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One type of error in a hypothesis test is rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true. What is the other type of error that might occur when a hypothesis test is carried out?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The other type of error in a hypothesis test is Type II error, which occurs when the null hypothesis is not rejected when it is actually false. This is also called a false negative, and its probability is denoted by the symbol \(\beta\).

Step by step solution

01

Type I Error

A Type I error occurs when the null hypothesis is rejected when it is actually true. In other words, this happens when we find "evidence" for the alternative hypothesis, but in reality, the null hypothesis is true. It is also called the false positive or the level of significance, denoted by the symbol \(\alpha\).
02

Type II Error

A Type II error occurs when the null hypothesis is not rejected when it is actually false. This means that we fail to find evidence for the alternative hypothesis when it is true. Type II error is also called a false negative, and its probability is denoted by the symbol \(\beta\). So, the other type of error in a hypothesis test is Type II error, which occurs when the null hypothesis is not rejected when it is false.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Type I Error
Understanding Type I Error is crucial in hypothesis testing. It represents a scenario where the null hypothesis, which is the default statement or position with no effect, is incorrectly rejected. Imagine a courtroom where an innocent person is wrongly convicted; this is akin to committing a Type I Error in statistics. It's finding 'guilt' when there actually is none.

For example, if you are testing a new drug and conclude that it is effective when in fact it isn't, you've made a Type I Error. This kind of error can have serious implications, especially in fields like medicine or criminal justice. The probability of making a Type I Error is denoted by the symbol \(\alpha\), often set at a threshold such as 0.05 or 5%. This means that there is a 5% chance of rejecting the null hypothesis when it should not be — a false alarm.
Type II Error
On the flip side, the Type II Error, while less known, is no less important. This error occurs when researchers fail to reject a null hypothesis that is actually false. Imagine that same courtroom, but this time, a guilty person goes free. That’s the equivalent of a Type II Error in research.

Using the previous drug example, a Type II Error would mean not recognizing the drug's effectiveness when it actually works. The implications here can also be significant, as potentially beneficial treatments may be overlooked. The likelihood of committing a Type II Error is denoted by \(\beta\), and researchers use this to understand the power of a test – its ability to correctly identify an effect when there is one.
Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis is the foundation upon which hypothesis testing is built. It refers to a general statement or default position that there is no relationship between two measured phenomena. In essence, it's a skeptical stance, one that posits that any observed effect is due to chance rather than an actual relationship.

When a researcher proposes that a new teaching method improves students' grades, the null hypothesis would state that this method has no effect compared to traditional techniques. That is, any observed improvement in grades is purely coincidental. Until evidence is strong enough to reject the null hypothesis, it stands as the accepted truth. This concept is crucial in scientific inquiry, ensuring that claims are not accepted without substantial proof.
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis challenges the status quo of the null hypothesis. It posits that there is a statistically significant effect or relationship between variables. This hypothesis represents the researcher’s belief or the theory they're testing.

In the case of the new teaching method, if you hypothesize that it does indeed improve student grades, you are voicing the alternative hypothesis. The job of your research is then to provide enough evidence to support this claim, countering the skepticism of the null hypothesis. In hypothesis testing, scientists aim to reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative one, often seeking innovative approaches that may change current understanding or practices.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose that for a particular hypothesis test, the consequences of a Type I error are very serious. Would you want to carry out the test using a small significance level \(\alpha\) (such as 0.01 ) or a larger significance level (such as 0.10 )? Explain the reason for your choice.

In a hypothesis test, what does it mean to say that the null hypothesis was rejected?

Use the definition of the \(P\) -value to explain the following: a. Why \(H_{0}\) would be rejected if \(P\) -value \(=0.003\) b. Why \(H_{0}\) would not be rejected if \(P\) -value \(=0.350\)

Researchers at the University of Washington and Harvard University analyzed records of breast cancer screening and diagnostic evaluations ("Mammogram Cancer Scares More Frequent Than Thought," USA TODAY, April 16,1998 ). Discussing the benefits and downsides of the screening process, the article states that although the rate of falsepositives is higher than previously thought, if radiologists were less aggressive in following up on suspicious tests, the rate of false-positives would fall, but the rate of missed cancers would rise. Suppose that such a screening test is used to decide between a null hypothesis of \(H_{0}:\) no cancer is present and an alternative hypothesis of \(H_{a}:\) cancer is present. (Although these are not hypotheses about a population characteristic, this exercise illustrates the definitions of Type I and Type II errors.) a. Would a false-positive (thinking that cancer is present when in fact it is not) be a Type I error or a Type II error? b. Describe a Type I error in the context of this problem, and discuss the consequences of making a Type I error. c. Describe a Type II error in the context of this problem, and discuss the consequences of making a Type II error. d. Recall the statement in the article that if radiologists were less aggressive in following up on suspicious tests, the rate of false-positives would fall but the rate of missed cancers would rise. What aspect of the relationship between the probability of a Type I error and the probability of a Type II error is being described here?

For which of the following \(P\) -values will the null hypothesis be rejected when performing a test with a significance level of \(0.05 ?\) a. 0.001 d. 0.047 b. 0.021 e. 0.148 c. 0.078

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