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Let X have a Poisson distribution with parameter \({\rm{\mu }}\). Show that E(X) =\({\rm{\mu }}\) directly from the definition of expected value. (Hint: The first term in the sum equals \({\rm{0}}\), and then x can be cancelled. Now factor out \({\rm{\mu }}\) and show that what is left sums to \({\rm{1}}\).)

Short Answer

Expert verified

The value is obtained as:\({\rm{E(X) = \mu }}\).

Step by step solution

01

Define Discrete random variables

A discrete random variable is one that can only take on a finite number of different values.

02

Step 2:Factoring out \({\rm{\mu }}\)

A discrete random variable X with a set of potential values S and pmf p(x) has the following Expected Value (mean value):

\(\begin{aligned}{\rm{E(X) = }}{{\rm{\mu }}_{\rm{X}}}\\{\rm{ = }}\sum\limits_{{\rm{x}} \in {\rm{S}}} {{\rm{x \times p(x)}}} \end{aligned}\)

pmf with a random variable X

\({\rm{p(x;u) = }}{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - \mu }}}}\frac{{{{\rm{\mu }}^{\rm{x}}}}}{{{\rm{x!}}}}\)

When for\({\rm{x = 0,1,}}.....\) has a Poisson Distribution with parameter \({\rm{\mu > 0}}\).

As a result, according to the definition, the following is correct:

\(\begin{aligned}E(X) &= \sum\limits_{{\rm{x = 0}}}^\infty {\rm{x}} {\rm{ \times }}{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - \mu }}}}\frac{{{{\rm{\mu }}^{\rm{x}}}}}{{{\rm{x!}}}}\\&= {\rm{0 + }}\sum\limits_{{\rm{x = 1}}}^\infty {\rm{x}} {\rm{ \times }}{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - \mu }}}}\frac{{{{\rm{\mu }}^{\rm{x}}}}}{{{\rm{x!}}}}\\&= \mu \sum\limits_{{\rm{x = 1}}}^\infty {\rm{x}} {\rm{ \times }}{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - \mu }}}}\frac{{{{\rm{\mu }}^{{\rm{x - 1}}}}}}{{{\rm{x!}}}}\\&= {\rm{\mu }}\sum\limits_{{\rm{x = 1}}}^\infty {{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - \mu }}}}} \frac{{{{\rm{\mu }}^{{\rm{x - 1}}}}}}{{{\rm{(x - 1)!}}}}\\\ &={\rm{\mu }}\sum\limits_{{\rm{y = 0}}}^\infty {{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - \mu }}}}} \frac{{{{\rm{\mu }}^{\rm{y}}}}}{{{\rm{y!}}}}\\& = \mu {{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - \mu }}}}\sum\limits_{{\rm{y = 0}}}^\infty {\frac{{{{\rm{\mu }}^{\rm{y}}}}}{{{\rm{y!}}}}} \\ &= {\rm{\mu }}{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - \mu }}}}{{\rm{e}}^{\rm{\mu }}}{\rm{n}}\\ &= {\rm{\mu }}\end{aligned}\)

(1) When \({\rm{a = 0}}\), the first term equals zero;

(2):We have a word for each term.

\(\frac{{\rm{x}}}{{\rm{x}}}{\rm{ = 1}}\)

\({\rm{(x - 1)!}}\)where there isn't any more;-

(3): make \({\rm{y = x - 1}}\). The total shifts to zero instead of one as a result of this.

(4): the total

\(\sum\limits_{{\rm{y = 0}}}^\infty {\frac{{{{\rm{\mu }}^{\rm{y}}}}}{{{\rm{y!}}}}} {\rm{ = }}{{\rm{e}}^{\rm{\mu }}}\)

Therefore, the value is: \({\rm{E(X) = \mu }}\).

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Three brothers and their wives decide to have children until each family has two female children. What is the pmf of X = the total number of male children born to the brothers? What is E(X), and how does it compare to the expected number of male children born to each brother?

There are two Certified Public Accountants in a particular office who prepare tax returns for clients. Suppose that for a particular type of complex form, the number of errors made by the first preparer has a Poisson distribution with mean value \({{\rm{\mu }}_{\rm{1}}}\), the number of errors made by the second preparer has a Poisson distribution with mean value \({{\rm{\mu }}_{\rm{2}}}\), and that each CPA prepares the same number of forms of this type. Then if a form of this type is randomly selected, the function

\({\rm{p(x;}}{{\rm{\mu }}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{,}}{{\rm{\mu }}_{\rm{2}}}{\rm{) = }}{\rm{.5}}\frac{{{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - }}{{\rm{\mu }}_{\rm{1}}}}}{\rm{\mu }}_{\rm{1}}^{\rm{x}}}}{{{\rm{x!}}}}{\rm{ + }}{\rm{.5}}\frac{{{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - }}{{\rm{\mu }}_{\rm{2}}}}}{\rm{\mu }}_{\rm{2}}^{\rm{x}}}}{{{\rm{x!}}}}{\rm{ x = 0,1,2,}}...\)

gives the \({\rm{pmf}}\) of \({\rm{X = }}\)the number of errors on the selected form.

a. Verify that \({\rm{p(x;}}{{\rm{\mu }}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{,}}{{\rm{\mu }}_{\rm{2}}}{\rm{)}}\) is in fact a legitimate \({\rm{pmf}}\) (\( \ge {\rm{0}}\) and sums to \({\rm{1}}\)).

b. What is the expected number of errors on the selected form?

c. What is the variance of the number of errors on the selected form?

d. How does the \({\rm{pmf}}\) change if the first CPA prepares \({\rm{60\% }}\) of all such forms and the second prepares \({\rm{40\% }}\)?

Customers at a gas station pay with a credit card (A), debit card (B), or cash (C). Assume that successive customers make independent choices, with P(A)\({\rm{ = }}{\rm{.5}}\), P(B)\({\rm{ = }}{\rm{.2}}\), and P(C)\({\rm{ = }}{\rm{.3}}\). a. Among the next\({\rm{100}}\)customers, what are the mean and variance of the number who pay with a debit card? Explain your reasoning. b. Answer part (a) for the number among the\({\rm{100}}\)who don’t pay with cash.

A personnel director interviewing \({\rm{11}}\) senior engineers for four job openings has scheduled six interviews for the first day and five for the second day of interviewing. Assume that the candidates are interviewed in random order. a. What is the probability that x of the top four candidates are interviewed on the first day? b. How many of the top four candidates can be expected to be interviewed on the first day?

a. Show that b(x; n,\({\rm{1 - }}\)p) = b(n - x; n, p). b. Show that B(x; n,\({\rm{1 - }}\)p) =\({\rm{1 - }}\)B(n - x -\({\rm{1}}\); n, p). (Hint: At most x S’s is equivalent to at least (n - x) F’s.) c. What do parts (a) and (b) imply about the necessity of including values of p greater than\({\rm{.5}}\)in Appendix Table A\({\rm{.1}}\)?

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