/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 37 USA TODAY, (February 17, 2011) d... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

USA TODAY, (February 17, 2011) described a survey of 1008 American adults. One question on the survey asked people if they had ever sent a love letter using e-mail. Suppose that this survey used a random sample of adults and that you want to decide if there is evidence that more than \(20 \%\) of American adults have written a love letter using e-mail. a. Describe the shape, center, and variability of the sampling distribution of \(\hat{p}\) for random samples of size 1008 if the null hypothesis \(H_{0}: p=0.20\) is true. b. Based on your answer to Part (a), what sample proportion values would convince you that more than \(20 \%\) of adults have sent a love letter via e-mail?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The sampling distribution of \(\hat{p}\) for random samples of size 1008 under the null hypothesis is approximately normal with a mean of \(0.20\) and a standard deviation of \(0.0126\). If the sample proportion value is greater than \(0.2207\), we would be convinced that more than 20% of American adults have sent a love letter via e-mail.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Null Hypothesis

The null hypothesis \(H_0\) states that the population proportion \(p\) is equal to \(0.20\). In other words, 20% of American adults have written a love letter using e-mail: \[H_0: p = 0.20\]
02

Determine the Sample Proportion

Given that we have a random sample of size 1008, we can calculate the sampling distribution of \(\hat{p}\) (sample proportion) if the null hypothesis is true.
03

Find Shape, Center, and Variability of the Sampling Distribution

To find the shape, center, and variability of the sampling distribution of \(\hat{p}\), we'll use the following formulas: Shape: The sampling distribution of \(\hat{p}\) is approximately normal if \(np\geq10\) and \(n(1-p)\geq10\). Center: mean of the sampling distribution is given by \(\mu=\hat{p}=p\) Variability: standard deviation of the sampling distribution is given by \(\sigma=\sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}}\) Here, \(n\) is the sample size (1008 in this case) and \(p=0.20\) (assuming the null hypothesis is true). We can now calculate the shape, center, and variability of the sampling distribution of \(\hat{p}\).
04

Calculate Shape, Center, and Variability

First, we check if the sampling distribution of \(\hat{p}\) is approximately normal: \(np = 1008 \times 0.20 = 201.6 \geq 10\) \(n(1-p) = 1008 \times (1 - 0.20) = 806.4 \geq 10\) Since both values are greater than 10, the sampling distribution is approximately normal. Second, we calculate the center (mean) of the sampling distribution: \[\mu = \hat{p} = p = 0.20\] Lastly, we calculate the variability (standard deviation) of the sampling distribution: \[\sigma = \sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.20(1-0.20)}{1008}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.20(0.80)}{1008}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.16}{1008}} \approx 0.0126\] Thus, the sampling distribution of \(\hat{p}\) for random samples of size 1008 under the null hypothesis is approximately normal with a mean of \(0.20\) and a standard deviation of \(0.0126\). #b. Sample Proportion Values Indicating More than 20% Have Sent Love Letters via Email#
05

Choose Significance Level

We need to choose a significance level (\(\alpha\)), which represents the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true. A common choice is \(\alpha=0.05\), but you can choose a different value depending on the context.
06

Calculate Critical Value

Now, we will find the critical value (\(z_\alpha\)) using the chosen significance level. For \(\alpha=0.05\), the critical value (\(z_{0.05}\)) is approximately \(1.645\).
07

Calculate the Sample Proportion Threshold

Finally, we will calculate the sample proportion threshold (\(\hat{p}_{threshold}\)) using the critical value, mean, and standard deviation: \[\hat{p}_{threshold} = \mu + z_\alpha \times \sigma = 0.20 + 1.645 \times 0.0126 \approx 0.2207\] This means that if the sample proportion value is greater than \(0.2207\), we would be convinced that more than 20% of American adults have sent a love letter via e-mail.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
In the realm of statistics, when we talk about the null hypothesis, we're referring to a general statement or default position that there is no relationship between two measured phenomena or no association among groups. Simplifying it further, it's a skeptical stance or a theory that there is nothing new or no effect; as long as there's no evidence to the contrary, the null hypothesis holds. In the context of the exercise, the null hypothesis (\(H_{0}\)) posits that 20% (\(p = 0.20\)) of American adults have written a love letter using e-mail.

The null hypothesis serves as a starting point for statistical significance testing. It's the assumption that any kind of difference or statistical significance you see in a set of data is due to chance. When conducting a hypothesis test, evidence from the data is used to determine whether to reject the null hypothesis in favor of an alternative hypothesis, which is the statement you're trying to find evidence for. Rejecting the null does not mean it is false; it means that there is sufficient statistical evidence to prefer the alternative hypothesis over the null hypothesis.
Sample Proportion
Moving on to the sample proportion, it represents the fraction of the sample that exhibits a particular attribute or feature. For instance, if you're looking at how many individuals performed a certain action, like sending a love letter via e-mail, the sample proportion \( \hat{p} \) in our survey is the number of people who said 'yes' divided by the total number of people surveyed. Sample proportions are a key piece in the puzzle of inferential statistics — they allow us to make educated guesses about the population proportion (\( p \) in this case), which is the value we're actually interested in estimating.

In the exercise, we're assuming the sample is sizable and random, which means we can use the sample proportion to make inferences about the larger population with an acceptable level of confidence. The central limit theorem provides the foundation for such an approach, ensuring that the distribution of sample proportions approximates a normal distribution, given a large enough sample size. This approximation allows us to apply the tools of statistical inference, like the calculation of confidence intervals and the conducting of hypothesis tests.
Statistical Significance
Finally, when we discuss the term statistical significance, we delve into whether the results of our data analysis can be considered to provide enough evidence to suggest that what we observed isn't due to random chance alone, but reflects a genuine effect or difference. Statistical significance is quantified by the p-value, which gives us the probability of observing the data, or something more extreme, if the null hypothesis were true.

A common threshold for statistical significance is a p-value of less than 0.05. If the p-value is below this level, it suggests that the evidence is strong enough to reject the null hypothesis. The exercise guides us to find the sample proportion that, if exceeded, indicates statistical significance, thus suggesting that more than 20% of American adults have sent love letters via e-mail. This is done by adding a margin (called the critical value) to the hypothesized proportion — if our sample proportion exceeds this margin, we have statistically significant evidence to suspect that the true population proportion is greater than the hypothesized value.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

A college has decided to introduce the use of plus and minus with letter grades, as long as there is convincing evidence that more than \(60 \%\) of the faculty favor the change. A random sample of faculty will be selected, and the resulting data will be used to test the relevant hypotheses. If \(p\) represents the proportion of all faculty who favor a change to plus-minus grading, which of the following pairs of hypotheses should be tested? $$ H_{0^{*}} p=0.6 \text { versus } H_{i}: p<0.6 $$ or $$ H_{0}: p=0.6 \text { versus } H_{e}: p>0.6 $$ Explain your choice.

A press release about a paper that appeared in The Journal of Youth and Adolescence (www.springer.com/ about1springer/media/springertselect?SGWID50-11001-6 \(-1433942-0,\) August \(26,2013,\) retrieved May 8,2017\()\) was titled "Video Games Do Not Make Vulnerable Teens More Violent." The press release includes the following statement about the study described in the paper: "Study finds no evidence that violent video games increase antisocial behavior in youths with pre- existing psychological conditions." In the context of a hypothesis test with the null hypothesis being that video games do not increase antisocial behavior, explain why the title of the press release is misleading.

The article "How to Block Nuisance Calls" (The Guardian, November 7,2015 ) reported that in a survey of mobile phone users, \(70 \%\) of those surveyed said they had received at least one nuisance call to their mobile phone in the last month. Suppose that this estimate was based on a representative sample of 600 mobile phone users. These data can be used to determine if there is evidence that more than two-thirds of all mobile phone users have received at least one nuisance call in the last month. The large-sample test for a population proportion was used to test \(H_{0}: p=0.667\) versus \(H_{i}: p>\) 0.667 . The resulting \(P\) -value was \(0.043 .\) Using a significance level of \(0.05,\) the null hypothesis was rejected. a. Based on the hypothesis test, what can you conclude about the proportion of mobile phone users who received at least one nuisance call on their mobile phones within the last month? b. Is it reasonable to say that the data provide strong support for the alternative hypothesis? c. Is it reasonable to say that the data provide strong evidence against the null hypothesis?

In a hypothesis test, what does it mean to say that the null hypothesis was rejected?

One type of error in a hypothesis test is rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true. What is the other type of error that might occur when a hypothesis test is carried out?

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.