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Roll two fair dice. Each die has six faces. a. List the sample space. b. Let A be the event that either a three or four is rolled first, followed by an even number. Find P(A). c. Let B be the event that the sum of the two rolls is at most seven. Find P(B). d. In words, explain what 鈥淧(A|B)鈥 represents. Find P(A|B). e. Are A and B mutually exclusive events? Explain your answer in one to three complete sentences, including numerical justification. f. Are A and B independent events? Explain your answer in one to three complete sentences, including numerical justification.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Events A and B are neither mutually exclusive nor independent, with \(P(A) = \frac{1}{6}\), \(P(B) = \frac{7}{12}\), and \(P(A|B) = \frac{2}{21}\).

Step by step solution

01

List the Sample Space

To determine the sample space for the roll of two dice, note that each die can land on one of 6 faces. Thus, there are 36 possible outcomes, since this is the number of ordered pairs (one for each die) that can be made: \((1,1), (1,2),\ldots,(6,6)\).
02

Define Event A and Find P(A)

Event A is defined as rolling either a 3 or a 4 on the first die followed by an even number on the second die. The possible outcomes are \((3,2), (3,4), (3,6), (4,2), (4,4), (4,6)\), giving 6 successful outcomes. Therefore, \( P(A) = \frac{6}{36} = \frac{1}{6} \).
03

Define Event B and Find P(B)

Event B is defined as the two rolls summing to seven or less. The successful combinations are: \((1,1)\) to \((1,6)\), \((2,1)\) to \((2,5)\), \((3,1)\) to \((3,4)\), \((4,1)\) to \((4,3)\), \((5,1)\) to \((5,2)\), and \((6,1)\). This results in \(21\) outcomes. So, \(P(B) = \frac{21}{36} = \frac{7}{12}\).
04

Explain and Calculate P(A|B)

\(P(A|B)\) represents the probability of event A occurring given that event B has occurred. The overlapping or successful outcomes for A given B are \((3,2), (4,2)\) among \(B\)'s outcomes, resulting in 2 cases. Thus, \(P(A|B) = \frac{2}{21}\).
05

Assess if A and B are Mutually Exclusive

Events A and B are not mutually exclusive because it's possible for both to occur simultaneously (e.g., \((3,2), (4,2)\)). Since the intersection of the two events is not null, A and B are not mutually exclusive.
06

Assess if A and B are Independent

Events A and B are independent if \(P(A \cap B) = P(A) P(B)\). Here, \(P(A \cap B) = \frac{2}{36} = \frac{1}{18}\) and \(P(A)P(B) = \frac{1}{6} \times \frac{7}{12} = \frac{7}{72}\). Since \(\frac{1}{18}\) does not equal \(\frac{7}{72}\), A and B are not independent.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Space
In probability theory, the sample space is a fundamental concept that represents all the possible outcomes of a given experiment. When it comes to rolling two fair dice, the sample space consists of ordered pairs. Each pair shows the result of one die combined with the other. Since each die has 6 faces, you have a total of 6 x 6 = 36 possible outcomes. These can be listed as follows:
  • (1,1)
  • (1,2)
  • (1,3)
  • ... through to ...
  • (6,6)
Each pair in the list is unique, representing one possible outcome of the two-dice roll. Understanding the sample space helps in calculating probabilities of specific events occurring, as it forms the denominator when determining probabilities such as those for events A and B in our exercise.
Mutually Exclusive Events
Mutually exclusive events are events that cannot occur at the same time. When determining if events are mutually exclusive, we look for overlap between the events. If there is no overlap, the events are mutually exclusive. In the exercise, we evaluated events A and B. Event A was getting a 3 or 4 first, followed by an even number; Event B was having the sum of the rolls being at most 7. Despite each event having specific conditions, there exist outcomes that satisfy both, such as (3,2) and (4,2). This overlap means the events are not mutually exclusive. Because of these overlapping outcomes, it is possible for both events to occur simultaneously, so we consider them not mutually exclusive.
Independent Events
Independent events in probability are those where the occurrence of one event does not affect the probability of the other. To check for independence, we compare the probability of both events occurring together to the product of their individual probabilities. If these two values match, the events are independent.In the exercise, event A was rolling a 3 or 4 first followed by an even number, and event B was the sum of the rolls being 7 or less. We calculated:
  • For both A and B together: \[ P(A \cap B) = \frac{2}{36} = \frac{1}{18} \]
  • The product of individual probabilities: \[ P(A) \times P(B) = \frac{1}{6} \times \frac{7}{12} = \frac{7}{72} \]
Since \( \frac{1}{18} \) doesn't equal \( \frac{7}{72} \), A and B do not meet the independence criterion.
Conditional Probability
Conditional probability is the likelihood of an event occurring given that another event has already occurred. To calculate conditional probability, we focus on reducing the sample space to only the outcomes where the given event occurs. We look at the probability of the event in question within this restricted sample space.In our exercise, we were tasked with finding \( P(A|B) \), the probability of event A occurring given event B has occurred. After narrowing the outcomes of event B (sums of 7 or less), we identified how many of those outcomes still meet the criteria for event A.
  • The outcomes where both A and B occur were (3,2) and (4,2), resulting in 2 outcomes meeting both criteria.
Thus, the conditional probability was calculated as:\[ P(A|B) = \frac{2}{21} \]This accounting helps tighten predictions by incorporating prior known conditions.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Use the following information to answer the next six exercises. A jar of 150 jelly beans contains 22 red jelly beans, 38 yellow, 20 green, 28 purple, 26 blue, and the rest are orange. Let B = the event of getting a blue jelly bean Let G = the event of getting a green jelly bean. Let O = the event of getting an orange jelly bean. Let P = the event of getting a purple jelly bean. Let R = the event of getting a red jelly bean. Let Y = the event of getting a yellow jelly bean. Find P(P).

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