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Let \({\rm{X}}\) have a standard beta density with parameters \({\rm{\alpha }}\) and \({\rm{\beta }}\).

a. Verify the formula for \({\rm{ E}}\left( {\rm{X}} \right)\) given in the section.

b. Compute \({\rm{E}}\left( {{{\left( {{\rm{1 - X}}} \right)}^{\rm{m}}}} \right){\rm{.}}\) If \({\rm{X}}\) represents the proportion of a substance consisting of a particular ingredient, what is the expected proportion that does not consist of this ingredient?

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a) First use the definition of pdf (that it must integrate to l). From there

\(\frac{{\Gamma ({\rm{\alpha ) \times }}\Gamma ({\rm{\beta }})}}{{\Gamma ({\rm{\alpha + \beta }})}} = \int_{\rm{0}}^{\rm{1}} {{{\rm{x}}^{{\rm{\alpha - 1}}}}} {\rm{ \times (1 - x}}{{\rm{)}}^{{\rm{\beta - 1}}}}{\rm{ \times dx}}\)

Then in the next step use : \(\int_{\rm{0}}^{\rm{1}} {{{\rm{x}}^{\rm{\alpha }}}} {\rm{ \times (1 - x}}{{\rm{)}}^{{\rm{\beta - 1}}}}{\rm{ \times dx}} = \frac{{\Gamma ({\rm{\alpha + 1) \times }}\Gamma {\rm{(\beta )}}}}{{\Gamma ({\rm{\alpha + \beta + 1)}}}}\)

(b)Expected proportion \({\rm{E}}\left( {{{{\rm{(1 - X)}}}^{\rm{m}}}} \right){\rm{ = }}\frac{{\Gamma ({\rm{\alpha + \beta ) \times }}\Gamma ({\rm{\beta + m}})}}{{\Gamma ({\rm{\alpha + \beta + m) \times }}\Gamma {\rm{(\beta )}}}}\)

\({\rm{E((1 - X)) = }}\frac{{\rm{\beta }}}{{{\rm{\alpha + \beta }}}}\)

Step by step solution

01

Definition of Beta density

Where \({\rm{p}}\) and \({\rm{q}}\) are the shape parameters, a and b are the lower and upper bounds of the distribution, respectively, and \({\rm{B(p,q)}}\)is the beta function, the probability density function of the beta distribution has the following general formula: The formula for the beta function is The standard beta distribution is the case where \({\rm{a = 0}}\)and \({\rm{b = 1}}\).

02

Step 2: Verify the formula

(a) The standard beta distribution's pdf is as follows:

\({\rm{f(x,\alpha ,\beta ) = }}\left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}{\frac{{\Gamma (\alpha + \beta )}}{{\Gamma {\rm{(\alpha ) \times }}\Gamma (\beta )}}{\rm{ \times }}{{\rm{x}}^{{\rm{\alpha - 1}}}}{\rm{ \times (1 - x}}{{\rm{)}}^{{\rm{\beta - 1}}}}}&{0 \le x \le 1}\\0&{{\rm{ otherwise }}}\end{array}} \right.\)

We start with the definition of pdf (that it must integrate to 1).

\(\begin{aligned}&= \int_0^1 f (x) \times dx \\ &= \int_0^1 {\frac{{\Gamma (\alpha + \beta )}}{{\Gamma (\alpha)\times\Gamma (\beta )}}}\times {x^{\alpha-1}}\times {(1- x)^{\beta- 1}} \times dx\\\frac{{\Gamma (\alpha ) \times \Gamma (\beta )}}{{\Gamma (\alpha + \beta )}} &= \int_0^1 {{x^{\alpha -1}}} \times {(1 - x)^{\beta - 1}} \times dx \\\end{aligned} \)

The standard beta distribution can then be represented as:

\(\begin{aligned}E(X)&= \int_0^1 x\times f(x) \times dx \\ &= \int_0^1 x \cdot \frac{{\Gamma (\alpha + \beta )}}{{\Gamma (\alpha ) \times \Gamma (\beta )}} \times {x^{\alpha - 1}} \times {(1 - x)^{\beta - 1}} \times dx \\&= \frac{{\Gamma (\alpha + \beta )}}{{\Gamma (\alpha ) \times \Gamma (\beta )}} \times \int_0^1 {{x^\alpha }} \times {(1 - x)^{\beta - 1}} \times dx \\\end{aligned}\)

If we substitute this integral with the integral from eqn.l, we will get the same result.

\(\alpha \) by \((\alpha + 1)\) in the eqn.l

\(\begin{aligned}E(X) &= \frac{{\Gamma (\alpha + \beta )}}{{\Gamma (\alpha ) \times \Gamma (\beta )}} \times \frac{{\Gamma (\alpha + 1) \cdot \Gamma (\beta )}}{{\Gamma (\alpha + \beta + 1)}} \\E(X) &= \frac{\alpha }{{\alpha + \beta }} \\\end{aligned}\)

03

 Explain the expected proportion

(b) Similarly, using the given standard beta distribution, \({\rm{E}}\left( {{{{\rm{(1 - X)}}}^{\rm{m}}}} \right)\) can be represented as:

\(\begin{aligned}E\left[{{{(1 - X)}^m}}\right]&= \int_0^1 {{{(1 - x)}^m}}\times f(x)\times dx\\&= \int_0^1 {{{(1 - x)}^m}} \times \frac{{\Gamma (\alpha + \beta )}}{{\Gamma (\alpha ) \times \Gamma (\beta )}} \times {x^{\alpha - 1}} \times {(1 - x)^{\beta - 1}} \times dx \\&= \frac{{\Gamma (\alpha + \beta )}}{{\Gamma (\alpha ) \times \Gamma (\beta )}} \times \int_0^1 {{x^\alpha }} \times {(1 - x)^{\beta + m - 1}} \times dx \\\end{aligned} \)

Now this integral will be same as the integral from (eqn.l) of part(a) if we replace \({\rm{\beta }}\) by \({\rm{(\beta + m)}}\) in the eqn.l

\(\begin{aligned}E\left[ {{{(1 - X)}^m}} \right] &= \frac{{\Gamma (\alpha + \beta )}}{{\Gamma (\alpha ) \times \Gamma (\beta )}} \cdot \frac{{\Gamma (\alpha ) \times \Gamma (\beta + m)}}{{\Gamma (\alpha + \beta + m)}} \hfill \\E\left[ {{{(1 - X)}^m}} \right] &= \frac{{\Gamma (\alpha + \beta ) \times \Gamma (\beta + m)}}{{\Gamma (\alpha + \beta + m) \times \Gamma (\beta )}} \hfill \\\end{aligned} \)

Because \({\rm{X}}\)denotes the proportion of a material that contains a specific ingredient, \({\rm{(1 - X)}}\)denotes the fraction that does not include that ingredient. By substituting \({\rm{m = 1}}\) in the last equation, the expected value may be calculated:

\(\begin{aligned}{l}{\rm{E((1 - X))}} &= \frac{{\Gamma ({\rm{\alpha + \beta ) \times }}\Gamma ({\rm{\beta }} + 1)}}{{\Gamma ({\rm{\alpha + \beta + 1) \times }}\Gamma ({\rm{\beta )}}}}\\{\rm{E((1 - X))}} &= \frac{{\rm{\beta }}}{{{\rm{\alpha + \beta }}}}\end{aligned}\)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Let \({\rm{X}}\) have the Pareto pdf

\({\rm{f(x;k,\theta ) = }}\left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{c}}{\frac{{{\rm{k \times }}{{\rm{\theta }}^{\rm{k}}}}}{{{{\rm{x}}^{{\rm{k + 1}}}}}}}&{{\rm{x}} \ge {\rm{\theta }}}\\{\rm{0}}&{{\rm{x < \theta }}}\end{array}} \right.\)

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As in the case of the Weibull and Gamma distributions, the lognormal distribution can be modified by the introduction of a third parameter \({\rm{\gamma }}\) such that the pdf is shifted to be positive only for \({\rm{\chi > \gamma }}\)The article cited in Exercise \({\rm{4}}{\rm{.39}}\)suggested that a shifted lognormal distribution with shift (i.e., threshold) \({\rm{ = 1}}{\rm{.0}}\), mean value \({\rm{ = 2}}{\rm{.16, }}\), and standard deviation \({\rm{ = 1}}{\rm{.03}}\) would be an appropriate model for the \({\rm{rv X = }}\) maximum-to-average depth ratio of a corrosion defect in pressurized steel.

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d. What is the \({\rm{99th}}\) percentile of the depth ratio distribution?

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Spray drift is a constant concern for pesticide applicators and agricultural producers. The inverse relationship between droplet size and drift potential is well known. The paper "Effects of\({\rm{2,4 - D}}\)Formulation and Quinclorac on Spray Droplet Size and Deposition" (Weed Technology, \({\rm{2005: 1030 - 1036}}\)) investigated the effects of herbicide formulation on spray atomization. A figure in the paper suggested the normal distribution with mean\({\rm{1500\mu m}}\)and standard deviation\({\rm{1500\mu m}}\)was a reasonable model for droplet size for water (the "control treatment") sprayed through a\({\rm{760ml/min}}\)nozzle.

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c. How would you characterize the smallest\({\rm{2\% }}\)of all droplets?

d. If the sizes of five independently selected droplets are measured, what is the probability that exactly two of them exceed\({\rm{1500\mu m}}\)?

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