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Consider writing onto a computer disk and then sending it through a certifier that counts the number of missing pulses. Suppose this number X has a Poisson distribution with parameter\({\rm{\mu = }}{\rm{.2}}\). (Suggested in 鈥淎verage Sample Number for Semi-Curtailed Sampling Using the Poisson Distribution,鈥 J. Quality Technology,\({\rm{1983 = 126 - 129}}\).) a. What is the probability that a disk has exactly one missing pulse? b. What is the probability that a disk has at least two missing pulses? c. If twodisks are independently selected, what is the probability that neither contains a missing pulse?

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a) The probability is obtained as:\({\rm{P(X = 1) = 0}}{\rm{.1637}}\).

(b) The probability is obtained as: \({\rm{P(X}} \ge {\rm{2) = 0}}{\rm{.018}}\).

(c) The probability is obtained as: \({\rm{P(}}{{\rm{C}}_{\rm{1}}} \cap {{\rm{C}}_{\rm{2}}}{\rm{) = 0}}{\rm{.671}}\).

Step by step solution

01

Define Discrete random variables

A discrete random variable is one that can only take on a finite number of different values.

02

Step 2:Evaluating the probability

A pmf with a random variable X is:

\({\rm{p(x;\mu ) = }}{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - \mu }}}}\frac{{{{\rm{\mu }}^{\rm{x}}}}}{{{\rm{x!}}}}\)

Poisson Distribution with parameter \({\rm{\mu > 0}}\) is claimed to exist for \({\rm{x = 0,1,}}...\)

We're told that X has a Poisson Distribution with \({\rm{\mu = 0}}{\rm{.2}}\).

(a) Indicate the occurrence.

A=a disc is missing precisely one pulse.

The following statement is correct:

\(\begin{aligned}P(A) &= P(X = 1)\\ &= p(1;0,2)\\ &= {{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - 0}}{\rm{.2}}}}\frac{{{\rm{0}}{\rm{.}}{{\rm{2}}^{\rm{1}}}}}{{{\rm{1!}}}}\\ &= {\rm{0}}{\rm{.1637}}\end{aligned}\)

you may determine this number using Appendix Table \({\rm{A}}{\rm{.2}}\), which contains the Poisson cdf \({\rm{F(x;\mu )}}\) as:

\(\begin{aligned}{\rm{F(1;0}}{\rm{.2) - F(0;0}}.2) &= 0{\rm{.982 - 0}}{\rm{.819}}\\ &= 0{\rm{.163}}\end{aligned}\)

Therefore, the value is: \({\rm{P(X = 1) = 0}}{\rm{.1637}}\).

03

Evaluating the probability

(b) Indicate the occurrence.

A disc with at least two missing pulses is referred to as B.

The following statement is correct:

\(\begin{aligned}P(B) &= P(X \ge {\rm{2)}}\\ &= {\rm{1 - P(X}} \le {\rm{1)}}\\ &= 1 - F(1;0,2)\\ &= {\rm{1 - 0}}{\rm{.982}}\\ &= 0{\rm{.018}}\end{aligned}\)

(1): Because X can only take integer values,\({\rm{\{ X < 2\} }}\)is the same event as\({\rm{\{ X}} \le {\rm{1\} }}\);

(2):Table\({\rm{A}}{\rm{.2}}\)in Appendix.

Therefore, the value is: \({\rm{P(X}} \ge {\rm{2) = 0}}{\rm{.018}}\).

04

Evaluating the probability

(c) Indicate the occurrences.

\({{\rm{C}}_{\rm{1}}}\)=the first disc has no missing pulses;

There is no missing pulse on the\({{\rm{C}}_{\rm{2}}}\)=second disc.

The possibilities of both outcomes are, of course, the same.

\(\begin{array}{c}{\rm{P(}}{{\rm{C}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{) = P(}}{{\rm{C}}_{\rm{2}}}{\rm{)}}\\{\rm{ = p(0;0}}{\rm{.2)}}\\{\rm{ = }}{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - 0}}{\rm{.2}}}}\frac{{{\rm{0}}{\rm{.}}{{\rm{2}}^{\rm{0}}}}}{{{\rm{0!}}}}\\{\rm{ = F(0;0,2)}}\\{\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.819}}\end{array}\)

You have the option of using Appendix Table\({\rm{A}}{\rm{.2}}\)or calculating it yourself.

We are asked to calculate the chance of the two occurrences colliding.

\(\begin{array}{c}{\rm{P(}}{{\rm{C}}_{\rm{1}}} \cap {{\rm{C}}_{\rm{2}}}{\rm{)}}\mathop {\rm{ = }}\limits^{{\rm{(1)}}} {\rm{P(}}{{\rm{C}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{) \bullet P(}}{{\rm{C}}_{\rm{2}}}{\rm{)}}\\{\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.819 \times 0}}{\rm{.819}}\\{\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.671}}\end{array}\)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A new battery鈥檚 voltage may be acceptable (A) or unacceptable (U). A certain flashlight requires two batteries, so batteries will be independently selected and tested until two acceptable ones have been found. Suppose that 90% of all batteries have acceptable voltages. Let Y denote the number of batteries that must be tested.

a. What is\(p\left( 2 \right)\), that is, \(P\left( {Y = 2} \right)\),?

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Airlines sometimes overbook flights. Suppose that for a plane with 50 seats, 55 passengers have tickets. Define the random variable Y as the number of ticketed passengers who actually show up for the flight. The probability mass function of Y appears in the accompanying table.

y

45

46

47

48

49

50

51

52

53

54

55

p(y)

.05

.10

.12

.14

.25

.17

.06

.05

.03

.02

.01

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b. What is the probability that not all ticketed passengerswho show up can be accommodated?

c. If you are the first person on the standby list (whichmeans you will be the first one to get on the plane ifthere are any seats available after all ticketed passengers have been accommodated), what is the probability that you will be able to take the flight? What is this probability if you are the third person on the standby list?

a. Show that b(x; n,\({\rm{1 - }}\)p) = b(n - x; n, p). b. Show that B(x; n,\({\rm{1 - }}\)p) =\({\rm{1 - }}\)B(n - x -\({\rm{1}}\); n, p). (Hint: At most x S鈥檚 is equivalent to at least (n - x) F鈥檚.) c. What do parts (a) and (b) imply about the necessity of including values of p greater than\({\rm{.5}}\)in Appendix Table A\({\rm{.1}}\)?

If the sample space S is an infinite set, does this necessarily imply that any rv X defined from S will have an infinite set of possible values? If yes, say why. If no, give an example.

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