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In Exercises 25–28, find the probabilities and answer the questions.

Whitus v. Georgia In the classic legal case of Whitus v. Georgia, a jury pool of 90 people was supposed to be randomly selected from a population in which 27% were minorities. Among the 90 people selected, 7 were minorities. Find the probability of getting 7 or fewer minorities if the jury pool was randomly selected. Is the result of 7 minorities significantly low? What does the result suggest about the jury selection process?

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability of selecting 7or less than 7 minorities is equal to 0.0000045.

The result of 7 minorities out of 90 people can be considered significantly low.

It is highly unlikely that the process will select fewer than or equal to 7 minorities in a panel of 90 people.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

A sample of 90 people is selected. It is given that 7 of them were minorities.

27% of the people were minorities.

02

Required probability

Let X denote the minorities.

Let success be defined as selecting a minority out of the given sample.

The number of trials (n) is given to be equal to 90.

The probability of success is given as follows:

p=27%=27100=0.27

The probability of failure is given as follows:

q=1-p=1-0.27=0.73

The number of successes required in 90 trials should be less than or equal to 7.

The binomial probability formula is as follows:

PX=x=nCxpxqn-x

Using the binomial probability formula, the probability of getting less than or equal to 7 minorities is computed below:

PX⩽7=PX=0+PX=1+PX=2+PX=3+PX=4+PX=5+PX=6+PX=7

The probabilities of the individual terms can be computed in the following manner:

PX=0=90C00.2700.7390=0.0000000000005PX=1=90C10.2710.7389=0.00000000001665...PX=7=90C70.2770.7383=0.0000035

By adding up the individual probabilities, the following value is obtained:

PX⩽7=PX=0+PX=1+PX=2+PX=3+PX=4+PX=5+PX=6+PX=7=0.0000045

Therefore, the probability of selecting less than or equal to 7 minorities is equal to 0.0000045.

03

Significance of the probability

The number of successes (x) of a binomial probability value is said to be significantly low ifPxorfewer⩽0.05.

Here, the number of successes (minorities) is equal to 7.

P7orfewer=0.0000045⩽0.05

Thus, it can be said that 7 minorities out of 90 people can be considered a significantly low number of successes.

04

Analysis of the selection process

Since a total of 7 minorities out of 90 people is a significantly low value, it can be said that it is highly unlikely that the process will select fewer than or equal to 7 minorities in a panel of 90 people.

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