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Chapter 6: Q15E (page 263)

Let\({{\rm{X}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{,}}{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{2}}}{\rm{, \ldots ,}}{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{n}}}\)represent a random sample from a Rayleigh distribution with pdf

\({\rm{f(x,\theta ) = }}\frac{{\rm{x}}}{{\rm{\theta }}}{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - }}{{\rm{x}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{/(2\theta )}}}}\quad {\rm{x > 0}}\)a. It can be shown that\({\rm{E}}\left( {{{\rm{X}}^{\rm{2}}}} \right){\rm{ = 2\theta }}\). Use this fact to construct an unbiased estimator of\({\rm{\theta }}\)based on\({\rm{\Sigma X}}_{\rm{i}}^{\rm{2}}\)(and use rules of expected value to show that it is unbiased).

b. Estimate\({\rm{\theta }}\)from the following\({\rm{n = 10}}\)observations on vibratory stress of a turbine blade under specified conditions:

\(\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}{{\rm{16}}{\rm{.88}}}&{{\rm{10}}{\rm{.23}}}&{{\rm{4}}{\rm{.59}}}&{{\rm{6}}{\rm{.66}}}&{{\rm{13}}{\rm{.68}}}\\{{\rm{14}}{\rm{.23}}}&{{\rm{19}}{\rm{.87}}}&{{\rm{9}}{\rm{.40}}}&{{\rm{6}}{\rm{.51}}}&{{\rm{10}}{\rm{.95}}}\end{array}\)

Short Answer

Expert verified

a) The estimator is unbiased estimator\(\frac{{\sum {{\rm{X}}_{\rm{i}}^{\rm{2}}} }}{{{\rm{2n}}}}\).

b) The estimated value is\({\rm{\hat \theta = 74}}{\rm{.505}}\).

Step by step solution

01

Definition

An estimator is a rule for computing an estimate of a given quantity based on observable data: the rule (estimator), the quantity of interest (estimate), and the output (estimate) are all distinct.

02

Proofing estimator unbiased

a)

This part is practically solved-because of,

\({\rm{E}}\left( {{{\rm{X}}^{\rm{2}}}} \right){\rm{ = 2\theta }}\)

It is easy to notice that the unbiased estimator of parameter \(\theta \)is

\(\frac{{\sum {{\rm{X}}_{\rm{i}}^{\rm{2}}} }}{{{\rm{2n}}}}\)

The proof of this claim follows

\(\begin{aligned}E(\hat \theta ) &= E\left( {\frac{{\sum\limits_{{\rm{i = 1}}}^{\rm{n}} {{\rm{X}}_{\rm{i}}^{\rm{2}}} }}{{{\rm{2n}}}}} \right)\\ &= \frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{\rm{2n}}}}{\rm{E}}\left( {\sum\limits_{{\rm{i = 1}}}^{\rm{n}} {{\rm{X}}_{\rm{i}}^{\rm{2}}} } \right)\\ & = \frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{\rm{2n}}}}\sum\limits_{{\rm{i = 1}}}^{\rm{n}} {\rm{E}} \left( {{\rm{X}}_{\rm{i}}^{\rm{2}}} \right)\\&= \frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{\rm{2n}}}}\sum\limits_{{\rm{i = 1}}}^{\rm{n}} {\rm{2}} {\rm{\theta }}\\ &= \frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{n}}}{\rm{ \times n \times \theta }}\\ &= \theta \end{aligned}\)

Which, proofs that the estimator is unbiased for\({\rm{\theta }}\).

03

Finding the value of \({\rm{\delta }}\)

b)

Given \({\rm{n = 10}}\)observations, the sum of squared data is:

\(\begin{aligned}\sum\limits_{{\rm{i = 1}}}^{{\rm{10}}} {{\rm{x}}_{\rm{i}}^{\rm{2}}} &= 16{\rm{.8}}{{\rm{8}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ + 10}}{\rm{.2}}{{\rm{3}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ + \ldots + 10}}{\rm{.9}}{{\rm{5}}^{\rm{2}}}\\ &= 1490{\rm{.1058}}\end{aligned}\)

Therefore, the estimate is\({\rm{\hat \theta = }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{\rm{20}}}}{\rm{ \times 1490}}{\rm{.1058 = 74}}{\rm{.505}}\).

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Most popular questions from this chapter

At time \({\rm{t = 0}}\), there is one individual alive in a certain population. A pure birth process then unfolds as follows. The time until the first birth is exponentially distributed with parameter \({\rm{\lambda }}\). After the first birth, there are two individuals alive. The time until the first gives birth again is exponential with parameter \({\rm{\lambda }}\), and similarly for the second individual. Therefore, the time until the next birth is the minimum of two exponential (\({\rm{\lambda }}\)) variables, which is exponential with parameter \({\rm{2\lambda }}\). Similarly, once the second birth has occurred, there are three individuals alive, so the time until the next birth is an exponential \({\rm{rv}}\) with parameter \({\rm{3\lambda }}\), and so on (the memoryless property of the exponential distribution is being used here). Suppose the process is observed until the sixth birth has occurred and the successive birth times are \({\rm{25}}{\rm{.2,41}}{\rm{.7,51}}{\rm{.2,55}}{\rm{.5,59}}{\rm{.5,61}}{\rm{.8}}\) (from which you should calculate the times between successive births). Derive the mle of l. (Hint: The likelihood is a product of exponential terms.)

Suppose a certain type of fertilizer has an expected yield per acre of \({{\rm{\mu }}_{\rm{2}}}\)with variance \({{\rm{\sigma }}^{\rm{2}}}\)whereas the expected yield for a second type of fertilizer is with the same variance \({{\rm{\sigma }}^{\rm{2}}}\).Let \({\rm{S}}_{\rm{1}}^{\rm{2}}\) and \({\rm{S}}_{\rm{2}}^{\rm{2}}\)denote the sample variances of yields based on sample sizes \({{\rm{n}}_{\rm{1}}}\)and \({{\rm{n}}_{\rm{2}}}\),respectively, of the two fertilizers. Show that the pooled (combined) estimator

\({{\rm{\hat \sigma }}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ = }}\frac{{\left( {{{\rm{n}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{ - 1}}} \right){\rm{S}}_{\rm{1}}^{\rm{2}}{\rm{ + }}\left( {{{\rm{n}}_{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ - 1}}} \right){\rm{S}}_{\rm{2}}^{\rm{2}}}}{{{{\rm{n}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{ + }}{{\rm{n}}_{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ - 2}}}}\)

is an unbiased estimator of \({{\rm{\sigma }}^{\rm{2}}}\)

Suppose the true average growth\({\rm{\mu }}\)of one type of plant during a l-year period is identical to that of a second type, but the variance of growth for the first type is\({{\rm{\sigma }}^{\rm{2}}}\), whereas for the second type the variance is\({\rm{4}}{{\rm{\sigma }}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{. Let }}{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{, \ldots ,}}{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{m}}}\)be\({\rm{m}}\)independent growth observations on the first type (so\({\rm{E}}\left( {{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{i}}}} \right){\rm{ = \mu ,V}}\left( {{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{i}}}} \right){\rm{ = \sigma\hat 2}}\)$ ), and let\({{\rm{Y}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{, \ldots ,}}{{\rm{Y}}_{\rm{n}}}\)be\({\rm{n}}\)independent growth observations on the second type\(\left( {{\rm{E}}\left( {{{\rm{Y}}_{\rm{i}}}} \right){\rm{ = \mu ,V}}\left( {{{\rm{Y}}_{\rm{j}}}} \right){\rm{ = 4}}{{\rm{\sigma }}^{\rm{2}}}} \right)\)

a. Show that the estimator\({\rm{\hat \mu = \delta \bar X + (1 - \delta )\bar Y}}\)is unbiased for\({\rm{\mu }}\)(for\({\rm{0 < \delta < 1}}\), the estimator is a weighted average of the two individual sample means).

b. For fixed\({\rm{m}}\)and\({\rm{n}}\), compute\({\rm{V(\hat \mu ),}}\)and then find the value of\({\rm{\delta }}\)that minimizes\({\rm{V(\hat \mu )}}\). (Hint: Differentiate\({\rm{V(\hat \mu )}}\)with respect to\({\rm{\delta }}{\rm{.)}}\)

When the sample standard deviation S is based on a random sample from a normal population distribution, it can be shown that \({\rm{E(S) = }}\sqrt {{\rm{2/(n - 1)}}} {\rm{\Gamma (n/2)\sigma /\Gamma ((n - 1)/2)}}\)

Use this to obtain an unbiased estimator for \({\rm{\sigma }}\) of the form \({\rm{cS}}\). What is \({\rm{c}}\) when \({\rm{n = 20}}\)?

At time \({\rm{t = 0, 20}}\) identical components are tested. The lifetime distribution of each is exponential with parameter \({\rm{\lambda }}\). The experimenter then leaves the test facility unmonitored. On his return \({\rm{24}}\) hours later, the experimenter immediately terminates the test after noticing that \({\rm{y = 15}}\) of the \({\rm{20}}\) components are still in operation (so \({\rm{5}}\) have failed). Derive the mle of \({\rm{\lambda }}\). (Hint: Let \({\rm{Y = }}\) the number that survive \({\rm{24}}\) hours. Then \({\rm{Y}} \sim {\rm{Bin(n,p)}}\). What is the mle of \({\rm{p}}\)? Now notice that \({\rm{p = P(}}{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{i}}} \ge {\rm{24)}}\), where \({{\rm{X}}_{\rm{i}}}\) is exponentially distributed. This relates \({\rm{\lambda }}\) to \({\rm{p}}\), so the former can be estimated once the latter has been.)
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