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Suppose the proportion \({\rm{X}}\) of surface area in a randomly selected quadrat that is covered by a certain plant has a standard beta distribution with \({\rm{\alpha = 5}}\)and \({\rm{\beta = 2}}\).

a. Compute \({\rm{E(X)}}\) and \({\rm{V(X)}}\).

b. Compute \({\rm{P(X}} \le {\rm{.2)}}\).

c. Compute \({\rm{P(}}{\rm{.2}} \le {\rm{X}} \le {\rm{.4)}}\).

d. What is the expected proportion of the sampling region not covered by the plant?

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a) \(0.7143,0.0255\)

(b) \(0.0016\)

(c) \(0.0394\)

(d) \(0.2857\)

Step by step solution

01

Definition of proportion

The propagator is a function in quantum mechanics and quantum field theory that determines the probability amplitude for a particle to travel from one point to another in a given amount of time or with a particular amount of energy and momentum.

02

Compute \({\rm{E(X)}}\) and \({\rm{V(X)}}\).

It is assumed that the proportion \({\rm{X}}\) of surface area covered by a particular plant in a randomly chosen quadrat has a typical beta distribution with parameters. \({\rm{\alpha = 5}}\) and \({\rm{\beta = 2}}\)

(a) For the given standard beta distribution, \({\rm{E(X)}}\) can be expressed as follows:

\(\begin{aligned} E(X) &= \frac{\alpha }{{\alpha + \beta }} \\ &= \frac{5}{{5 + 2}} \\ &= \frac{5}{7} \\ E(X) &= 0.7143 \\\end{aligned} \)

For the given standard beta distribution, the variance \({\rm{V(X)}}\) can be expressed as:

\(\begin{aligned} V(X) &= \frac{{\alpha \beta }}{{{{(\alpha + \beta )}^2}(\alpha + \beta + 1)}} \\ &= \frac{{5 \times 2}}{{{{(5 + 2)}^2}(5 + 2 + 1)}} \\ &= \frac{{10}}{{{{(7)}^2}(8)}} \\ V(X) &= 0.0255 \\\end{aligned} \)

03

 Compute \({\rm{P(X}} \le {\rm{.2)}}\).

(b) The pdf for the standard beta distribution is given as:

\({\rm{f(x,\alpha ,\beta ) = }}\left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}{\frac{{\Gamma {\rm{(\alpha + \beta }})}}{{\Gamma {\rm{(\alpha ) \times }}\Gamma {\rm{(\beta }})}}{\rm{ \times }}{x^{{\rm{\alpha - 1}}}}{\rm{ \times (1 - x}}{{\rm{)}}^{{\rm{\beta - 1}}}}}&{{\rm{0}} \le {\rm{x}} \le 1}\\0&{{\rm{ otherwise }}}\end{array}} \right.\)

Substituting the parameters' values \({\rm{\alpha = 5}}\)and \({\rm{\beta = 1}}\), we get :

\({\rm{f(x,5,2) = }}\left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}{{\rm{30 \times }}{{\rm{x}}^{\rm{4}}}{\rm{ \times (1 - x)}}}&{0 \le x \le 1}\\0&{{\rm{ otherwise }}}\end{array}} \right.\)

The \({\rm{P(X}} \le 0.2)\)can be written as :

\(\begin{aligned}P(X \leqslant 0.2) &= \int_0^{0.2} f (x) \times dx \hfill \\&= \int_0^{0.2} 3 0 \times {x^4} \times (1 - x) \times dx \hfill \\&= 30\int_0^{0.2} \times \left( {{x^4} - {x^5}} \right) \times dx \hfill \\&= 30\left[ {\frac{{{x^5}}}{5} - \frac{{{x^6}}}{6}} \right]_0^{0.2} \hfill \\&= 30\left[ {\frac{{{{(0.2)}^5}}}{5} - \frac{{{{(0.2)}^6}}}{6}} \right] \hfill \\P(X \leqslant 0.2) &= 0.0016 \hfill \\\end{aligned} \)

04

Compute \({\rm{P(}}{\rm{.2}} \le {\rm{X}} \le {\rm{.4)}}\).

(c) The \({\rm{P(0}}{\rm{.2}} \le {\rm{X}} \le 0.4)\)can be written as:

\(\begin{aligned}P(0.2 \leqslant X \leqslant 0.4)&=\int_{0.2}^{0.4} f (x)\times dx\\&= \int_{0.2}^{0.4} 3 0\times {x^4}\times (1 - x) \times dx \\&= 30\int_{0.2}^{0.4}\times\left( {{x^4} - {x^5}} \right) \times dx \\\left.{= 30\left[ {\frac{{{x^5}}}{5} - \frac{{{x^6}}}{6}} \right]_{0.2}^{0.4} - \left( {\frac{{{{(0.2)}^5}}}{5} - \frac{{{{(0.2)}^6}}}{6}} \right)}\right]\\&= 30\left[ {\left( {\frac{{{{(0.4)}^5}}}{5} - \frac{{{{(0.4)}^6}}}{6}} \right)} \right]\\P(0.2 \leqslant X \leqslant 0.4) &= 0.0394 \\\end{aligned}\)

05

Step 5:  Explain the expected proportion of the sampling region not covered by the plant?

(d) Because \({\rm{X}}\) is the percentage of a plant's surface area that it covers.

As a result, the proportion of the sampling region not covered by the plant is predicted to be \({\rm{ }}\left( {{\rm{1 - X}}} \right)\).

Its predicted value is as follows:

\(\begin{aligned} E(1 - X) &= 1 - E(X) \\ &= 1 - 0.7143E(1 - X) \\ &= 0.2857 \\\end{aligned} \)

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(This type of cdf is suggested in the article 鈥淰ariability in Measured Bedload Transport Rates鈥 (Water 91影视 Bull., \({\rm{1985:39 - 48}}\)) as a model for a certain hydrologic variable.) What is a. \({\rm{P(X}} \le {\rm{1)}}\)? b. \({\rm{P(1}} \le {\rm{X}} \le {\rm{3)}}\)? c. The pdf of \({\rm{X}}\)?

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\({\rm{f(x;\theta ) = \{ }}\begin{array}{*{20}{c}}{\frac{{{\rm{k}} \cdot {{\rm{\theta }}^{\rm{k}}}}}{{{{\rm{x}}^{{\rm{k + 1}}}}}}}&{{\rm{x}} \ge {\rm{\theta }}}\\{\rm{0}}&{{\rm{x < \theta }}}\end{array}\)

a. Sketch the graph of \({\rm{f(x;\theta )}}\).

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c. If the rv \({\rm{X}}\) has pdf \({\rm{f(x;\theta )}}\), for any fixed \({\rm{b > \theta }}\), obtain an expression for \({\rm{P(X}} \le {\rm{b)}}\).

d. For \({\rm{\theta < a < b}}\) obtain an expression for the probability \({\rm{P(a}} \le {\rm{X}} \le {\rm{b)}}\).

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