/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Q83E An article in the Los Angeles Ti... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

An article in the Los Angeles Times (Dec.\({\rm{3, 1993}}\)) reports that\({\rm{1}}\)in\({\rm{200}}\)people carry the defective gene that causes inherited colon cancer. In a sample of\({\rm{1000}}\)individuals, what is the approximate distribution of the number who carry this gene? Use this distribution to calculate the approximate probability that a. Between\({\rm{5}}\)and\({\rm{8}}\)(inclusive) carry the gene. b. At least\({\rm{8}}\)carry the gene.

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a) The probability is obtained as:\({\rm{P(5}} \le {\rm{X}} \le {\rm{8) = 0}}{\rm{.492}}\).

(b) The probability is obtained as: \({\rm{P(X}} \ge {\rm{8) = 0}}{\rm{.133}}\).

Step by step solution

01

Define Discrete random variables

A discrete random variable is one that can only take on a finite number of different values

02

Step 2:Evaluating the probability

There are a few

\({\rm{n = 1000}}\)

persons from which one in every 200 people carries the gene, indicating that the likelihood of carrying the gene is low.

\({\rm{p = }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{{\rm{200}}}}\)

As a result, the distribution of such a random variable is Binomial, with \({\rm{n = 1000}}\) and \({\rm{p = 1/200}}\) as parameters.

Assume that we have b(x; n, p) (binomial random variable pmf) and that we have

\({\rm{np}} \to {\rm{\mu > 0}}\)

If \({\rm{n}} \to \infty \) and \({\rm{p}} \to {\rm{0}}\) are true, then

where p(x; u) is the Poisson Distribution PMF of a random variable.

In our scenario, we might use Poisson Random Variable X with parameter to approximate the specified binomial random variable.

\(\begin{array}{c}{\rm{\mu = np}}\\{\rm{ = 1000 \times 0}}{\rm{.005}}\\{\rm{ = 5}}\end{array}\)

(a) Using random variable X, the following is correct:

\(\begin{aligned}{\rm{P(5}} \le {\rm{X}} \le {\rm{8) = F(8;5) - F(4;5)}}\\&= 0{\rm{.932 - 0}}{\rm{.440}}\\ &= 0{\rm{.492}}\end{aligned}\)

(1):the cdf of a Poisson random variable is functionF.

(2):The Poisson cdf \({\rm{F(x;\mu )}}\) is found in Appendix Table \({\rm{A}}{\rm{.2}}\).

Therefore, the value is:\({\rm{P(5}} \le {\rm{X}} \le {\rm{8) = 0}}{\rm{.492}}\).

03

Step 3:Evaluating the probability

(b) Using random variable X, the following is correct:

\(\begin{aligned}{\rm{P(X}} \ge {\rm{8) = P(X < 8)}}\\ &= 1 - P(X \le {\rm{7)}}\\ &= 1 - F(7;5)\\ &= 1 - 0{\rm{.867}}\\ &= 0 {\rm{.133}}\end{aligned}\)

(1):Only integer values are allowed in X.

(2):The Poisson cdf \({\rm{F(x;\mu )}}\) is found in Appendix Table\({\rm{A}}{\rm{.2}}\).

Therefore, the value is: \({\rm{P(X}} \ge {\rm{8) = 0}}{\rm{.133}}\).

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

Consider a deck consisting of seven cards, marked\({\rm{1,2, \ldots }}\),\({\rm{7}}\). Three of these cards are selected at random. Define an rv \({\rm{W}}\) by \({\rm{W = }}\) the sum of the resulting numbers, and compute the pmf of \({\rm{W}}\). Then compute \({\rm{\mu }}\) and\({{\rm{\sigma }}^{\rm{2}}}\). (Hint: Consider outcomes as unordered, so that \({\rm{(1,3,7)}}\) and \({\rm{(3,1,7)}}\) are not different outcomes. Then there are \({\rm{35}}\) outcomes, and they can be listed. (This type of rv actually arises in connection with a statistical procedure called Wilcoxon's rank-sum test, in which there is an \({\rm{x}}\) sample and a \({\rm{y}}\) sample and \({\rm{W}}\)is the sum of the ranks of the \({\rm{x}}\)'s in the combined sample)

A particular telephone number is used to receive both voice calls and fax messages. Suppose that 25% of the incoming calls involve fax messages, and consider a sample of 25 incoming calls. What is the probability that

a. At most 6 of the calls involve a fax message?

b. Exactly 6 of the calls involve a fax message?

c. At least 6 of the calls involve a fax message?

d. More than 6 of the calls involve a fax message?

In proof testing of circuit boards, the probability that any particular diode will fail is\(.{\bf{01}}\). Suppose a circuit board contains\({\bf{200}}\)diodes. a. How many diodes would you expect to fail, and what is the standard deviation of the number that is expected to fail? b. What is the (approximate) probability that at least four diodes will fail on a randomly selected board? c. If five boards are shipped to a particular customer, how likely is it that at least four of them will work properly? (Aboard works properly only if all its diodes work.)

Starting at a fixed time, each car entering an intersectionis observed to see whether it turns left (L), right (R), orgoes straight ahead (A). The experiment terminates assoon as a car is observed to turn left. Let X = the numberof cars observed. What are possible X values? List five outcomes and their associated X values.

Some parts of California are particularly earthquake prone. Suppose that in one metropolitan area, 25% of all homeowners are insured against earthquake damage. Four homeowners are to be selected at random; let X

denote the number among the four who have earthquake insurance.

a. Find the probability distribution of X. (Hint: Let S denote a homeowner who has insurance and F one who does not. Then one possible outcome is SFSS,

with probability (.25)(.75)(.25)(.25) and associated X value 3. There are 15 other outcomes.)

b. Draw the corresponding probability histogram.

c. What is the most likely value for X?

d. What is the probability that at least two of the four selected have earthquake insurance?

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.