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Suppose a multiple regression model is given by \(\hat{y}=4.39 x_{1}-8.75 x_{2}+34.09 .\) An interpretation of the coefficient of \(x_{1}\) would be, "if \(x_{1}\) increases by 1 unit, then the response variable will increase by _____ units, on average, while holding \(x_{2}\) constant."

Short Answer

Expert verified
The response variable will increase by 4.39 units.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Coefficient of x1

Locate the coefficient of the variable \(x_{1}\) in the given regression model \, \hat{y}=4.39 x_{1}-8.75 x_{2}+34.09\. The coefficient of \(x_{1}\) is \4.39.
02

Understand the Coefficient's Meaning

The coefficient of \(x_{1}\) represents the expected change in the response variable \(y\hat{}\) for a one-unit increase in \(x_{1}\b\) while keeping \x_{2}\b\ constant.
03

Formulate the Interpretation

Substitute the coefficient value into the interpretation: 'If \(x_{1}\) increases by 1 unit, then the response variable will increase by 4.39 units, on average, while holding \x_{2}\b constant.'

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

interpretation of coefficients
In a multiple regression model, the coefficients of the independent variables tell us how changes in one variable affect the response variable. Let's break it down: When you see a coefficient, like 4.39 for \(x_1\) in the equation \(\hat{y}=4.39x_{1}-8.75x_{2}+34.09\), this number shows how much the response variable \(y\) changes for every 1-unit increase in \(x_1\), assuming other variables (like \(x_2\)) stay the same. Here's how to interpret such coefficients effectively:
  • The coefficient of \(x_1\), which is 4.39, suggests that for every 1-unit increase in \(x_1\), the response variable (\(y\)) will increase by 4.39 units on average.
  • This change is observed while keeping the other variables, such as \(x_2\), constant.
Understanding coefficients in this way can help in predicting outcomes and understanding how variables interact in a dataset. Always remember that the interpretation assumes other variables are held constant to isolate the effect of one variable at a time.
response variable
The response variable, often denoted as \(y\), is the main focus of a regression analysis; it's what you're trying to predict or explain. In our model, \(\hat{y}=4.39x_{1}-8.75x_{2}+34.09\), the response variable is represented by \(\hat{y}\). It is the variable that responds to changes in the independent variables \(x_1\) and \(x_2\). Here's what to remember about the response variable:
  • It is dependent on the independent variables. Changes in \(x_1\) and \(x_2\) directly affect \(\hat{y}\).
  • The regression equation provides an estimate of \(\hat{y}\), which is the predicted value of the response variable for given values of \(x_1\) and \(x_2\).
  • The actual observed value of \(y\) may vary, but \(\hat{y}\) provides the best linear prediction based on the given data.
Understanding the response variable is crucial for interpreting regression analysis outputs and making informed decisions based on the model. The goal is to understand how variations in independent variables influence the response variable.
holding variables constant
In the context of multiple regression, 'holding variables constant' means examining the effect of one independent variable while keeping the others fixed. This allows us to isolate the impact of the variable of interest. For instance, in our model \(\hat{y}=4.39x_{1}-8.75x_{2}+34.09\), when we interpret the coefficient 4.39 of \(x_1\), we are assuming that \(x_2\) is held constant. This process is essential for accurate and meaningful interpretations:
  • It helps in understanding the true relationship between each independent variable and the response variable without interference from other variables.
  • It simplifies the analysis, making it easier to determine the individual effect of each variable.
  • While holding variables constant, any change in the response variable is attributed solely to changes in the variable of interest.
By controlling for other variables, we get a clearer picture of how each independent variable affects the response variable. This is fundamentally important for robust statistical analysis and accurate predictions.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

CEO Performance (Refer to Problem 31 in Section 4.1 ) The following data represent the total compensation for 12 randomly selected chief executive officers (CEOs) and the company's stock performance in \(2013 .\) $$ \begin{array}{lcc} \text { Company } & \begin{array}{l} \text { Compensation } \\ \text { (millions of dollars) } \end{array} & \begin{array}{l} \text { Stock } \\ \text { Return (\%) } \end{array} \\ \hline \text { Navistar International } & 14.53 & 75.43 \\ \hline \text { Aviv REIT } & 4.09 & 64.01 \\ \hline \text { Groupon } & 7.11 & 142.07 \\ \hline \text { Inland Real Estate } & 1.05 & 32.72 \\ \hline \text { Equity Lifestyles Properties } & 1.97 & 10.64 \\ \hline \text { Tootsie Roll Industries } & 3.76 & 30.66 \\ \hline \text { Catamaran } & 12.06 & 0.77 \\ \hline \text { Packaging Corp of America } & 7.62 & 69.39 \\ \hline \text { Brunswick } & 8.47 & 58.69 \\ \hline \text { LKQ } & 4.04 & 55.93 \\ \hline \text { Abbott Laboratories } & 20.87 & 24.28 \\ \hline \text { TreeHouse Foods } & 6.63 & 32.21 \end{array} $$ (a) Treating compensation as the explanatory variable, \(x\), determine the estimates of \(\beta_{0}\) and \(\beta_{1}\). (b) Assuming the residuals are normally distributed, test whether a linear relation exists between compensation and stock return at the \(\alpha=0.05\) level of significance. (c) Assuming the residuals are normally distributed, construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the slope of the true leastsquares regression line. (d) Based on your results to parts (b) and (c), would you recommend using the least-squares regression line to predict the stock return of a company based on the CEO's compensation? Why? What would be a good estimate of the stock return based on the data in the table?

Suppose a least-squares regression line is given by \(\hat{y}=4.302 x-3.293 .\) What is the mean value of the response variable if \(x=20 ?\)

A multiple regression model has \(k=4\) explanatory variables The coefficient of determination, \(R^{2},\) is found to be 0.542 based on a sample of \(n=40\) observations. (a) Compute the adjusted \(R^{2}\). (b) Compute the \(F\) -test statistic. (c) If one additional explanatory variable is added to the model and \(R^{2}\) increases to \(0.579,\) compute the adjusted \(R^{2}\). Would you recommend adding the additional explanatory variable to the model? Why or why not?

Researchers developed a model to explain the age gap between husbands and wives at first marriage. The model is below: $$ \hat{y}=0.0321 x_{1}+0.9848 x_{2}+0.5391 x_{3}-0.000145 x_{4}^{2}+3.8483 $$ where y: Age gap at first marriage (male - female) \(x_{1}:\) Percent of children aged 10 to 14 involved in child labor \(x_{2}:\) Indicator variable where 1 is an African country, 0 otherwise \(x_{3}:\) Percent of the population that is Muslim \(x_{4}:\) Percent of the population that is literate Source: Xu Zhang and Solomon W. Polachek, State University of New York at Binghamton "The Husband- Wife Age Gap at First Marriage: A Cross-Country Analysis" (a) Use the model to predict the age gap at first marriage for an African country where the percent of children aged 10 to 14 who are involved in child labor is \(12,\) the percent of the population that is Muslim is \(30,\) and the percent of the population that is literate is \(75 .\) (b) What would be the mean difference in age gap between an African country and a non-African country? (c) Interpret the coefficient of "percent of children aged 10 to 14 involved in child labor." (d) The coefficient of determination for this model is 0.593 . Interpret this result. (e) The \(P\) -value for the test \(H_{1}: \beta_{1} \neq 0\) versus \(H_{1}: \beta_{1} \neq 0\) is \(0.008 .\) What would you conclude about this test?

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