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The article "Flexure of Concrete Beams Reinforced with Advanced Composite Orthogrids"\((J\). of Aerospace Engr., 1997: 7-15) gave the accompanying data on ultimate load\((kN)\)for two different types of beams.

\( - 7.0944\)

a. Assuming that the underlying distributions are normal, calculate and interpret a\(99\% \)CI for the difference between true average load for the fiberglass beams and that for the carbon beams.

b. Does the upper limit of the interval you calculated in part (a) give a\(99\% \)upper confidence bound for the difference between the two\(\mu \)'s? If not, calculate such a bound. Does it strongly suggest that true average load for the carbon beams is more than that for the fiberglass beams? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a) \(( - 11.9756, - 6.8244)\)

We are \(99\% \)confident that the difference between the true average load for the fiberglass beams and that for the carbon beams is between \( - 11.9756\) and \( - 6.8244.\)

(b) upper confidence bound: \( - 7.0944\)

There is sufficient evidence that the true average load for the carbon beams is more than that for the fiberglass beams.

Step by step solution

01

a)Step 1: Find the endpoint of confident interval

\(\begin{array}{l}{{\bar x}_1} = 33.4\\{{\bar x}_2} = 42.8\\{n_1} = 26\\{n_2} = 26\\{s_1} = 2.2\\{s_2} = 4.3\\c = 99\% = 0.99\end{array}\)

Determine the degrees of freedom (rounded down to the nearest integer):

\(\Delta = \frac{{{{\left( {\frac{{s_1^2}}{{{n_1}}} + \frac{{s_2^2}}{{{n_2}}}} \right)}^2}}}{{\frac{{{{\left( {s_1^2/{n_1}} \right)}^2}}}{{{n_1} - 1}} + \frac{{{{\left( {s_2^2/{n_2}} \right)}^2}}}{{{n_2} - 1}}}} = \frac{{{{\left( {\frac{{{{2.2}^2}}}{{26}} + \frac{{{{4.3}^2}}}{{26}}} \right)}^2}}}{{\frac{{{{\left( {{{2.2}^2}/26} \right)}^2}}}{{26 - 1}} + \frac{{{{\left( {{{4.3}^2}/26} \right)}^2}}}{{26 - 1}}}} \approx 37 > 36\)

Determine the\(t\)-value by looking in the row starting with degrees of freedom\(df = 36\)and in the column with\(1 - c/2 = 0.005\)in the Student's\(t\)distribution table in the appendix:

\({t_{\alpha /2}} = 2.719\)

The margin of error is then:

\(E = {t_{\alpha /2}} \cdot \sqrt {\frac{{s_1^2}}{{{n_1}}} + \frac{{s_2^2}}{{{n_2}}}} = 2.719 \cdot \sqrt {\frac{{{{2.2}^2}}}{{26}} + \frac{{{{4.3}^2}}}{{26}}} \approx 2.5756\)

The endpoints of the confidence interval for\({\mu _1} - {\mu _2}\)are:

\(\begin{array}{l}\left( {{{\bar x}_1} - {{\bar x}_2}} \right) - E = (33.4 - 42.8) - 2.5756 = - 9.4 - 2.5756 = - 11.9756\\\left( {{{\bar x}_1} - {{\bar x}_2}} \right) + E = (33.4 - 42.8) + 2.5756 = - 9.4 + 2.5756 = - 6.8244\end{array}\)

We are \(99\% \)confident that the difference between the true average load for the fiberglass beams and that for the carbon beams is between \( - 11.9756\) and \( - 6.8244\)

02

b)Step 2: Find the upper confidence bound of the confidence interval

The upper confidence bound from part (a) is a \(99.5\% \) confidence bound instead of a \(99\% \) confidence bound.

\(\begin{array}{l}{{\bar x}_1} = 33.4\\{{\bar x}_2} = 42.8\\{n_1} = 26\\{n_2} = 26\\{s_1} = 2.2\\{s_2} = 4.3\\c = 99\% = 0.99\end{array}\)

Determine the degrees of freedom (rounded down to the nearest integer):

\(\Delta = \frac{{{{\left( {\frac{{s_1^2}}{{{n_1}}} + \frac{{s_2^2}}{{{n_2}}}} \right)}^2}}}{{\frac{{{{\left( {s_1^2/{n_1}} \right)}^2}}}{{{n_1} - 1}} + \frac{{{{\left( {s_2^2/{n_2}} \right)}^2}}}{{{n_2} - 1}}}} = \frac{{{{\left( {\frac{{{{2.2}^2}}}{{26}} + \frac{{{{4.3}^2}}}{{26}}} \right)}^2}}}{{\frac{{{{\left( {{{2.2}^2}/26} \right)}^2}}}{{26 - 1}} + \frac{{{{\left( {{{4.3}^2}/26} \right)}^2}}}{{26 - 1}}}} \approx 37 > 36\)

Determine the t-value by looking in the row starting with degrees of freedom \(df = 36\) and in the column with \(1 - c = 0.01\)in the Student's \(t\) distribution table in the appendix: \({t_{\alpha /2}} = 2.434\)

The margin of error is then:

\(E = {t_{\alpha /2}} \cdot \sqrt {\frac{{s_1^2}}{{{n_1}}} + \frac{{s_2^2}}{{{n_2}}}} = 2.434 \cdot \sqrt {\frac{{{{2.2}^2}}}{{26}} + \frac{{{{4.3}^2}}}{{26}}} \approx 2.3056\)

The upper confidence bound of the confidence interval for \({\mu _1} - {\mu _2}\) is then:

\(\left( {{{\bar x}_1} - {{\bar x}_2}} \right) + E = (33.4 - 42.8) + 2.3056 = - 9.4 + 2.3056 = - 7.0944\)

There is sufficient evidence that the true average load for the carbon beams is more than that for the fiberglass beams, because the upper confidence bound is smaller than \(0.\)

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