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TV advertising agencies face increasing challenges in reaching audience members because viewing TV programs via digital streaming is gaining in popularity. The Harris poll reported on November 13, 2012, that 53% of 2343 American adults surveyed said they have watched digitally streamed TV programming on some type of device.

a. Calculate and interpret a confidence interval at the 99% confidence level for the proportion of all adult Americans who watched streamed programming up to that point in time.

b. What sample size would be required for the width of a 99% CI to be at most .05 irrespective of the value of p 藛?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a) The boundaries of the confidence interval are then \((0.5034,0.5566)\)

b) The sample size is \({\text{n - 2653}}\)

Step by step solution

01

Large-sample confidence interval

(a) \(\begin{aligned}n &= 2343 \hfill \\\hat p &= 53\% = 0.53 \hfill \\c &= 99\% = 0.99 \hfill \\ \end{aligned} \)

For confidence level \({\text{1 - \alpha - 0}}{\text{.99}}\) , determine \({{\text{z}}_{{\text{\alpha /2}}}}{\text{ - }}{{\text{z}}_{{\text{0}}{\text{.005}}}}\) using the normal probability table in the appendix (look up 0.005 in the table, the z-score is then the found z-score with opposite sign):

\({{\text{z}}_{{\text{\alpha /2}}}}{\text{ - 2}}{\text{.575}}\)

The margin of error is then:

\({\text{E - }}{{\text{z}}_{{\text{\alpha /2}}}}{\text{ \times }}\sqrt {\frac{{{\text{\hat p(1 - \hat p)}}}}{{\text{n}}}} {\text{ - 2}}{\text{.575 \times }}\sqrt {\frac{{{\text{0}}{\text{.53(1 - 0}}{\text{.53)}}}}{{{\text{2343}}}}} {\text{\gg 0}}{\text{.0266}}\)

The boundaries of the confidence interval are then:

\(\begin{aligned}\hat p - E - 0.53 - 0.0266 - 0.5034 \hfill \\\hat p + E - 0.53 + 0.0266 - 0.5566 \hfill \\\end{aligned} \)

Hence the boundaries of the confidence interval are then \((0.5034,0.5566)\)

02

Step 2:To find the sample size

(b) Given:

\(\begin{aligned}w&=0.05\hfill\\c&=99\%=0.99\hfill\\\hat p&= 53\%= 0.53 \hfill \\\end{aligned} \)

Formula sample size:

\(\begin{aligned}n\gg &\frac{{4{{\left[ {{z_{\alpha /2}}} \right]}^2}\hat p\hat q}}{{{w^2}}} -\frac{{4{{\left[ {{z_{\alpha /2}}} \right]}^2}\hat p(1 - \hat p)}}{{{w^2}}} - \frac{{4{{\left[ {{z_{\alpha /2}}}\right]}^2}\hat p(1 - \hat p)}}{{{w^2}}} \hfill \\{z_{\alpha /2}} - 2.575 \hfill \\\end{aligned} \)

Note: We take the average of 2.57 and 2.58, because 0.005 is exactly in the middle between 0.0049 and 0.0051

\({\text{\hat p}}\) is unknown (as we are interested in the sample size irrespective to the value of p ), then the sample size is (round up to the nearest integer!):

\({\text{n = }}\frac{{{\text{4}}{{\left[ {{{\text{z}}_{{\text{\alpha /2}}}}} \right]}^{\text{2}}}{\text{\hat p(1 - \hat p)}}}}{{{{\text{w}}^{\text{2}}}}}{\text{ - }}\frac{{{\text{4 \times 2}}{\text{.57}}{{\text{5}}^{\text{2}}}{\text{ \times 0}}{\text{.5(1 - 0}}{\text{.5)}}}}{{{\text{0}}{\text{.0}}{{\text{5}}^{\text{2}}}}}{\text{ = 2653}}\)

Note: If you use the critical value \({{\text{z}}_{{\text{\alpha /2}}}}{\text{ - 2}}{\text{.58}}\) , then you obtain \({\text{n - 2663}}\)

Hence the sample size is \({\text{n - 2653}}\)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The following observations are lifetimes (days) subsequent to diagnosis for individuals suffering from blood cancer (鈥淎 Goodness of Fit Approach to the Class of Life Distributions with Unknown Age,鈥 Quality and Reliability Engr. Intl., \({\rm{2012: 761--766):}}\)

\(\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}{{\rm{115 181 255 418 441 461 516 739 743 789 807}}}\\{{\rm{865 924 983 1025 1062 1063 1165 1191 1222 1222 1251}}}\\{{\rm{1277 1290 1357 1369 1408 1455 1478 1519 1578 1578 1599}}}\\{{\rm{1603 1605 1696 1735 1799 1815 1852 1899 1925 1965}}}\end{array}\)

a. Can a confidence interval for true average lifetime be calculated without assuming anything about the nature of the lifetime distribution? Explain your reasoning. (Note: A normal probability plot of the data exhibits a reasonably linear pattern.)

b. Calculate and interpret a confidence interval with a \({\rm{99\% }}\)confidence level for true average lifetime.

Determine the values of the following quantities

\(\begin{array}{l}{\rm{a}}{\rm{.}}{{\rm{x}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{,1,15}}\\{\rm{b}}{\rm{.}}{{\rm{X}}^{\rm{3}}}{\rm{,125}}\\{\rm{c}}{\rm{.}}{{\rm{X}}^{\rm{7}}}{\rm{01,25}}\\{\rm{d}}{\rm{.}}{{\rm{X}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{00525}}\\{\rm{e}}{\rm{.}}{{\rm{X}}^{\rm{7}}}{\rm{9925}}\\{\rm{f}}{\rm{.}}{{\rm{X}}^{\rm{7}}}{\rm{995,25}}\end{array}\)

The Pew Forum on Religion and Public Life reported on \({\rm{Dec}}{\rm{. 9, 2009}}\), that in a survey of \({\rm{2003}}\) American adults, \({\rm{25\% }}\)said they believed in astrology.

a. Calculate and interpret a confidence interval at the \({\rm{99\% }}\)confidence level for the proportion of all adult Americans who believe in astrology.

b. What sample size would be required for the width of a \({\rm{99\% }}\)CI to be at most .05 irrespective of the value of p?

Determine the t critical value for a lower or an upper confidence bound for each of the situations

\(\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}{{\rm{a}}{\rm{. Confidence level = 95\% , df = 10}}}\\{{\rm{b}}{\rm{. Confidence level = 95\% , df = 15}}}\\{{\rm{c}}{\rm{. Confidence level = 99\% , df = 15}}}\\{{\rm{d}}{\rm{. Confidence level = 99\% , n = 5}}}\\{{\rm{\;e}}{\rm{. Confidence level = 98\% , df = 24}}}\\{{\rm{f}}{\rm{. Confidence level = 99\% , n = 38}}}\end{array}\)

Example 1.11 introduced the accompanying observations on bond strength.

11.5 12.1 9.9 9.3 7.8 6.2 6.6 7.0

13.4 17.1 9.3 5.6 5.7 5.4 5.2 5.1

4.9 10.7 15.2 8.5 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.8

3.6 3.4 20.6 25.5 13.8 12.6 13.1 8.9

8.2 10.7 14.2 7.6 5.2 5.5 5.1 5.0

5.2 4.8 4.1 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.6

a.Estimate true average bond strength in a way that conveys information about precision and reliability.

(Hint: \(\sum {{{\bf{x}}_{\bf{i}}}} {\bf{ = 387}}{\bf{.8}}\) and \(\sum {{{\bf{x}}^{\bf{2}}}_{\bf{i}}} {\bf{ = 4247}}{\bf{.08}}\).)

b. Calculate a 95% CI for the proportion of all such bonds whose strength values would exceed 10.

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