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One type of error in a hypothesis test is rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true. What is the other type of error that might occur when a hypothesis test is carried out?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The other type of error in a hypothesis test is Type II error, which occurs when the null hypothesis is not rejected when it is actually false. This is also called a false negative, and its probability is denoted by the symbol \(\beta\).

Step by step solution

01

Type I Error

A Type I error occurs when the null hypothesis is rejected when it is actually true. In other words, this happens when we find "evidence" for the alternative hypothesis, but in reality, the null hypothesis is true. It is also called the false positive or the level of significance, denoted by the symbol \(\alpha\).
02

Type II Error

A Type II error occurs when the null hypothesis is not rejected when it is actually false. This means that we fail to find evidence for the alternative hypothesis when it is true. Type II error is also called a false negative, and its probability is denoted by the symbol \(\beta\). So, the other type of error in a hypothesis test is Type II error, which occurs when the null hypothesis is not rejected when it is false.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Type I Error
Understanding Type I Error is crucial in hypothesis testing. It represents a scenario where the null hypothesis, which is the default statement or position with no effect, is incorrectly rejected. Imagine a courtroom where an innocent person is wrongly convicted; this is akin to committing a Type I Error in statistics. It's finding 'guilt' when there actually is none.

For example, if you are testing a new drug and conclude that it is effective when in fact it isn't, you've made a Type I Error. This kind of error can have serious implications, especially in fields like medicine or criminal justice. The probability of making a Type I Error is denoted by the symbol \(\alpha\), often set at a threshold such as 0.05 or 5%. This means that there is a 5% chance of rejecting the null hypothesis when it should not be — a false alarm.
Type II Error
On the flip side, the Type II Error, while less known, is no less important. This error occurs when researchers fail to reject a null hypothesis that is actually false. Imagine that same courtroom, but this time, a guilty person goes free. That’s the equivalent of a Type II Error in research.

Using the previous drug example, a Type II Error would mean not recognizing the drug's effectiveness when it actually works. The implications here can also be significant, as potentially beneficial treatments may be overlooked. The likelihood of committing a Type II Error is denoted by \(\beta\), and researchers use this to understand the power of a test – its ability to correctly identify an effect when there is one.
Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis is the foundation upon which hypothesis testing is built. It refers to a general statement or default position that there is no relationship between two measured phenomena. In essence, it's a skeptical stance, one that posits that any observed effect is due to chance rather than an actual relationship.

When a researcher proposes that a new teaching method improves students' grades, the null hypothesis would state that this method has no effect compared to traditional techniques. That is, any observed improvement in grades is purely coincidental. Until evidence is strong enough to reject the null hypothesis, it stands as the accepted truth. This concept is crucial in scientific inquiry, ensuring that claims are not accepted without substantial proof.
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis challenges the status quo of the null hypothesis. It posits that there is a statistically significant effect or relationship between variables. This hypothesis represents the researcher’s belief or the theory they're testing.

In the case of the new teaching method, if you hypothesize that it does indeed improve student grades, you are voicing the alternative hypothesis. The job of your research is then to provide enough evidence to support this claim, countering the skepticism of the null hypothesis. In hypothesis testing, scientists aim to reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative one, often seeking innovative approaches that may change current understanding or practices.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The article "How to Block Nuisance Calls" (The Guardian, November 7,2015 ) reported that in a survey of mobile phone users, \(70 \%\) of those surveyed said they had received at least one nuisance call to their mobile phone in the last month. Suppose that this estimate was based on a representative sample of 600 mobile phone users. These data can be used to determine if there is evidence that more than two-thirds of all mobile phone users have received at least one nuisance call in the last month. The large-sample test for a population proportion was used to test \(H_{0}: p=0.667\) versus \(H_{i}: p>\) 0.667 . The resulting \(P\) -value was \(0.043 .\) Using a significance level of \(0.05,\) the null hypothesis was rejected. a. Based on the hypothesis test, what can you conclude about the proportion of mobile phone users who received at least one nuisance call on their mobile phones within the last month? b. Is it reasonable to say that the data provide strong support for the alternative hypothesis? c. Is it reasonable to say that the data provide strong evidence against the null hypothesis?

The article "Euthanasia Still Acceptable to Solid Majority in U.S." (www.gallup.com, June \(24,2016,\) retrieved November 29,2016 ) summarized data from a survey of 1025 adult Americans. When asked if doctors should be able to end a terminally ill patient's life by painless means if requested to do so by the patient, 707 of those surveyed responded yes. For proposes of this exercise, assume that it is reasonable to regard this sample as a random sample of adult Americans. Suppose that you want to use the data from this survey to decide if there is convincing evidence that more than two-thirds of adult Americans believe that doctors should be able to end a terminally ill patient's life if requested to do so by the patient. a. What hypotheses should be tested in order to answer this question? b. The \(P\) -value for this test is \(0.058 .\) What conclusion would you reach if \(\alpha=0.05 ?\) c. Would you have reached a different conclusion if \(\alpha=0.10 ?\) Explain.

The paper "Bedtime Mobile Phone Use and Sleep in Adults" (Social Science and Medicine [2016]: \(93-101\) ) describes a study of 844 adults living in Belgium. Suppose that it is reasonable to regard this sample as a random sample of adults living in Belgium. You want to use the survey data to decide if there is evidence that a majority of adults living in Belgium take their cell phones to bed with them. Let \(p\) denote the population proportion of all adults living in Belgium who take their cell phones to bed with them. (Hint: See Example \(10.10 .)\) a. Describe the shape, center, and variability of the sampling distribution of \(\hat{p}\) for random samples of size 844 if the null hypothesis \(H_{0}: p=0.50\) is true. b. Would you be surprised to observe a sample proportion as large as \(\hat{p}=0.52\) for a sample of size 844 if the null hypothesis \(H_{0}: p=0.50\) were true? Explain why or why not. c. Would you be surprised to observe a sample proportion as large as \(\hat{p}=0.54\) for a sample of size 844 if the null hypothesis \(H_{0}: p=0.50\) were true? Explain why or why not. d. The actual sample proportion observed in the study was \(\hat{p}=0.59 .\) Based on this sample proportion, is there convincing evidence that the null hypothesis \(H_{0}: p=\) 0.50 is not true, or is \(\hat{p}\) consistent with what you would expect to see when the null hypothesis is true? Support your answer with a probability calculation. e. Do you think it would be reasonable to generalize the concusion of this test to adults living in the United States? Explain why or why not.

A manufacturer of handheld calculators receives large shipments of printed circuits from a supplier. It is too costly and time-consuming to inspect all incoming circuits, so when each shipment arrives, a sample is selected for inspection. A shipment is defined to be of inferior quality if it contains more than \(1 \%\) defective circuits. Information from the sample is used to test \(H_{0}: p=0.01\) versus \(H_{a}: p>0.01,\) where \(p\) is the actual proportion of defective circuits in the shipment. If the null hypothesis is not rejected, the shipment is accepted, and the circuits are used in the production of calculators. If the null hypothesis is rejected, the entire shipment is returned to the supplier because of inferior quality. a. Complete the last two columns of the following table. (Hint: See Example 10.7 for an example of how this is done.) \begin{tabular}{|llcc|} \hline & \multicolumn{3}{c|} { Description } \\ Error & Definition of Error & of Error in Context & Consequence of Error \\ \hline Type I error & Reject a true \(H_{0}\) & & \\ Type II error & Fail to reject a false \(H_{0}\) & & \\ & & & \\ \hline \end{tabular} b. From the calculator manufacturer's point of view, which type of error would be considered more serious? Explain. c. From the printed circuit supplier's point of view, which type of error would be considered more serious? Explain.

Give an example of a situation where you would want to select a small significance level.

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