, missed deadline, fear of being placed on a mailing list, lost receipt, and doubts about receiving the money. Calculate an upper confidence bound at the \({\rm{95\% }}\)confidence level for the true proportion of such consumers who never apply for a rebate. Based on this bound, is there compelling evidence that the true proportion of such consumers is smaller than \({\rm{1/3}}\)? Explain your reasoning

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\({\rm{107}}{\rm{.1\;109}}{\rm{.5\;107}}{\rm{.4\;106}}{\rm{.8\;108}}{\rm{.1}}\)

a. Is it plausible that the given sample observations were selected from a normal distribution?

b. Calculate a two-sided \({\rm{95\% }}\) confidence interval for the true average work of adhesion for UHPC adhered to steel. Does the interval suggest that \({\rm{107}}\) is a plausible value for the true average work of adhesion for UHPC adhered to steel? What about \({\rm{110}}\)?

c. Predict the resulting work of adhesion value resulting from a single future replication of the experiment by calculating a \({\rm{95\% }}\)prediction interval, and compare the width of this interval to the width of the CI from (b).

d. Calculate an interval for which you can have a high degree of confidence that at least \({\rm{95\% }}\)of all UHPC specimens adhered to steel will have work of adhesion values between the limits of the interval.

Consider a normal population distribution with the value of \({\rm{\sigma }}\) known. a. What is the confidence level for the interval \({\rm{\bar x \pm 2}}{\rm{.81\sigma /}}\sqrt {\rm{n}} \)? b. What is the confidence level for the interval \({\rm{\bar x \pm 1}}{\rm{.44\sigma /}}\sqrt {\rm{n}} \)? c. What value of \({{\rm{z}}_{{\rm{\alpha /2}}}}\) in the CI formula (\({\rm{7}}{\rm{.5}}\)) results in a confidence level of \({\rm{99}}{\rm{.7\% }}\)? d. Answer the question posed in part (c) for a confidence level of \({\rm{75\% }}\).

Assume that the helium porosity (in percentage) of coal samples taken from any particular seam is normally distributed with true standard deviation .75.

a. Compute a 95% CI for the true average porosity of a certain seam if the average porosity for 20 specimens from the seam was 4.85.

b. Compute a 98% CI for true average porosity of another seam based on 16 specimens with a sample average porosity of 4.56.

c. How large a sample size is necessary if the width of the 95% interval is to be .40?

d. What sample size is necessary to estimate true average porosity to within .2 with 99% confidence?

Determine the t critical value for a lower or an upper confidence bound for each of the situations

\(\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}{{\rm{a}}{\rm{. Confidence level = 95\% , df = 10}}}\\{{\rm{b}}{\rm{. Confidence level = 95\% , df = 15}}}\\{{\rm{c}}{\rm{. Confidence level = 99\% , df = 15}}}\\{{\rm{d}}{\rm{. Confidence level = 99\% , n = 5}}}\\{{\rm{\;e}}{\rm{. Confidence level = 98\% , df = 24}}}\\{{\rm{f}}{\rm{. Confidence level = 99\% , n = 38}}}\end{array}\)

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