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4\. Suppose you want to develop a model that predicts the gas mileage of a car. The explanatory variables you are going to utilize are \(x_{1}:\) city or highway driving \(x_{2}:\) weight of the car \(x_{3}:\) tire pressure (a) Write a model that utilizes all three explanatory variables in an additive model with linear terms and define any indicator variables. (b) Suppose you suspect there is interaction between weight and tire pressure. Write a model that incorporates this interaction term into the model from part (a).

Short Answer

Expert verified
The models are: (a) \[ y = \beta_{0} + \beta_{1} x_{1} + \beta_{2} x_{2} + \beta_{3} x_{3} + \epsilon \] (b) \[ y = \beta_{0} + \beta_{1} x_{1} + \beta_{2} x_{2} + \beta_{3} x_{3} + \beta_{4} x_{2} x_{3} + \epsilon \]

Step by step solution

01

Title - Identify the Explanatory Variables

List out the explanatory variables that will be used in the model. These are: 1. Driving type (city or highway) - represented as \(x_{1}\)2. Weight of the car - represented as \(x_{2}\)3. Tire pressure - represented as \(x_{3}\)
02

Title - Define Indicator Variable for Driving Type

Define an indicator variable for the driving type (city or highway). Let \(x_{1}\) be an indicator variable where: \[ x_{1} = \begin{cases} 0 & \text{if city driving} \ 1 & \text{if highway driving} \end{cases} \]
03

Title - Write the Linear Additive Model

Express the model that incorporates all three explanatory variables in an additive, linear form. The model can be written as: \[ y = \beta_{0} + \beta_{1} x_{1} + \beta_{2} x_{2} + \beta_{3} x_{3} + \epsilon \] where \( y \) represents the gas mileage, \( \beta_{0} \) is the intercept, \( \beta_{1}, \beta_{2}, \) and \( \beta_{3} \) are the coefficients for each explanatory variable, and \( \epsilon \) is the error term.
04

Title - Introduce Interaction Term

Incorporate the interaction term between weight (\(x_{2}\)) and tire pressure (\(x_{3}\)) into the model. The new model will include an additional term \(\beta_{4} x_{2} x_{3}\): \[ y = \beta_{0} + \beta_{1} x_{1} + \beta_{2} x_{2} + \beta_{3} x_{3} + \beta_{4} x_{2} x_{3} + \epsilon \]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Explanatory Variables
Explanatory variables are the independent variables in a model that help explain changes in the dependent variable. For instance, when predicting the gas mileage of a car, the explanatory variables could include:
  • Type of driving (city or highway) - represented as \( x_{1} \)
  • Weight of the car - represented as \( x_{2} \)
  • Tire pressure - represented as \( x_{3} \)
Each of these variables contributes information to predict the outcome variable (gas mileage, in this case). Explanatory variables can be continuous, like weight and tire pressure, or categorical, like driving type.
Indicator Variable
Indicator variables, also known as dummy variables, are used to represent categorical data numerically, typically as '0' or '1'. For example, the driving type (city or highway) is a categorical variable, which can be translated into an indicator variable:
  • If driving in the city, \( x_{1} = 0 \)
  • If driving on the highway, \( x_{1} = 1 \)
This numerical representation allows us to include categorical data in our regression models. By defining such indicator variables, we can manage and quantify the impact of different categories on the dependent variable.
Interaction Term
When two explanatory variables interact, their combined effect on the dependent variable is not merely additive but multiplicative. An interaction term allows us to capture this combined effect. For instance, suppose we suspect that the weight of the car \( x_{2} \) and tire pressure \( x_{3} \) interact. We include an interaction term in the model:
\[ \beta_{4} x_{2} x_{3} \]Incorporating this term into our model, the equation becomes:
\[ y = \beta_{0} + \beta_{1} x_{1} + \beta_{2} x_{2} + \beta_{3} x_{3} + \beta_{4} x_{2} x_{3} + \text{\textgreek{e}} \]Where \( \beta_{4} \) measures the interaction effect between weight and tire pressure on gas mileage. Interaction terms are crucial for capturing the complexity of relationships between variables.
Additive Model
In an additive model, the effects of explanatory variables on the dependent variable are summed linearly. For our gas mileage prediction model, the additive model is:
\[ y = \beta_{0} + \beta_{1} x_{1} + \beta_{2} x_{2} + \beta_{3} x_{3} + \text{\textgreek{e}} \]
Here, \( y \) represents gas mileage, \( \beta_{0} \) is the intercept, and each \( \beta_{i} \) represents the coefficient for the corresponding explanatory variable \( x_{i} \). The additive model assumes that each variable independently contributes to predicting the result. By adding the coefficients together, it creates a clearer picture of the combined influence of all variables.
Linear Terms
Linear terms refer to variables that enter the model in a linear fashion, meaning their impact on the dependent variable is proportional and constant. Our linear regression model:
\[ y = \beta_{0} + \beta_{1} x_{1} + \beta_{2} x_{2} + \beta_{3} x_{3} + \text{\textgreek{e}} \]
includes linear terms for each explanatory variable \( x_{i} \). Each term consists of a coefficient \( \beta_{i} \) and the variable itself. Linear terms are straightforward because any change in an explanatory variable leads to a direct change in the dependent variable, proportional to its coefficient. This makes it easier to interpret the influence of each variable on the outcome, facilitating clearer insights and predictions.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Researchers developed a model to explain the age gap between husbands and wives at first marriage. The model is below: $$ \hat{y}=0.0321 x_{1}+0.9848 x_{2}+0.5391 x_{3}-0.000145 x_{4}^{2}+3.8483 $$ where y: Age gap at first marriage (male - female) \(x_{1}:\) Percent of children aged 10 to 14 involved in child labor \(x_{2}:\) Indicator variable where 1 is an African country, 0 otherwise \(x_{3}:\) Percent of the population that is Muslim \(x_{4}:\) Percent of the population that is literate Source: Xu Zhang and Solomon W. Polachek, State University of New York at Binghamton "The Husband- Wife Age Gap at First Marriage: A Cross-Country Analysis" (a) Use the model to predict the age gap at first marriage for an African country where the percent of children aged 10 to 14 who are involved in child labor is \(12,\) the percent of the population that is Muslim is \(30,\) and the percent of the population that is literate is \(75 .\) (b) What would be the mean difference in age gap between an African country and a non-African country? (c) Interpret the coefficient of "percent of children aged 10 to 14 involved in child labor." (d) The coefficient of determination for this model is 0.593 . Interpret this result. (e) The \(P\) -value for the test \(H_{1}: \beta_{1} \neq 0\) versus \(H_{1}: \beta_{1} \neq 0\) is \(0.008 .\) What would you conclude about this test?

When testing whether there is a linear relation between the response variable and the explanatory variables, we use an \(F\) -test. If the \(P\) -value indicates that we reject the null hypothesis, \(H_{0}: \beta_{1}=\beta_{2}=\cdots=\beta_{k}=0,\) what conclusion should we come to? Is it possible that one of the \(\beta_{i}\) is zero if we reject the null hypothesis?

More Age Estimation In the article "Bigger Teeth for Longer Life? Longevity and Molar Height in Two Roe Deer Populations" (Biology Letters [June, 2007\(]\) vol. 3 no. 3 \(268-270)\), researchers developed a model to predict the tooth height (in \(\mathrm{mm}\) ), \(y\), of roe deer based on their age, \(x_{1}\), gender, \(x_{2}(0=\) female \(, 1=\) male \(),\) and location, \(x_{3}\) (Trois Fontaines deer, which have a shorter life expectancy, and Chizé, which have a longer life expectancy, \(x_{3}=0\) for Trois Fontaines, \(x_{3}=1\) for Chizé). The model is $$ \hat{y}=7.790-0.382 x_{1}-0.587 x_{2}-0.925 x_{3}+0.091 x_{2} x_{3} $$ (a) What is the expected tooth length of a female roe deer who is 12 years old and lives in Trois Fontaines? (b) What is the expected tooth length of a male roe deer who is 8 years old and lives in Chizé? (c) What is the interaction term? What does the coefficient of the interaction term imply about tooth length?

Suppose a multiple regression model is given by \(\hat{y}=4.39 x_{1}-8.75 x_{2}+34.09 .\) An interpretation of the coefficient of \(x_{1}\) would be, "if \(x_{1}\) increases by 1 unit, then the response variable will increase by _____ units, on average, while holding \(x_{2}\) constant."

For the data set below, use a partial \(F\) -test to determine whether the variables \(x_{4}\) and \(x_{5}\) do not significantly help to predict the response variable, \(y .\) Use the \(\alpha=0.05\) level of significance. $$ \begin{array}{llllll} x_{1} & x_{2} & x_{3} & x_{4} & x_{5} & y \\ \hline 0.8 & 2.8 & 2.5 & 10.6 & 15.7 & 11.0 \\ \hline 3.9 & 2.6 & 5.7 & 9.2 & 4.2 & 10.8 \\ \hline 1.8 & 2.4 & 7.8 & 10.1 & 1.5 & 10.6 \\ \hline 5.1 & 2.3 & 7.1 & 9.2 & 1.9 & 10.3 \\ \hline 4.9 & 2.5 & 5.9 & 11.2 & 5.6 & 10.3 \\ \hline 8.4 & 2.1 & 8.6 & 10.4 & 4.9 & 10.3 \\ \hline 12.9 & 2.3 & 9.2 & 11.1 & 1.9 & 10.0 \\ \hline 6.0 & 2.0 & 1.2 & 8.6 & 22.3 & 9.4 \\ \hline 14.6 & 2.2 & 3.7 & 10.5 & 11.5 & 8.7 \\ \hline 9.3 & 1.1 & 5.5 & 8.8 & 6.1 & 8.7 \\ \hline \end{array} $$

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