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Suppose that for a particular hypothesis test, the consequences of a Type I error are very serious. Would you want to carry out the test using a small significance level \(\alpha\) (such as 0.01 ) or a larger significance level (such as 0.10 )? Explain the reason for your choice.

Short Answer

Expert verified
When the consequences of a Type I error are very serious, a smaller significance level (e.g., 0.01) is more appropriate, as it minimizes the probability of making a Type I error, thus reducing the risk associated with serious consequences of incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the meaning of Type I error

A Type I error occurs when we reject the null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) when it is actually true. In hypothesis testing, the significance level (\(\alpha\)) is the probability of making a Type I error.
02

Consider the consequences of Type I errors

When the consequences of a Type I error are very serious, we want to minimize the probability of making such an error. This means that we should choose a lower significance level (\(\alpha\)) to reduce the chances of incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis (\(H_0\)).
03

Choose an appropriate significance level

Given the choice between a small significance level (0.01) and a larger significance level (0.10), we should choose the smaller significance level (0.01) because it has a lower probability of making a Type I error. This will help to minimize the risk associated with the serious consequences of making a Type I error.
04

Conclusion

When the consequences of a Type I error are very serious, we should choose a smaller significance level (\(\alpha\)) to minimize the probability of making such an error. In this case, using a significance level of 0.01 is more appropriate than using a significance level of 0.10.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Type I Error
In hypothesis testing, we're often interested in determining if there's enough evidence to reject a starting assumption called the "null hypothesis." However, there's always a risk of making errors in this process. A Type I error happens when we reject the null hypothesis when it's actually true.
This is like saying there's a fire alarm going off without an actual fire. It means we've observed something that could very well be due to random chance but mistakenly take it as evidence against our null hypothesis.
Understanding the consequences of committing a Type I error can be crucial. For situations where such an error could lead to serious repercussions, it becomes necessary to be cautious in our decision-making process. Because a Type I error is linked to the significance level of a test, carefully setting this level can help in minimizing the risk of such errors.
In our context, being aware of the severe consequences associated with Type I errors implies that we should opt for measures that can help in safeguarding against false alarms, thereby reducing their impact.
Significance Level
The significance level, denoted by the Greek letter \(\alpha\), is a pivotal concept in hypothesis testing. It represents the probability of making a Type I error; essentially, it's how likely we are to reject a true null hypothesis.
Choosing the significance level is like setting a benchmark for evidence needed to make a decision.
A smaller significance level (e.g., 0.01 compared to 0.10) indicates stricter criteria for rejecting the null hypothesis. It reduces the risk of Type I errors but may increase the chance of a Type II error, which is failing to reject a false null hypothesis. For instance, opting for a significance level of 0.01 means we're only willing to accept a 1% chance of being wrong when we say the null hypothesis is false.
Deciding on the significance level depends on the context and the risks associated. When the implications of a Type I error are high, utilizing a smaller significance level is an effective strategy to minimize such errors. Thus, the choice of significance level plays a key role in managing the balance between avoiding errors and making the correct decision.
Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis is a foundational element in hypothesis testing. Symbolized as \(H_0\), it serves as the statement we seek to test. It often represents a general or default position, like asserting that there's no effect or difference between groups.
For any hypothesis test, the null hypothesis posits that any observed difference or relationship is due to random variation.
To conduct a hypothesis test, we collect data and assess the likelihood of observing our data if the null hypothesis were true. Typically, the null hypothesis is something we aim to challenge, hoping to gather enough evidence to reject it in favor of an alternative hypothesis.
Rejection happens if our analysis shows strong enough evidence against \(H_0\), often by reaching a threshold defined by our significance level.
Thus, the null hypothesis acts as an anchor point for statistical testing. It helps structure our analysis by providing a statement against which evidence can be weighed. In scientific research and many other fields, appropriately understanding and structuring the null hypothesis is essential to derive meaningful results.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

One type of error in a hypothesis test is rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true. What is the other type of error that might occur when a hypothesis test is carried out?

In a hypothesis test, what does it mean to say that the null hypothesis was not rejected?

In a representative sample of adult Americans ages 26 to 32 years, \(27 \%\) indicated that they owned a fitness band that kept track of the number of steps walked each day and their daily activity levels ("Digital Democracy Survey", Deloitte Development LLC, 2016, www2, deloitte.com/us/en.html, retrieved November 30 , 2016). Suppose that the sample size was 500 . Is there convincing evidence that more than one-quarter of all adult Americans in this age group own a fitness band?

For which of the following \(P\) -values will the null hypothesis be rejected when performing a test with a significance level of \(0.05 ?\) a. 0.001 d. 0.047 b. 0.021 e. 0.148 c. 0.078

The article "Public Acceptability in the UK and the USA of Nudging to Reduce Obesity: The Example of Reducing Sugar-Sweetened Beverages" (PLOS One, June 8,2016 ) describes a survey in which each person in a representative sample of 1082 adult Americans was asked about whether they would find different types of interventions acceptable in an effort to reduce consumption of sugary beverages. When asked about a tax on sugary beverages, 459 of the people in the sample said they thought that this would be an acceptable intervention. These data were used to test \(H_{0}: p=0.5\) versus \(H_{a^{*}}: p<0.5\) and the null hypothesis was rejected. a. Based on the hypothesis test, what can you conclude about the proportion of adult Americans who think that taxing sugary beverages is an acceptable intervention in an effort to reduce consumption of sugary beverages? b. Is it reasonable to say that the data provide strong support for the alternative hypothesis? c. Is it reasonable to say that the data provide strong evidence against the null hypothesis?

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