/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Q86E Organisms are present in ballast... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91影视

91影视

Organisms are present in ballast water discharged from a ship according to a Poisson process with a concentration of\({\bf{10}}\)organisms/m3 (the article 鈥淐ounting at Low Concentrations: The Statistical Challenges of Verifying Ballast Water Discharge Standards鈥 (Ecological Applications) considers using the Poisson process for this purpose). a. What is the probability that one cubic meter of discharge contains at least 8 organisms? b. What is the probability that the number of organisms in\({\bf{1}}.{\bf{5}}{\rm{ }}{{\bf{m}}^3}\)of discharge exceeds its mean value by more than one standard deviation? c. For what amount of discharge would the probability of containing at least one organism be\(.{\bf{999}}\)?

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability that one cubic meter of discharge is\(78\% \).

The probability of the number of organisms in part b is\(18.1\% \).

The amount of discharge in part c is \(0.6907755\).

Step by step solution

01

Definition of Probability

Randomness is studied using probability, a mathematical instrument. It is concerned with the probability of an event taking place. You might not get two heads and two tails when you throw a fair coin four times.

02

Calculation for the determination of probability in part a.

The cumulative probability \(P(X \le 7)\)is given in the row with \(x = 7\)and in the column with \(\mu = 10.0\)of table:

\(P(X < 8) = P(X \le 7) = 0.220\)

Complement rule:

\(P({\mathop{\rm not}\nolimits} A) = 1 - P(A)\)

Use the complement rule:

\(\begin{array}{l}P(X \ge 8) = 1 - P(X < 8)\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = 1 - 0.220\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = 0.780\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = 78.0\% \end{array}\)

03

Calculation for the determination of probability in part b.

The cumulative probability \(P(X \le 18)\)is given in the row with \(x = 18\)and in the column with \(\mu = 15.0\)of table:

\(P(X < 18.9) = P(X \le 18) = 0.819\)

Complement rule:

\(P({\mathop{\rm not}\nolimits} A) = 1 - P(A)\)

Use the complement rule:

\(\begin{array}{l}P(X > \mu + \sigma ) = P(X > 18.9)\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = 1 - P(X < 18.9)\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = 1 - 0.819\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = 0.181 = 18.1\% \end{array}\)

04

Calculation for the determination of probability in part c.

Given: Poisson distribution with

\(\mu = 10{\rm{ organisms }}/{{\rm{m}}^3}\)

Let \(x\;{{\rm{m}}^3}\)be the amount of discharge in. The mean is then the ratio multiplied by the number of \({m^3}\):

\(\mu = 10{\rm{ organisms }}/{{\rm{m}}^3} \times x\;{{\rm{m}}^3} = 10x{\rm{ organisms }}\)

We need to determine x such that:

\(P(X \ge 1) = 0.999\)

Formula Poisson probability:

\(P(X = k) = \frac{{{\mu ^k}{e^{ - \mu }}}}{{k!}}\)

Evaluate at \(k = 0\):

\(P(X = 0) = \frac{{{{(10x)}^0}{e^{ - 10x}}}}{{0!}} = {e^{ - 10x}}\)

05

Calculation for the determination of probability in part c.

Complement rule:

\(P({\mathop{\rm not}\nolimits} {\rm{A}}) = 1 - P(A)\)

Use the complement rule:

\(P(X \ge 1) = 1 - P(X = 0) = 1 - {e^{ - 10x}}\)

We want this probability to be equal to\(0.999\).

\(1 - {e^{ - 10x}} = 0.999\)

Subtract \(1\) from each side of the equation:

\( - {e^{ - 10x}} = - 0.001\)

Multiply each side of the equation by\( - 1\):

\({e^{ - 10x}} = 0.001\)

06

Calculation for the determination of probability in part c.

Take the natural logarithm of each side:

\(\ln {e^{ - 10x}} = \ln 0.001\)

Use the power property of logarithms \(\left( {\ln {a^b} = b\ln a} \right)\):

\( - 10x\ln e = \ln 0.001\)

The natural logarithm of e is l:

\( - 10x = \ln 0.001\)

Divide each side by\( - 10\):

\(x = \frac{{\ln 0.001}}{{ - 10}}\)

Evaluate:

\(x = - \frac{{\ln 0.001}}{{10}} \approx 0.6907755\)

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91影视!

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

A manufacturer of integrated circuit chips wishes to control the quality of its product by rejecting any batch in which the proportion of defective chips is too high. To this end, out of each batch (10,000 chips), 25 will be selected and tested. If at least 5 of these 25 are defective, the entire batch will be rejected.

a. What is the probability that a batch will be rejected if 5% of the chips in the batch are in fact defective?

b. Answer the question posed in (a) if the percentage of defective chips in the batch is \({\bf{10}}\% \).

c. Answer the question posed in (a) if the percentage of defective chips in the batch is \({\bf{20}}\% \).

d. What happens to the probabilities in (a)鈥(c) if the critical rejection number is increased from 5 to \({\bf{6}}\)?

Consider a disease whose presence can be identified by carrying out a blood test. Let \({\rm{p}}\) denote the probability that a randomly selected individual has the disease. Suppose \({\rm{n}}\) individuals are independently selected for testing. One way to proceed is to carry out a separate test on each of the \({\rm{n}}\) blood samples. A potentially more economical approach, group testing, was introduced during World War \({\rm{II}}\) to identify syphilitic men among army inductees. First, take a part of each blood sample, combine these specimens, and carry out a single test. If no one has the disease, the result will be negative, and only the one test is required. If at least one individual is diseased, the test on the combined sample will yield a positive result, in which case the n individual tests are then carried out. If \({\rm{p = }}{\rm{.1}}\) and \({\rm{n = 3}}\), what is the expected number of tests using this procedure? What is the expected number when \({\rm{n = 5}}\)? (The article 鈥淩andom Multiple-Access Communication and Group Testing鈥 (IEEE Trans. on Commun., \({\rm{1984: 769 - 774}}\)) applied these ideas to a communication system in which the dichotomy was active/ idle user rather than diseased/non-diseased.)

Use the fact that

\(\sum\limits_{{\rm{all x}}} {{{{\rm{(x - \mu )}}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{p(x)}} \ge \sum\limits_{{\rm{x;|x - \mu |}} \ge {\rm{k\sigma }}} {{{{\rm{(x - \mu )}}}^{\rm{2}}}{\rm{p(x)}}} } \)

to prove Chebyshev鈥檚 inequality given in Exercise \({\rm{44}}\).

If \({\rm{X}}\) is a hypergeometric rv, show directly from the definition that \({\rm{E(X) = nM/N}}\) (consider only the case \({\rm{n < M}}\)). (Hint: Factor \({\rm{nM/N}}\) out of the sum for \({\rm{E(X)}}\), and show that the terms inside the sum are of the form \({\rm{h(f;n - 1,M - 1,N - 1)}}\), where \({\rm{y = x - 1}}\).)

NBC News reported on May 2,2013, that 1 in 20 children in the United States have a food allergy of some sort. Consider selecting a random sample of 25 children and let X be the number in the sample who have a food allergy. Then \(X~Bin (25,.05)\).

a. Determine both \(P(X \le 3)\)and \(P(X < 3)\).

b. Determine \(P(X \ge 4)\).

c. Determine \(P(1 \le X \le 3)\).

d. What are E(X) and \({\sigma _X}\)?

e. In a sample of 50 children, what is the probability that none has a food allergy?

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.