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NBC News reported on May 2,2013, that 1 in 20 children in the United States have a food allergy of some sort. Consider selecting a random sample of 25 children and let X be the number in the sample who have a food allergy. Then \(X~Bin (25,.05)\).

a. Determine both \(P(X \le 3)\)and \(P(X < 3)\).

b. Determine \(P(X \ge 4)\).

c. Determine \(P(1 \le X \le 3)\).

d. What are E(X) and \({\sigma _X}\)?

e. In a sample of 50 children, what is the probability that none has a food allergy?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a) Determined value of given problem is\(0.8729\).

b) Determined value of given problem is\(0.0341\).

c) Determined value of given problem is\(0.688\)

d) Determined value of given problem is\(1.0897.\)

e) The probability that none has a food allergy is 0.0769

Step by step solution

01

Definition of probability

Probability denotes the possibility of something happening. It's a field of mathematics that studies the probability of a random event occurring.

02

Step 2: Determine both \(P(X \le 3)\) and \(P(X < 3)\)

a)

We are given \(X\sim {\mathop{\rm Bin}\nolimits} (25,0.05)\)

(Binomial Distribution).

Cumulative Density Function cdf of binomial random variable X with parameters $n$ and p is

\(\begin{aligned} B(x;n,p) &= P(X \le x)\\ &= \sum\limits_{y = 0}^x b (y;n,p),\;\;\;\\x = 0,1, \ldots ,n\end{aligned}\)

Therefore, the following is true

\(\begin{array}{l}B(3;25,0.05) = P(X \le 3)\\ = \sum\limits_{y = 0}^x b (y;n,p)\mathop = \limits^{(1)} 0.9659\end{array}\)

(1) : the value can be found in Appendix Table A.l. (\(n = 25\), column " and row " . The value given here is correct up to fourth decimal.

The following holds,

\(\begin{aligned}P(X < 3)\mathop = \limits^{(1)} P(X \le 2)\\ = B(2;25,0.05)\mathop = \limits^{(2)} 0.8729\end{aligned}\)

(1): X can take only non negative values, which for\(\{ X < 3\} \)means that it can take values\(0,1,2\)or equally\(\{ X \le 2\} \);

(2) : The value can be found in Appendix Table A.l. (\(n = 25\), column " and row " 2 "). The value given here is correct up to fourth decimal.

03

Step 3: Determine \(P(X \ge 4)\)

b)

We are given \(X\sim {\mathop{\rm Bin}\nolimits} (25,0.05)\) (Binomial Distribution).

Cumulative Density Function cdf of binomial random variable\({\rm{X}}\)with parameters n and p is

\(\begin{array}{l}B(x;n,p) = P(X \le x)\\ = \sum\limits_{y = 0}^x b (y;n,p),\;\;\;x = 0,1, \ldots ,n.\end{array}\)

The following is true

\(\begin{aligned}P(X \ge 4)\mathop = \limits^{(1)} 1 - P(X < 4)\mathop = \limits^{(2)} 1 - P(X \le 3)\\ = 1 - B(3;25,0.05)\\\mathop = \limits^{(3)} 1 - 0.9659\\ = 0.0341\end{aligned}\)

(1) : the complement of event \(\{ X \ge 4\} \)is event \(\{ X < 4\} \);

(2): X can take only non negative values, which indicates that events\(\{ X < 4\} \) and\(\{ X \le 3\} \)are the same'

(3) : the value can be found in Appendix Table A.l. ( $n=25$, column and row ". The value given here is correct up to fourth decimal.

Therefore, \(P(X \ge 4) = 0.0341\)

04

Step 4: Determine \(P(1 \le X \le 3)\)

c)

We are given \(X\sim {\mathop{\rm Bin}\nolimits} (25,0.05\) ) (Binomial Distribution).

Cumulative Density Function cdf of binomial random variable X with parameters n and p is

\(\begin{array}{c}B(x;n,p) = P(X \le x)\\ = \sum\limits_{y = 0}^x b (y;n,p),\;\;\;\\x = 0,1, \ldots ,n\end{array}\)

The following is true

\(\begin{aligned}P(1 \le X \le 3)\mathop = \limits^{(1)} P(X \le 3) - P(0 \le X) = B(3;25,0.05) - B(0;25,0.05)\\\mathop = \limits^{(2)} 0.9659 - 0.2779\\ = 0.688\end{aligned}\)

(1) : probability of event\(\{ 1 \le X \le 3\} \)gives us probability that\(X = 1,2,3\), which we can obtain by subtracting probability of event\(X = 0,1,2,3\) with probability that\(X = 0\);

(2) : the value can be found in Appendix Table A.1. (\(n = 25\), column

and row $ and " 0. The values given here are correct up to fourth decimal.

Therefore, \(P(1 \le X \le 3) = 0.688\).

05

Step 5: Determine \(E(X)\) and \({\sigma _X}\)

d)

We are given \(X\sim {\mathop{\rm Bin}\nolimits} (25,0.05)\) (Binomial Distribution).

Proposition: For a binomial random variable\({\rm{X}}\) with parameters\({\rm{n}},{\rm{p}}\), and\(q = 1 - p\), the following is true

\(\begin{aligned}E(X) &= np\\V(X) &= np\\(1 - p) = npq\\{\sigma _X} &= \sqrt {npq} \end{aligned}\)

From the proposition, the following is true

\(\begin{aligned} E(X) &= np\\ &= 25 \cdot 0.05\\ &= 1.25.\end{aligned}\)

And

\(\begin{aligned}V(X) &= npq\\ &= 25 \cdot 0.05 \cdot (1 - 0.05)\\ &= 1.1875.\end{aligned}\) And the Standard Deviation

\(\begin{aligned} {\sigma _X} &= \sqrt {npq} \\ &= \sqrt {1.1875} \\ &= 1.0897\end{aligned}\)

\(\begin{aligned} E(X) = 1.25\\{\sigma _X} = 1.0897.\end{aligned}\)

Therefore, the answer is \(1.0897.\)

06

Step 6: Determine the probability

e)

We are given \(X\sim {\mathop{\rm Bin}\nolimits} (50,0.05)\) (Binomial Distribution).

\(({\rm{d}}):\)Theorem:

\(b(x;n,p) = \left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}{\left( {\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}n\\x\end{array}} \right){p^x}{{(1 - p)}^{n - x}}}&{,x = 0,1,2, \ldots ,n}\\0&{}\end{array}} \right.\)

The probability that none has a food allergy is

\(\begin{array}{c}b(0;50,0.05) = \left( {\begin{array}{*{20}{c}}{50}\\0\end{array}} \right){0.05^0}{(1 - 0.05)^{50 - 0}}\\ = 0.0769\end{array}\)

Therefore, the answer is \(0.0769\).

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