/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Q4E The article from which the data ... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91影视

91影视

The article from which the data in Exercise 1 was extracted also gave the accompanying strength observations for cylinders:

\(\begin{array}{l}\begin{array}{*{20}{r}}{{\rm{6}}{\rm{.1}}}&{{\rm{5}}{\rm{.8}}}&{{\rm{7}}{\rm{.8}}}&{{\rm{7}}{\rm{.1}}}&{{\rm{7}}{\rm{.2}}}&{{\rm{9}}{\rm{.2}}}&{{\rm{6}}{\rm{.6}}}&{{\rm{8}}{\rm{.3}}}&{{\rm{7}}{\rm{.0}}}&{{\rm{8}}{\rm{.3}}}\\{{\rm{7}}{\rm{.8}}}&{{\rm{8}}{\rm{.1}}}&{{\rm{7}}{\rm{.4}}}&{{\rm{8}}{\rm{.5}}}&{{\rm{8}}{\rm{.9}}}&{{\rm{9}}{\rm{.8}}}&{{\rm{9}}{\rm{.7}}}&{{\rm{14}}{\rm{.1}}}&{{\rm{12}}{\rm{.6}}}&{{\rm{11}}{\rm{.2}}}\end{array}\\\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}{{\rm{7}}{\rm{.8}}}&{{\rm{8}}{\rm{.1}}}&{{\rm{7}}{\rm{.4}}}&{{\rm{8}}{\rm{.5}}}&{{\rm{8}}{\rm{.9}}}&{{\rm{9}}{\rm{.8}}}&{{\rm{9}}{\rm{.7}}}&{{\rm{14}}{\rm{.1}}}&{{\rm{12}}{\rm{.6}}}&{{\rm{11}}{\rm{.2}}}\end{array}\end{array}\)

Prior to obtaining data, denote the beam strengths by X1, 鈥 ,Xm and the cylinder strengths by Y1, . . . , Yn. Suppose that the Xi 鈥檚 constitute a random sample from a distribution with mean m1 and standard deviation s1 and that the Yi 鈥檚 form a random sample (independent of the Xi 鈥檚) from another distribution with mean m2 and standard deviation\({{\rm{\sigma }}_{\rm{2}}}\).

a. Use rules of expected value to show that \({\rm{\bar X - \bar Y}}\)is an unbiased estimator of \({{\rm{\mu }}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{ - }}{{\rm{\mu }}_{\rm{2}}}\). Calculate the estimate for the given data.

b. Use rules of variance from Chapter 5 to obtain an expression for the variance and standard deviation (standard error) of the estimator in part (a), and then compute the estimated standard error.

c. Calculate a point estimate of the ratio \({{\rm{\sigma }}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{/}}{{\rm{\sigma }}_{\rm{2}}}\)of the two standard deviations.

d. Suppose a single beam and a single cylinder are randomly selected. Calculate a point estimate of the variance of the difference \({\rm{X - Y}}\) between beam strength and cylinder strength.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The estimate value is \({\rm{0}}{\rm{.434}}\)

The standard error is predicted to be \({\rm{0}}{\rm{.5687}}{\rm{.}}\)

The point estimate of the ratio \({\sigma _1}/{\sigma _2}\) is \(0.789\).

The point estimate of the variance is \({\rm{7}}{\rm{.1824}}\).

Step by step solution

01

Concept introduction

The mean of the sample mean X that we just calculated is identical to the population mean. We just calculated the standard deviation of the sample mean X, which is the population standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size: 10=20/2.

02

Estimation of the sample mean for the beam strengths

(a)

The following holds,

\(\begin{array}{l}{\rm{E(\bar X - \bar Y) = E(\bar X) - E(\bar Y)}}\\{\rm{ = E}}\left( {\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{m}}}\sum\limits_{{\rm{i = 1}}}^{\rm{m}} {{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{i}}}} } \right){\rm{ - E}}\left( {\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{n}}}\sum\limits_{{\rm{n = 1}}}^{\rm{m}} {{{\rm{Y}}_{\rm{i}}}} } \right)\\{\rm{ = }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{m}}}\sum\limits_{{\rm{i = 1}}}^{\rm{m}} {\rm{E}} \left( {{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{i}}}} \right){\rm{ - }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{n}}}\sum\limits_{{\rm{i = 1}}}^{\rm{n}} {\rm{E}} \left( {{{\rm{Y}}_{\rm{i}}}} \right){\rm{n}}\\\mathop {\rm{ = }}\limits^{{\rm{(1)}}} \frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{m}}}{\rm{ \times m \times E}}\left( {{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{1}}}} \right){\rm{ - }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{n}}}{\rm{ \times n \times E}}\left( {{{\rm{Y}}_{\rm{1}}}} \right)\\{\rm{ = }}{{\rm{\mu }}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{ - }}{{\rm{\mu }}_{\rm{2}}}\end{array}\)

(1): The distributions of \({X_i}\)and \({Y_j}\)are identical.

This indicates that \(\bar X - \bar Y\)is an unbiased estimate of \({\mu _1} - {\mu _2}\).

The Sample Mean \(\bar x\)of observations \({x_1},{x_2}, \ldots ,{x_n}\)is calculated as follows:

\(\begin{array}{c}{\rm{\bar x = }}\frac{{{{\rm{x}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{ + }}{{\rm{x}}_{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ + \ldots + }}{{\rm{x}}_{\rm{n}}}}}{{\rm{n}}}\\{\rm{ = }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{n}}}\sum\limits_{{\rm{i = 1}}}^{\rm{n}} {{{\rm{x}}_{\rm{i}}}} \end{array}\)

The sample mean for the beam strengths data was calculated in exercise 1 and is barx=8.141. The sample mean for cylinder strengths is

\(\begin{array}{c}{\rm{\bar y = }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{\rm{20}}}}{\rm{(6}}{\rm{.1 + 5}}{\rm{.8 + \ldots + 11}}{\rm{.12)}}\\{\rm{ = 8}}{\rm{.575}}\end{array}\)

Therefore, the estimate value is \(\begin{array}{c}{\rm{\bar x - \bar y = 8}}{\rm{.141 - 8}}{\rm{.575}}\\{\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.434}}\end{array}\)

03

Calculation of standard deviation

(b)

The following is true for the variance due to independence:

\(\begin{array}{c}{\rm{V(\bar X - \bar Y)}}\mathop {\rm{ = }}\limits^{{\rm{(2)}}} {\rm{V(\bar X) + ( - 1}}{{\rm{)}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{V(\bar Y)}}\\{\rm{ = V}}\left( {\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{m}}}\sum\limits_{{\rm{i = 1}}}^{\rm{m}} {{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{i}}}} } \right){\rm{ + V}}\left( {\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{n}}}\sum\limits_{{\rm{n = 1}}}^{\rm{m}} {{{\rm{Y}}_{\rm{i}}}} } \right)\end{array}\)

\(\begin{array}{c}\mathop {\rm{ = }}\limits^{{\rm{(2)}}} \frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{{\rm{m}}^{\rm{2}}}}}\sum\limits_{{\rm{i = 1}}}^{\rm{m}} {\rm{V}} \left( {{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{i}}}} \right){\rm{ + }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{{\rm{n}}^{\rm{2}}}}}\sum\limits_{{\rm{i = 1}}}^{\rm{n}} {\rm{V}} \left( {{{\rm{Y}}_{\rm{i}}}} \right)\\\mathop {\rm{ = }}\limits^{{\rm{(1)}}} \frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{{\rm{m}}^{\rm{2}}}}}{\rm{ \times m \times V}}\left( {{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{1}}}} \right){\rm{ + }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{{\rm{n}}^{\rm{2}}}}}{\rm{ \times n \times V}}\left( {{{\rm{Y}}_{\rm{1}}}} \right)\\{\rm{ = }}\frac{{{\rm{\sigma }}_{\rm{1}}^{\rm{2}}}}{{\rm{m}}}{\rm{ + }}\frac{{{\rm{\sigma }}_{\rm{2}}^{\rm{2}}}}{{\rm{n}}}\end{array}\)

(2): Independence.

The standard deviation is

\(\begin{array}{l}{{\rm{\sigma }}_{{\rm{\bar X}}}}{\rm{ - \bar Y = }}\sqrt {{\rm{V(\bar X - \bar Y)}}} \\{\rm{ = }}\sqrt {\frac{{{\rm{\sigma }}_{\rm{1}}^{\rm{2}}}}{{\rm{m}}}{\rm{ + }}\frac{{{\rm{\sigma }}_{\rm{2}}^{\rm{2}}}}{{\rm{n}}}} \end{array}\)

The sample variances \(\sigma _1^2\)and \(\sigma _2^2\)are required in order to calculate the estimate. For the first time, the sample standard deviation was calculated.

\({{\rm{s}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{ = 1}}{\rm{.66}}\)

The Sample Variance is \({s^2}\)is\({s^2} = \frac{1}{{n - 1}} \cdot {S_{xx}}.\)

Where,

\(\begin{array}{c}{{\rm{S}}_{{\rm{xx}}}}{\rm{ = }}\sum {{{\left( {{{\rm{x}}_{\rm{i}}}{\rm{ - \bar x}}} \right)}^{\rm{2}}}} \\{\rm{ = }}\sum {{\rm{x}}_{\rm{i}}^{\rm{2}}} {\rm{ - }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{n}}}{\rm{ \times }}{\left( {\sum {{{\rm{x}}_{\rm{i}}}} } \right)^{\rm{2}}}\end{array}\)

The Sample Standard Deviation \({\rm{s}}\)is

\(\begin{array}{c}{\rm{s = }}\sqrt {{{\rm{s}}^{\rm{2}}}} \\{\rm{ = }}\sqrt {\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{\rm{n - 1}}}}{\rm{ \times }}{{\rm{S}}_{{\rm{xx}}}}} \end{array}\)

The squared data points, \(y_i^2\),are

\(37.21,33.64,60.84,50.41,51.84,84.64,43.56,68.89,49,68.89,60.84,65.61,54.76,72.25,79.21,96.04,94.09,198.81,158.76,125.44,\)

Thus, the \({S_{yy}}\)is

\(\begin{array}{c}{{\rm{S}}_{{\rm{yy}}}}{\rm{ = }}\sum {{\rm{y}}_{\rm{i}}^{\rm{2}}} {\rm{ - }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{n}}}{\rm{ \times }}{\left( {\sum {{{\rm{y}}_{\rm{i}}}} } \right)^{\rm{2}}}\\{\rm{ = 37}}{\rm{.21 + 33}}{\rm{.64 + \ldots + 125}}{\rm{.44 - }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{\rm{20}}}}{\rm{ \times (6}}{\rm{.1 + 5}}{\rm{.8 + \ldots + 11}}{\rm{.2}}{{\rm{)}}^{\rm{2}}}\\{\rm{ = 1554}}{\rm{.73 - }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{\rm{16}}}}{\rm{ \times 171}}{\rm{.}}{{\rm{5}}^{\rm{2}}}\\{\rm{ = 84}}{\rm{.1175}}\end{array}\)

And the sample variance is

\(\begin{array}{c}{\rm{s}}_{\rm{2}}^{\rm{2}}{\rm{ = }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{\rm{16 - 1}}}}{\rm{ \times 84}}{\rm{.1175}}\\{\rm{ = 4}}{\rm{.427}}\end{array}\)
Also, the sample standard deviation is

\(\begin{array}{c}{\rm{s = }}\sqrt {{{\rm{s}}^{\rm{2}}}} \\{\rm{ = }}\sqrt {{\rm{4}}{\rm{.427}}} \\{\rm{ = 2}}{\rm{.104}}{\rm{.}}\end{array}\)

As a result, the standard error is predicted to be \(\begin{array}{c}{{\rm{s}}_{{\rm{\bar X - \bar Y}}}}{\rm{ = }}\sqrt {\frac{{{\rm{s}}_{\rm{1}}^{\rm{2}}}}{{\rm{m}}}{\rm{ + }}\frac{{{\rm{s}}_{\rm{2}}^{\rm{2}}}}{{\rm{n}}}} \\{\rm{ = }}\sqrt {\frac{{{\rm{1}}{\rm{.6}}{{\rm{6}}^{\rm{2}}}}}{{{\rm{27}}}}{\rm{ + }}\frac{{{\rm{2}}{\rm{.10}}{{\rm{4}}^{\rm{2}}}}}{{{\rm{20}}}}} \\{\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.5687}}{\rm{.}}\end{array}\)

Hence, the required result is\({\rm{0}}{\rm{.5687}}\).

04

Finding the point estimate of the ratio

(c)

The point estimate of the ratio \({\sigma _1}/{\sigma _2}\)

\(\begin{array}{c}\frac{{{s_1}}}{{{s_2}}} = \frac{{1.66}}{{2.104}}\\ = 0.789.\end{array}\)

Thus, the required result is\(0.789\).

05

Finding the point estimate of the variance

(d)

The variance of \(X - Y\)is

\(\begin{array}{c}{\rm{V(X - Y)}}\mathop {\rm{ = }}\limits^{{\rm{(2)}}} {\rm{V(X) + ( - 1}}{{\rm{)}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{V(Y)}}\\{\rm{ = \sigma }}_{\rm{1}}^{\rm{2}}{\rm{ + \sigma }}_{\rm{2}}^{\rm{2}}\end{array}\)

which yields a point estimate of the variance

\(\begin{array}{c}{\rm{s}}_{\rm{1}}^{\rm{2}}{\rm{ + s}}_{\rm{2}}^{\rm{2}}{\rm{ = 1}}{\rm{.6}}{{\rm{6}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ + 2}}{\rm{.10}}{{\rm{4}}^{\rm{2}}}\\{\rm{ = 7}}{\rm{.1824}}\end{array}\)

Hence, the point estimate of the variance is\({\rm{7}}{\rm{.1824}}\).

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91影视!

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

Urinary angiotensinogen (AGT) level is one quantitative indicator of kidney function. The article 鈥淯rinary Angiotensinogen as a Potential Biomarker of Chronic Kidney Diseases鈥 (J. of the Amer. Society of Hypertension, \({\rm{2008: 349 - 354}}\)) describes a study in which urinary AGT level \({\rm{(\mu g)}}\) was determined for a sample of adults with chronic kidney disease. Here is representative data (consistent with summary quantities and descriptions in the cited article):

An appropriate probability plot supports the use of the lognormal distribution (see Section \({\rm{4}}{\rm{.5}}\)) as a reasonable model for urinary AGT level (this is what the investigators did).

a. Estimate the parameters of the distribution. (Hint: Rem ember that \({\rm{X}}\) has a lognormal distribution with parameters \({\rm{\mu }}\) and \({{\rm{\sigma }}^{\rm{2}}}\) if \({\rm{ln(X)}}\) is normally distributed with mean \({\rm{\mu }}\) and variance \({{\rm{\sigma }}^{\rm{2}}}\).)

b. Use the estimates of part (a) to calculate an estimate of the expected value of AGT level. (Hint: What is \({\rm{E(X)}}\)?)

Consider a random sample \({{\rm{X}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{,}}{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{2}}}.....{\rm{,}}{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{n}}}\) from the shifted exponential pdf

\({\rm{f(x;\lambda ,\theta ) = }}\left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{c}}{{\rm{\lambda }}{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - \lambda (x - \theta )}}}}}&{{\rm{x}} \ge {\rm{\theta }}}\\{\rm{0}}&{{\rm{ otherwise }}}\end{array}} \right.\). Taking \({\rm{\theta = 0}}\) gives the pdf of the exponential distribution considered previously (with positive density to the right of zero). An example of the shifted exponential distribution appeared in Example \({\rm{4}}{\rm{.5}}\), in which the variable of interest was time headway in traffic flow and \({\rm{\theta = }}{\rm{.5}}\) was the minimum possible time headway. a. Obtain the maximum likelihood estimators of \({\rm{\theta }}\) and \({\rm{\lambda }}\). b. If \({\rm{n = 10}}\) time headway observations are made, resulting in the values \({\rm{3}}{\rm{.11,}}{\rm{.64,2}}{\rm{.55,2}}{\rm{.20,5}}{\rm{.44,3}}{\rm{.42,10}}{\rm{.39,8}}{\rm{.93,17}}{\rm{.82}}\), and \({\rm{1}}{\rm{.30}}\), calculate the estimates of \({\rm{\theta }}\) and \({\rm{\lambda }}\).

Suppose the true average growth\({\rm{\mu }}\)of one type of plant during a l-year period is identical to that of a second type, but the variance of growth for the first type is\({{\rm{\sigma }}^{\rm{2}}}\), whereas for the second type the variance is\({\rm{4}}{{\rm{\sigma }}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{. Let }}{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{, \ldots ,}}{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{m}}}\)be\({\rm{m}}\)independent growth observations on the first type (so\({\rm{E}}\left( {{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{i}}}} \right){\rm{ = \mu ,V}}\left( {{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{i}}}} \right){\rm{ = \sigma\hat 2}}\)$ ), and let\({{\rm{Y}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{, \ldots ,}}{{\rm{Y}}_{\rm{n}}}\)be\({\rm{n}}\)independent growth observations on the second type\(\left( {{\rm{E}}\left( {{{\rm{Y}}_{\rm{i}}}} \right){\rm{ = \mu ,V}}\left( {{{\rm{Y}}_{\rm{j}}}} \right){\rm{ = 4}}{{\rm{\sigma }}^{\rm{2}}}} \right)\)

a. Show that the estimator\({\rm{\hat \mu = \delta \bar X + (1 - \delta )\bar Y}}\)is unbiased for\({\rm{\mu }}\)(for\({\rm{0 < \delta < 1}}\), the estimator is a weighted average of the two individual sample means).

b. For fixed\({\rm{m}}\)and\({\rm{n}}\), compute\({\rm{V(\hat \mu ),}}\)and then find the value of\({\rm{\delta }}\)that minimizes\({\rm{V(\hat \mu )}}\). (Hint: Differentiate\({\rm{V(\hat \mu )}}\)with respect to\({\rm{\delta }}{\rm{.)}}\)

A vehicle with a particular defect in its emission control system is taken to a succession of randomly selected mechanics until\({\rm{r = 3}}\)of them have correctly diagnosed the problem. Suppose that this requires diagnoses by\({\rm{20}}\)different mechanics (so there were\({\rm{17}}\)incorrect diagnoses). Let\({\rm{p = P}}\)(correct diagnosis), so\({\rm{p}}\)is the proportion of all mechanics who would correctly diagnose the problem. What is the mle of\({\rm{p}}\)? Is it the same as the mle if a random sample of\({\rm{20}}\)mechanics results in\({\rm{3}}\)correct diagnoses? Explain. How does the mle compare to the estimate resulting from the use of the unbiased estimator?

A sample of \({\rm{n}}\) captured Pandemonium jet fighters results in serial numbers\({{\rm{x}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{,}}{{\rm{x}}_{\rm{2}}}{\rm{,}}{{\rm{x}}_{\rm{3}}}{\rm{, \ldots ,}}{{\rm{x}}_{\rm{n}}}\). The CIA knows that the aircraft were numbered consecutively at the factory starting with \({\rm{\alpha }}\)and ending with\({\rm{\beta }}\), so that the total number of planes manufactured is \({\rm{\beta - \alpha + 1}}\) (e.g., if \({\rm{\alpha = 17}}\) and\({\rm{\beta = 29}}\), then \({\rm{29 - 17 + 1 = 13}}\)planes having serial numbers \({\rm{17,18,19, \ldots ,28,29}}\)were manufactured). However, the CIA does not know the values of \({\rm{\alpha }}\) or\({\rm{\beta }}\). A CIA statistician suggests using the estimator \({\rm{max}}\left( {{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{i}}}} \right){\rm{ - min}}\left( {{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{i}}}} \right){\rm{ + 1}}\)to estimate the total number of planes manufactured.

a. If\({\rm{n = 5, x\_}}\left\{ {\rm{1}} \right\}{\rm{ = 237, x\_}}\left\{ {\rm{2}} \right\}{\rm{ = 375, x\_}}\left\{ {\rm{3}} \right\}{\rm{ = 202, x\_}}\left\{ {\rm{4}} \right\}{\rm{ = 525,}}\)and\({{\rm{x}}_{\rm{5}}}{\rm{ = 418}}\), what is the corresponding estimate?

b. Under what conditions on the sample will the value of the estimate be exactly equal to the true total number of planes? Will the estimate ever be larger than the true total? Do you think the estimator is unbiased for estimating\({\rm{\beta - \alpha + 1}}\)? Explain in one or two sentences.

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.