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A special deck of cards has ten cards. Four are green, three are blue, and three are red. When a card is picked, its color of it is recorded. An experiment consists of first picking a card and then tossing a coin. a. List the sample space. b. Let A be the event that a blue card is picked first, followed by landing a head on the coin toss. Find P(A). c. Let B be the event that a red or green is picked, followed by landing a head on the coin toss. Are the events A and B mutually exclusive? Explain your answer in one to three complete sentences, including numerical justification. d. Let C be the event that a red or blue is picked, followed by landing a head on the coin toss. Are the events A and C mutually exclusive? Explain your answer in one to three complete sentences, including numerical justification.

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) Sample space: {G,H), (G,T), ..., (R,T)} b) \(P(A) = \frac{3}{20}\) c) Yes, A and B are mutually exclusive. d) No, A and C are not mutually exclusive.

Step by step solution

01

Determine the Sample Space

To find the sample space for picking a card and then tossing a coin, consider the color of the card picked (green, blue, red) and then the outcome of the coin toss (head, tail). For each card color, there are two possible outcomes due to the coin toss: H (head) or T (tail). We represent the sample space as pairs (Color, Outcome). Given there are four green (G) cards, three blue (B) cards, and three red (R) cards, the outcomes are: \[ \{ (G, H), (G, T), (G, H), (G, T), (G, H), (G, T), (G, H), (G, T), (B, H), (B, T), (B, H), (B, T), (B, H), (B, T), (R, H), (R, T), (R, H), (R, T), (R, H), (R, T) \} \] You can simplify this since each pair is counted once and it repeats per card color, giving: \[ \{ G_1, G_2, G_3, G_4, B_1, B_2, B_3, R_1, R_2, R_3 \} \times \{ H, T \} \] resulting in 20 outcomes.
02

Find the Probability of Event A

Event A is picking a blue card followed by landing a head on the coin toss. There are 3 blue cards (B_1, B_2, B_3), and each has 2 possible outcomes (H, T). We focus on (B, H). Each blue card gives one (B, H) outcome, so there are 3 possible (B, H) outcomes from a total of 20 outcomes. Thus, the probability of event A is \( P(A) = \frac{3}{20} \).
03

Find the Probability of Event B

Event B is picking either a red or green card first, followed by landing a head. There are 4 green cards and 3 red cards, making 7 cards. Each card can be followed by H, resulting in 7 favorable outcomes. With 20 possible total outcomes, \( P(B) = \frac{7}{20} \).
04

Check if Events A and B are Mutually Exclusive

Events are mutual exclusive if they cannot happen at the same time. Event A is picking a blue card then heads (\(B, H\)), while event B involves picking a red or green card followed by heads (\(R,H)\) or \(G,H\)). Since \(B,H\) and \(R,H\)/\(G,H\) cannot both occur simultaneously, events A and B are mutually exclusive.
05

Find the Probability of Event C

Event C is picking either a red or blue card first, followed by heads. There are 3 red cards and 3 blue cards, making 6 cards total. Each card can be followed by H, thus there are 6 favorable scenarios: \((R, H)\) or \((B, H)\). With a total of 20 scenarios, \(P(C) = \frac{6}{20} = \frac{3}{10}\).
06

Check if Events A and C are Mutually Exclusive

Events A and C are not mutually exclusive because picking a blue card followed by heads (B, H) is common to both A and C. Since there is overlap, these events can occur simultaneously, thus they are not mutually exclusive.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Mutually Exclusive Events
In probability, mutually exclusive events are events that cannot happen at the same time. If one event occurs, the other cannot. Consider the events A and B defined in the original exercise. Event A is picking a blue card then landing a head in the coin toss. Event B is picking a red or green card, also landing a head. Looking at these events, they are mutually exclusive because if you pick a blue card (for event A), you cannot simultaneously pick a red or green card (for event B).

This is crucial because it impacts how we calculate the probabilities of combined events. For mutually exclusive events, the probability of either event A or event B occurring is simply the sum of their probabilities. In symbol form, this means:
  • If events A and B are mutually exclusive, then: \( P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) \)
By understanding them better, especially in experiments like coin tosses coupled with card selections, one grasps the essence of probability setups and decision-making in real-life scenarios.
Sample Space
The sample space is an essential concept in probability, representing all possible outcomes of an experiment. It is like a comprehensive list of every possible result that can happen when the experiment is performed.

For the special deck of cards with associated coin tosses, the sample space consists of all combinations of card colors (green, blue, red) and coin toss outcomes (head or tail). This results in different pairs; for instance, picking a green card and tossing a head (G, H) or a blue card and tossing a tail (B, T). In this exercise, because there are ten cards and each card instance is followed by a coin toss with two possible outcomes, the total sample space contains 20 outcomes.

Understanding the sample space is important so that you can determine the probability of single events or combinations of events. By identifying all the potential outcomes, you ensure you fully account for what's possible, making probabilistic calculations more accurate and reliable.
Experimental Probability
Experimental probability involves finding the likelihood of an event occurring based on the actual results of an experiment. It's different from theoretical probability, which is based solely on an understanding of events and outcomes.

When dealing with card picking and coin tossing, experimental probability allows observing actual results to calculate probabilities. For example, if after multiple trials of picking cards and tossing a coin, you observed that a blue card followed by heads occurred 3 out of 20 times, then the experimental probability for this event would be \( P(A) = \frac{3}{20} \).

This type of probability provides a real-world check against expected outcomes and can be particularly useful for making predictions based on observed data. It's important to conduct enough trials to get reliable data, which will lead to probabilities that reflect reality more closely.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In a particular college class, there are male and female students. Some students have long hair and some students have short hair. Write the symbols for the probabilities of the events for parts a through j. (Note that you cannot find numerical answers here. You were not given enough information to find any probability values yet; concentrate on understanding the symbols.) • Let F be the event that a student is female. • Let M be the event that a student is male. • Let S be the event that a student has short hair. • Let L be the event that a student has long hair. a. The probability that a student does not have long hair. b. The probability that a student is male or has short hair. c. The probability that a student is a female and has long hair. d. The probability that a student is male, given that the student has long hair. e. The probability that a student has long hair, given that the student is male. f. Of all the female students, the probability that a student has short hair. g. Of all students with long hair, the probability that a student is female. h. The probability that a student is female or has long hair. i. The probability that a randomly selected student is a male student with short hair. j. The probability that a student is female.

Use the following information to answer the next four exercises. A box is filled with several party favors. It contains 12 hats, 15 noisemakers, ten finger traps, and five bags of confetti. Let H = the event of getting a hat. Let N = the event of getting a noisemaker. Let F = the event of getting a finger trap. Let C = the event of getting a bag of confetti. Find P(F).

Consider the following scenario: Let P(C) = 0.4. Let P(D) = 0.5. Let P(C|D) = 0.6. a. Find P(C AND D). b. Are C and D mutually exclusive? Why or why not? c. Are C and D independent events? Why or why not? d. Find P(C OR D). e. Find P(D|C)

Use the following information to answer the next six exercises. There are 23 countries in North America, 12 countries in South America, 47 countries in Europe, 44 countries in Asia, 54 countries in Africa, and 14 in Oceania (Pacific Ocean region). Let A = the event that a country is in Asia. Let E = the event that a country is in Europe. Let F = the event that a country is in Africa. Let N = the event that a country is in North America. Let O = the event that a country is in Oceania. Let S = the event that a country is in South America. Find P(E).

What is the probability of rolling a prime number of dots with a fair, six- sided die numbered one through six?

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