/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 10 A nationwide survey of seniors b... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

A nationwide survey of seniors by the University of Michigan reveals that almost \(70 \%\) disapprove of daily pot smoking, according to a report in Parade. If 12 seniors are selected at random and asked their opinion, find the probability that the number who disapprove of smoking pot daily is (a) anywhere from 7 to 9 : (b) at most 5 ; (c) not less than 8 .

Short Answer

Expert verified
The answers will vary depending on the exact calculations, but for part (a) it is the sum of the binomial probabilities for 7, 8, and 9 disapprovals; for part (b) it is the sum of the binomial probabilities for 0 to 5 disapprovals; and for part (c) it is the sum of the binomial probabilities for 8 to 12 disapprovals.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the Probability for 7, 8, and 9 Disapprovals

For part (a), we need to find the probability of \(x = 7, 8,\) and \(9\). We do this by plugging these values of \(x\) into our binomial probability formula, and summing them up. \(n = 12\) and \(p = 0.7\). The calculation would look like this: \(P(7) + P(8) + P(9)\)
02

Calculate the Probability for At Most 5 Disapprovals

For part (b), we need to find the probability that \(x \leq 5\). Again, this involves calculating the binomial probabilities for each \(x\) from \(0\) to \(5\), and summing them up. This could be denoted as this: \(P(0) + P(1) + P(2) + P(3) + P(4) + P(5)\)
03

Calculate the Probability for No Less Than 8 Disapprovals

For part (c), we need to find the probability that \(x \geq 8\). So, we calculate the binomial probabilities for each \(x\) from \(8\) to \(12\), then sum them up. The calculation would look like this: \(P(8) + P(9) + P(10) + P(11) + P(12)\)

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Binomial Probability Formula
Understanding the binomial probability formula is essential when dealing with discrete events that have two possible outcomes, typically termed as 'success' and 'failure'. In the exercise provided, the 'success' is finding a senior who disapproves of daily pot smoking, with a probability of success, denoted by \( p \), given as \( 70\text{%} \) or \( 0.7 \).

The binomial formula used to find the probability of having exactly \( x \) successes in \( n \) trials is:
\[ P(x) = \binom{n}{x} p^x (1-p)^{n-x} \]
Here, \( \binom{n}{x} \) is the binomial coefficient, calculated as the number of ways to choose \( x \) successes from \( n \) trials, which is essentially \( n! / (x!(n-x)!) \), where \( n! \) denotes the factorial of \( n \). The binomial coefficient is a way to determine the number of possible combinations without regard to order.

Applying this to the survey data regarding seniors' opinion on pot smoking, we plug in the given values to compute the probabilities for various scenarios. This approach helps us understand the likelihood of a range of outcomes within a specific sample size, in this case, 12 seniors.
Random Sampling
Random sampling is a fundamental technique used in statistics to obtain a representative subset from a larger population, so that results can be generalized to the whole population. In the context of the exercise, selecting 12 seniors 'at random' ensures that every group of 12 seniors has an equal chance of being picked, which eliminates bias.

This sampling technique is crucial when conducting surveys because it enhances the reliability and validity of the survey data analysis. It operates under the assumption that each individual's response is independent of the others', which is an essential premise for the binomial probability calculation. When a sample is selected randomly, it is more likely that the sample's characteristics will accurately reflect those of the population. Random sampling not only aids in yielding unbiased estimates of population parameters, but also facilitates the application of statistical methods like those involving the binomial distribution.
Survey Data Analysis
Survey data analysis involves interpreting the data collected from surveys to make informed decisions or conclusions about a population. It utilizes various statistical tools to analyze the responses. In the exercise, we use the binomial probability distribution as part of our survey data analysis to estimate the likelihood of different numbers of seniors disapproving daily pot smoking.

The key to effective survey data analysis is considering all possible outcomes and their respective probabilities. For instance, parts (a), (b), and (c) of the exercise consider various ranges of disapprovals among the selected seniors. These ranges help understand not only a single probability but also cumulative probabilities relevant to different contexts, such as policymaking, social research, or understanding public opinion.

To conclude the analysis, one might interpret the computed probabilities to predict the reception of potential regulations or public health messaging regarding pot smoking among seniors. Such analysis is invaluable for sociologists, economists, health professionals, and policymakers who rely on accurate data to inform their strategies and decisions.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

A manufacturer knows that on the average \(20 \%\) of the elect ric toasters which he makes will require repairs within 1 year after they are sold. When 20 toasters are randomly selected, find appropriate numbers \(x\) and \(y\) such that (a) the probability that at least \(x\) of them will require repairs is less than 0.5 (b) the probability that at least \(y\) of them will not require repairs is greater than 0.8 .

An electronic switching device occasionally malfunctions and may need to be replaced. It is known that the device is satisfactory if it makes, on the average, no more than 0.20 error per hour. A particular 5-hour period is chosen as a "test" on the device. If no more than 1 error occurs, the device is considered satisfactory. (a) What is the probability that a satisfactory device will be considered unsatisfactory on the basis of the rest? Assume that a Poisson process exists. (b) What is the probability that a device will be accepted as satisfactory when, in fact, the mean number of errors is \(0.25 ?\) Again, assume that a Poisson process exists.

Suppose that for a very large shipment of integrated-circuit chips, the probability of failure for any one chip is \(0.10 .\) Assuming that the assumptions underlying the binomial distributions are met, find the probability that at most 3 chips fail in a random sample of 20.

The manufacturer of a tricycle for children has received complaints about defective: brakes in the product. According to the design of the product and considerable preliminary testing, it had been determined that the probability of the kind of defect in the complaint was 1 in 10000 (i.e., 0001 ). After a thorough investigation of the complaints, it was determined that during a certain period of time, 200 products were randomly chosen from production and 5 experienced defective brakes. (a) Comment on the "1 in \(10,000^{\prime \prime}\) claim by the manufacturer. Use a probabilistic argument. Use the binomial distribution for your calculations. (b) Do the work using the Poisson approximation.

Homeland Security and missile defense technology make it paramount that we be able to detect incoming projectiles or missiles. To make the defense successful, multiple radar screens are: required. Suppose it is determined that three independent screens are to be operated and the probability that any one screen will detect an incoming missile is 0.8. Obviously, if no screens detect an incoming projectile, the system is unworthy and must be improved. (a) What is the probability that an incoming missile will not be detected by any of the three screens? (b) What is the probability that the missile will be detected by only one screen? (e:) What is the probability that it. will be detected by at least two out of three screens?

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.