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One type of error in a hypothesis test is rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true. What is the other type of error that might occur when a hypothesis test is carried out?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The other type of error in a hypothesis test is Type II error, which occurs when the null hypothesis is not rejected when it is actually false. This is also called a false negative, and its probability is denoted by the symbol \(\beta\).

Step by step solution

01

Type I Error

A Type I error occurs when the null hypothesis is rejected when it is actually true. In other words, this happens when we find "evidence" for the alternative hypothesis, but in reality, the null hypothesis is true. It is also called the false positive or the level of significance, denoted by the symbol \(\alpha\).
02

Type II Error

A Type II error occurs when the null hypothesis is not rejected when it is actually false. This means that we fail to find evidence for the alternative hypothesis when it is true. Type II error is also called a false negative, and its probability is denoted by the symbol \(\beta\). So, the other type of error in a hypothesis test is Type II error, which occurs when the null hypothesis is not rejected when it is false.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Type I Error
Understanding Type I Error is crucial in hypothesis testing. It represents a scenario where the null hypothesis, which is the default statement or position with no effect, is incorrectly rejected. Imagine a courtroom where an innocent person is wrongly convicted; this is akin to committing a Type I Error in statistics. It's finding 'guilt' when there actually is none.

For example, if you are testing a new drug and conclude that it is effective when in fact it isn't, you've made a Type I Error. This kind of error can have serious implications, especially in fields like medicine or criminal justice. The probability of making a Type I Error is denoted by the symbol \(\alpha\), often set at a threshold such as 0.05 or 5%. This means that there is a 5% chance of rejecting the null hypothesis when it should not be — a false alarm.
Type II Error
On the flip side, the Type II Error, while less known, is no less important. This error occurs when researchers fail to reject a null hypothesis that is actually false. Imagine that same courtroom, but this time, a guilty person goes free. That’s the equivalent of a Type II Error in research.

Using the previous drug example, a Type II Error would mean not recognizing the drug's effectiveness when it actually works. The implications here can also be significant, as potentially beneficial treatments may be overlooked. The likelihood of committing a Type II Error is denoted by \(\beta\), and researchers use this to understand the power of a test – its ability to correctly identify an effect when there is one.
Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis is the foundation upon which hypothesis testing is built. It refers to a general statement or default position that there is no relationship between two measured phenomena. In essence, it's a skeptical stance, one that posits that any observed effect is due to chance rather than an actual relationship.

When a researcher proposes that a new teaching method improves students' grades, the null hypothesis would state that this method has no effect compared to traditional techniques. That is, any observed improvement in grades is purely coincidental. Until evidence is strong enough to reject the null hypothesis, it stands as the accepted truth. This concept is crucial in scientific inquiry, ensuring that claims are not accepted without substantial proof.
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis challenges the status quo of the null hypothesis. It posits that there is a statistically significant effect or relationship between variables. This hypothesis represents the researcher’s belief or the theory they're testing.

In the case of the new teaching method, if you hypothesize that it does indeed improve student grades, you are voicing the alternative hypothesis. The job of your research is then to provide enough evidence to support this claim, countering the skepticism of the null hypothesis. In hypothesis testing, scientists aim to reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative one, often seeking innovative approaches that may change current understanding or practices.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A television manufacturer states that at least \(90 \%\) of its TV sets will not need service during the first 3 years of operation. A consumer group wants to investigate this statement. A random sample of \(n=100\) purchasers is selected and each person is asked if the set purchased needed repair during the first 3 years. Let \(p\) denote the proportion of all sets made by this manufacturer that will not need service in the first 3 years. The consumer group does not want to claim false advertising unless there is strong evidence that \(p<0.90\). The appropriate hypotheses are then \(H_{0}: p=0.90\) versus \(H_{a}: p<0.90\). a. In the context of this problem, describe Type I and Type II errors, and discuss the possible consequences of each. b. Would you recommend a test procedure that uses \(\alpha=\) 0.01 or one that uses \(\alpha=0.10 ?\) Explain. (Hint: See Example \(10.9 .)\)

CareerBuilder.com conducted a survey to learn about the proportion of employers who perform background checks when evaluating a candidate for employment ("Majority of Employers Background Check Employees...Here's Why," November \(17,\) \(2016,\) retrieved November 19,2016 ). Suppose you are interested in determining if the resulting data provide strong evidence in support of the claim that more than two-thirds of employers perform background checks. To answer this question, what null and alternative hypotheses should you test? (Hint: See Example \(10.4 .)\)

Refer to the instructions prior to Exercise \(10.90 .\) The paper "I Smoke but I Am Not a Smoker" ( Journal of American College Health [2010]: \(117-125\) ) describes a survey of 899 college students who were asked about their smoking behavior. Of the students surveyed, 268 classified themselves as nonsmokers, but said "yes" when asked later in the survey if they smoked. These students were classified as "phantom smokers" meaning that they did not view themselves as smokers even though they do smoke at times. The authors were interested in using these data to determine if there is convincing evidence that more than \(25 \%\) of college students fall into the phantom smoker category.

In a survey of 1000 women age 22 to 35 who work full-time, 540 indicated that they would be willing to give up some personal time in order to make more money (USA TODAY, March 4,2010 ). The sample was selected to be representative of women in the targeted age group. a. Do the sample data provide convincing evidence that a majority of women age 22 to 35 who work fulltime would be willing to give up some personal time for more money? Test the relevant hypotheses using \(\alpha=0.01\) b. Would it be reasonable to generalize the conclusion from Part (a) to all working women? Explain why or why not.

Medical personnel are required to report suspected cases of child abuse. Because some diseases have symptoms that are similar to those of child abuse, doctors who see a child with these symptoms must decide between two competing hypotheses: \(H_{0}:\) symptoms are due to child abuse \(H:\) symptoms are not due to child abuse (Although these are not hypotheses about a population characteristic, this exercise illustrates the definitions of Type I and Type II errors.) The article "Blurred Line Between Illness, Abuse Creates Problem for Authorities" (Macon Telegraph, February \(28,\) 2000 ) included the following quote from a doctor in Atlanta regarding the consequences of making an incorrect decision: "If it's disease, the worst you have is an angry family. If it is abuse, the other kids (in the family) are in deadly danger." a. For the given hypotheses, describe Type I and Type II errors. b. Based on the quote regarding consequences of the two kinds of error, which type of error is considered more serious by the doctor quoted? Explain.

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