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Binomial Probability Formula. In Exercises 13 and 14, answer the questions designed to help understand the rationale for the binomial probability formula.

News Source Based on data from a Harris Interactive survey, 40% of adults say that they prefer to get their news online. Four adults are randomly selected.

a. Use the multiplication rule to find the probability that the first three prefer to get their news online and the fourth prefers a different source. That is, find P(OOOD), where O denotes a preference for online news and D denotes a preference for a news source different from online.

b. Beginning with OOOD, make a complete list of the different possible arrangements of those four letters, then find the probability for each entry in the list.

c. Based on the preceding results, what is the probability of getting exactly three adults who prefer to get their news online and one adult who prefers a different news source.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a.P(OOOD) is equal to 0.0384.

b.The list of possible arrangements of the four letters is as follows:

  • OOOD
  • OODO
  • ODOO
  • DOOO

Moreover,the corresponding probabilities aregiven as follows:

  • P(OOOD) is equal to 0.0384.
  • P(OODO) is equal to 0.0384.
  • P(ODOO) is equal to 0.0384.
  • P(DOOO) is equal to 0.0384.

c.The probability of getting exactly three adults who prefer to get their news online and one adult who prefers a different news source is equal to 0.1536.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

A set of four adults is selected. It is given that 40% of adults prefer to get their news online.

02

Probability using the multiplication rule

a.

Here, O denotes an adult who prefers online news, and D denotes an adult who prefers a source other than online news.

The probability of selecting an adult who prefers online news is computed below:

PO=40%=0.40

The probability of selecting an adult who prefers a source different from online is computed below:

PD=1-PO=1-0.40=0.60

The probability of selecting the first three adults who prefer online news and the fourth adult who prefers a source different from online is computed below:

POOOD=POPOPOPD=0.40.40.40.6=0.0384

Thus, POOOD=0.0384.

03

Different arrangements

b.

Consider the following arrangements of a selection of four adults when exactly three of them are denoted by O and one is denoted by D:

OOODOODOODOODOOO

P(OOOD) is equal to 0.0384.

Now,

POODO=POPOPDPO=0.40.40.60.4=0.0384

Thus, P(OODO) is equal to 0.0384.

PODOO=POPDPOPO=0.40.60.40.4=0.0384

Thus, P(ODOO) is equal to 0.0384.

PDOOO=PDPOPOPO=0.60.40.40.4=0.0384

Thus, P(DOOO) is equal to 0.0384.

04

Probability of the desired event

c.

The probability ofgetting exactly three adults who prefer to get their news online and one adult who prefers a different news source is computed below:

Prob=POOOD+POODO+PODOO+PDOOO=0.0384+0.0384+0.0384+0.0384=0.1536

Therefore, the probability of getting exactly three adults who prefer to get their news online and one adult who prefers a different news source is equal to 0.1536.

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