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Suppose that for a particular hypothesis test, the consequences of a Type I error are very serious. Would you want to carry out the test using a small significance level \(\alpha\) (such as 0.01 ) or a larger significance level (such as 0.10 )? Explain the reason for your choice.

Short Answer

Expert verified
When the consequences of a Type I error are very serious, a smaller significance level (e.g., 0.01) is more appropriate, as it minimizes the probability of making a Type I error, thus reducing the risk associated with serious consequences of incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the meaning of Type I error

A Type I error occurs when we reject the null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) when it is actually true. In hypothesis testing, the significance level (\(\alpha\)) is the probability of making a Type I error.
02

Consider the consequences of Type I errors

When the consequences of a Type I error are very serious, we want to minimize the probability of making such an error. This means that we should choose a lower significance level (\(\alpha\)) to reduce the chances of incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis (\(H_0\)).
03

Choose an appropriate significance level

Given the choice between a small significance level (0.01) and a larger significance level (0.10), we should choose the smaller significance level (0.01) because it has a lower probability of making a Type I error. This will help to minimize the risk associated with the serious consequences of making a Type I error.
04

Conclusion

When the consequences of a Type I error are very serious, we should choose a smaller significance level (\(\alpha\)) to minimize the probability of making such an error. In this case, using a significance level of 0.01 is more appropriate than using a significance level of 0.10.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Type I Error
In hypothesis testing, we're often interested in determining if there's enough evidence to reject a starting assumption called the "null hypothesis." However, there's always a risk of making errors in this process. A Type I error happens when we reject the null hypothesis when it's actually true.
This is like saying there's a fire alarm going off without an actual fire. It means we've observed something that could very well be due to random chance but mistakenly take it as evidence against our null hypothesis.
Understanding the consequences of committing a Type I error can be crucial. For situations where such an error could lead to serious repercussions, it becomes necessary to be cautious in our decision-making process. Because a Type I error is linked to the significance level of a test, carefully setting this level can help in minimizing the risk of such errors.
In our context, being aware of the severe consequences associated with Type I errors implies that we should opt for measures that can help in safeguarding against false alarms, thereby reducing their impact.
Significance Level
The significance level, denoted by the Greek letter \(\alpha\), is a pivotal concept in hypothesis testing. It represents the probability of making a Type I error; essentially, it's how likely we are to reject a true null hypothesis.
Choosing the significance level is like setting a benchmark for evidence needed to make a decision.
A smaller significance level (e.g., 0.01 compared to 0.10) indicates stricter criteria for rejecting the null hypothesis. It reduces the risk of Type I errors but may increase the chance of a Type II error, which is failing to reject a false null hypothesis. For instance, opting for a significance level of 0.01 means we're only willing to accept a 1% chance of being wrong when we say the null hypothesis is false.
Deciding on the significance level depends on the context and the risks associated. When the implications of a Type I error are high, utilizing a smaller significance level is an effective strategy to minimize such errors. Thus, the choice of significance level plays a key role in managing the balance between avoiding errors and making the correct decision.
Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis is a foundational element in hypothesis testing. Symbolized as \(H_0\), it serves as the statement we seek to test. It often represents a general or default position, like asserting that there's no effect or difference between groups.
For any hypothesis test, the null hypothesis posits that any observed difference or relationship is due to random variation.
To conduct a hypothesis test, we collect data and assess the likelihood of observing our data if the null hypothesis were true. Typically, the null hypothesis is something we aim to challenge, hoping to gather enough evidence to reject it in favor of an alternative hypothesis.
Rejection happens if our analysis shows strong enough evidence against \(H_0\), often by reaching a threshold defined by our significance level.
Thus, the null hypothesis acts as an anchor point for statistical testing. It helps structure our analysis by providing a statement against which evidence can be weighed. In scientific research and many other fields, appropriately understanding and structuring the null hypothesis is essential to derive meaningful results.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The paper "Teens and Distracted Driving"" (Pew Internet \& American Life Project, 2009 ) reported that in a representative sample of 283 American teens age 16 to \(17,\) there were 74 who indicated that they had sent a text message while driving. For purposes of this exercise, assume that this sample is a random sample of 16- to 17 -year-old Americans. Do these data provide convincing evidence that more than a quarter of Americans age 16 to 17 have sent a text message while driving? Test the appropriate hypotheses using a significance level of 0.01 . (Hint: See Example 10.11 .)

One type of error in a hypothesis test is failing to reject a false null hypothesis. What is the other type of error that might occur when a hypothesis test is carried out?

Refer to the instructions given prior to Exercise \(10.57 .\) The paper "Pathological Video-Game Use Among Youth Ages 8 to 18: A National Study" (Psychological Science [2009]: \(594-601\) ) summarizes data from a random sample of 1178 students age 8 to \(18 .\) The paper reported that for the students in the sample, the mean amount of time spent playing video games was 13.2 hours per week. The researchers were interested in using the data to estimate the mean amount of time spent playing video games for students age 8 to 18 .

Assuming a random sample from a large population, for which of the following null hypotheses and sample sizes is the large-sample \(z\) test appropriate? a. \(H_{0}: p=0.8, n=40\) b. \(H_{0}: p=0.4, n=100\) c. \(H_{0}: p=0.1, n=50\) d. \(H_{0}: p=0.05, n=750\)

A number of initiatives on the topic of legalized gambling have appeared on state ballots. A political candidate has decided to support legalization of casino gambling if he is convinced that more than two-thirds of American adults approve of casino gambling. Suppose that 1035 of the people in a random sample of 1523 American adults said they approved of casino gambling. Is there convincing evidence that more than two-thirds approve?

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