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Binomial Probability Formula. In Exercises 13 and 14, answer the questions designed to help understand the rationale for the binomial probability formula.

Guessing Answers Standard tests, such as the SAT, ACT, or Medical College Admission Test (MCAT), typically use multiple choice questions, each with five possible answers (a, b, c, d, e), one of which is correct. Assume that you guess the answers to the first three questions.

a. Use the multiplication rule to find the probability that the first two guesses are wrong and the third is correct. That is, find P(WWC), where W denotes a wrong answerand C denotes a correct answer.

b.Beginning with WWC, make a complete list of the different possible arrangements of two wrong answers and one correct answer, then find the probability for each entry in the list.

c. Based on the preceding results, what is the probability of getting exactly one correct answer when three guesses are made?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. P(WWC) is equal to 0.128.

b. The list of different possible arrangements is given below:

  • WWC
  • WCW
  • CWW

The probability corresponding to each arrangement is given below:

  • P(WWC) is equal to 0.128.
  • P(WCW) is equal to 0.128.
  • P(CWW) is equal to 0.128.

c. The probability of getting exactly one correct answer is equal to 0.384.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

A multiple choice-based exam is considered with five options, out of which one is correct.

Three such questions are answered.

02

Probability Using Multiplication Rule

a.

Here, W denotes a wrong answer, and C denotes a correct answer.

The probability of guessing a correct answer is computed below:

PC=15=0.2

The probability of incorrectly guessing the answer is computed below:

PW=1-PC=1-0.2=0.8

The probability of guessing the first two wrong answers and the third correct answer when a total of three questions are answered is computed below:

PWWC=PWPWPC=0.80.80.2=0.128

Thus, PWWC=0.128.

03

Different arrangements

b.

Consider the following arrangements of answers to three questions when exactly two of them are wrong and one is correct:

WWCWCWCWW

P(WWC) is equal to 0.128.

Now,

PWCW=PWPCPW=0.80.20.8=0.128

Thus, P(WCW) is equal to 0.128.

Now,

PCWW=PCPWPW=0.20.80.8=0.128

Thus, P(CWW) is equal to 0.128.

04

Probability of exactly one correct answer

c.

The probability of exactly onecorrect answer is computed as follows:

P1correctanswer=PWWC+PWCW+PCWW=0.128+0.128+0.128=0.384

Therefore, the probability of getting exactly one correct answer is equal to 0.384.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Binomial Probability Formula. In Exercises 13 and 14, answer the questions designed to help understand the rationale for the binomial probability formula.

News Source Based on data from a Harris Interactive survey, 40% of adults say that they prefer to get their news online. Four adults are randomly selected.

a. Use the multiplication rule to find the probability that the first three prefer to get their news online and the fourth prefers a different source. That is, find P(OOOD), where O denotes a preference for online news and D denotes a preference for a news source different from online.

b. Beginning with OOOD, make a complete list of the different possible arrangements of those four letters, then find the probability for each entry in the list.

c. Based on the preceding results, what is the probability of getting exactly three adults who prefer to get their news online and one adult who prefers a different news source.

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In Exercises 25–28, find the probabilities and answer the questions.

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Notation Assume that we want to find the probability that when five consumers are randomly selected, exactly two of them are comfortable with delivery by drones. Also assume that 42% of consumers are comfortable with the drones (based on a Pitney Bowes survey). Identify the values of n, x, p, and q.

Groups of people aged 15–65 are randomly selected and arranged in groups of six. The random variable xis the number in the group who say that their family and / or partner contribute most to their happiness (based on a Coca-Cola survey). The accompanying table lists

the values of xalong with their corresponding probabilities. Does the table describe a probability distribution? If so, find the mean and standard deviation.

x

P(x)

0

0+

1

0.003

2

0.025

3

0.111

4

0.279

5

0.373

6

0.208

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