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A researcher wants to estimate the proportion of students enrolled at a university who are registered to vote. Would the standard error of the sample proportion \(\hat{p}\) be larger if the actual population proportion was \(p=0.4\) or \(p=0.8 ?\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The standard error of the sample proportion \(\hat{p}\) would be larger if the actual population proportion was \(p = 0.4\), as the standard error is given by the formula \[SE(\hat{p}) = \sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}}\], and comparing the standard errors for \(p = 0.4\) and \(p = 0.8\) shows that \(SE(\hat{p}) = \sqrt{\frac{0.24}{n}} > \sqrt{\frac{0.16}{n}}\).

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the standard error of the sample proportion formula

The standard error of the sample proportion (\(\hat{p}\)) is given by the formula: \[SE(\hat{p}) = \sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}}\] where \(p\) is the population proportion, and \(n\) is the sample size. In this problem, we are given two different values for the population proportion (\(p = 0.4\) and \(p = 0.8\)), and our task is to compare the standard errors in both cases.
02

Comparing the standard errors for the two cases

First, let's find the standard error of the sample proportion for \(p = 0.4\). We don't have a specific sample size, so we will use \(n\) as a placeholder. \[SE(\hat{p}) = \sqrt{\frac{0.4(1-0.4)}{n}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.4(0.6)}{n}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.24}{n}}\] Now, let's find the standard error of the sample proportion for \(p = 0.8\): \[SE(\hat{p}) = \sqrt{\frac{0.8(1-0.8)}{n}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.8(0.2)}{n}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.16}{n}}\]
03

Analyzing the results

Now we can compare both standard errors: - For \(p = 0.4\), \(SE(\hat{p}) = \sqrt{\frac{0.24}{n}}\) - For \(p = 0.8\), \(SE(\hat{p}) = \sqrt{\frac{0.16}{n}}\) Given that \(0.24 > 0.16\), we can conclude that the standard error of the sample proportion \(\hat{p}\) would be larger if the actual population proportion was \(p = 0.4\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Proportion
When researchers or statisticians talk about the sample proportion, they are referring to the fraction or percentage of items in a sample that possesses a particular attribute. Imagine you are interested in knowing how many students in a university are registered to vote. Instead of asking every student, you collect data from a smaller group – this group is your sample.
This sample proportion is symbolized by \( \hat{p} \), and is calculated using the formula:
  • \( \hat{p} = \frac{x}{n} \)
where:
  • \( x \) is the number of sample items possessing the characteristic of interest, and
  • \( n \) is the total number of items in the sample.
The sample proportion is quite useful because it serves as an estimate for understanding characteristics of the whole population. However, it's important to remember that since it's based on a sample, it might not exactly match the true proportion of the larger population.
Population Proportion
The population proportion (\( p \)) is a key figure in statistics that tells you the fraction of the entire population that has a specific attribute. Unlike the sample proportion, this number represents the true situation across the whole group you are studying.
For example, when your aim is to find out how many students at a university are registered to vote, the population proportion would be the percentage of all students at the university who are registered. It's the actual figure you want, but determining it can involve considerable effort.
In practice, we rarely know the population proportion with absolute certainty unless we perform a complete count, which can be very resource-intensive. Instead, statisticians use the sample proportion as an aid to estimate this value. In the standard error formula, \( p \) plays a crucial role in determining the variability of the sample proportion across different samples. That’s why understanding the population proportion is essential for making accurate predictions based on sample data.
Sample Size
Sample size (\( n \)) refers to the number of observations or data points in a sample. It is an essential concept in statistics as it affects the accuracy of your research findings. A larger sample size generally leads to more reliable estimates of the population characteristics and often results in a smaller standard error.
When you draw a sample from a population, the sample size influences how representative your sample is of the population:
  • A large sample size means your findings are more likely to reflect true population characteristics.
  • A small sample size might lead to less accurate results as it could be less representative.
In calculations of the standard error, \( n \) appears in the denominator, which means as \( n \) increases, the standard error decreases. This illustrates the common statistical wisdom that bigger sample sizes lead to more precise estimates. Balancing resources and the need for accuracy is crucial when deciding on the appropriate sample size for any study.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The report "The 2016 Consumer Financial Literacy Survey" (The National Foundation for Credit Counseling, www.nfcc.org, retrieved October 28,2016 ) summarized data from a representative sample of 1668 adult Americans. Based on data from this sample, it was reported that over half of U.S. adults would give themselves a grade of \(\mathrm{A}\) or \(\mathrm{B}\) on their knowledge of personal finance. This statement was based on observing that 934 people in the sample would have given themselves a grade of \(\mathrm{A}\) or \(\mathrm{B}\). a. Construct and interpret a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of all adult Americans who would give themselves a grade of \(\mathrm{A}\) or \(\mathrm{B}\) on their financial knowledge of personal finance. b. Is the confidence interval from Part (a) consistent with the statement that a majority of adult Americans would give themselves a grade of \(\mathrm{A}\) or \(\mathrm{B}\) ? Explain why or why not.

USA TODAY reported that the proportion of Americans who prefer cheese on their burgers is 0.84 (USA TODAY, September 7,2016 ). This estimate was based on a survey of a representative sample of 1000 adult Americans. Calculate and interpret a margin of error for the reported proportion.

The article "Should Canada Allow Direct-to-Consumer Advertising of Prescription Drugs?" (Canadian Family Physician [2009]: \(130-131\) ) calls for the legalization of advertising of prescription drugs in Canada. Suppose you wanted to conduct a survey to estimate the proportion of Canadians who would allow this type of advertising. How large a random sample would be required to estimate this proportion with a margin of error of \(0.02 ?\)

A researcher wants to estimate the proportion of students enrolled at a university who eat fast food more than three times in a typical week. Would the standard error of the sample proportion \(\hat{p}\) be smaller for random samples of size \(n=50\) or random samples of size \(n=200 ?\)

A car manufacturer is interested in learning about the proportion of people purchasing one of its cars who plan to purchase another car of this brand in the future. A random sample of 400 of these people included 267 who said they would purchase this brand again. For each of the three statements below, indicate if the statement is correct or incorrect. If the statement is incorrect, explain what makes it incorrect. Statement 1: The estimate \(\hat{p}=0.668\) will never differ from the value of the actual population proportion by more than 0.046 . Statement 2 : It is unlikely that the estimate \(\hat{p}=0.668\) differs from the value of the actual population proportion by more than 0.024 . Statement 3: It is unlikely that the estimate \(\hat{p}=0.668\) differs from the value of the actual population proportion by more than 0.046 .

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