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If a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the difference of means \(\mu_{1}-\mu_{2}\) contains all negative values, what can we conclude about the relationship between \(\mu_{1}\) and \(\mu_{2}\) at the \(90 \%\) confidence level?

Short Answer

Expert verified
\(\mu_1 < \mu_2\) at the 90% confidence level.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Confidence Interval

A confidence interval provides a range of values that is likely to contain the population parameter with a certain level of confidence. In this case, it gives the range for the difference between two means, \( \mu_1 - \mu_2 \). The confidence interval incorporates variability and uncertainty in sample data.
02

Analyze the Interval Containing Negative Values

If the confidence interval for \( \mu_1 - \mu_2 \) contains only negative values, it means that the lowest and highest values of the interval are both less than zero.
03

Formulate the Implication on the Means

Since all values in the interval are negative, it implies that \( \mu_1 \) is consistently less than \( \mu_2 \) across the range of plausible values at the \(90\%\) confidence level.
04

State the Conclusion Clearly

Therefore, we can conclude with \(90\%\) confidence that \( \mu_1 \) is less than \( \mu_2 \). This is because all plausible values for the difference are negative, indicating \( \mu_1 < \mu_2 \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Difference of Means
The difference of means refers to the difference between the average values of two different populations or groups. When we analyze data, we often want to know if there is a significant difference between two sets of data regarding their central tendency. In statistical terms, this is expressed as \(\mu_1 - \mu_2\), where \(\mu_1\) and \(\mu_2\) are the means of the two groups.

Understanding the difference of means is crucial because it helps determine if one group is outperforming or underperforming relative to another. When applied to a confidence interval, this concept becomes even more powerful. The confidence interval tells us the range within which this difference likely falls, considering the sampled data's variability and sample size.
  • If the interval contains only positive values, it suggests \(\mu_1 > \mu_2\).
  • If it contains only negative values, as in our exercise, it suggests \(\mu_1 < \mu_2\).
  • An interval that includes zero indicates that there might be no significant difference between the means.
Negative Values
Negative values in a confidence interval can carry significant implications, particularly when examining the difference of means. If the entire confidence interval is negative, every value within this interval suggests that the group represented by \(\mu_1\) has a lower mean than that represented by \(\mu_2\).

For example, consider if your interval for \(\mu_1 - \mu_2\) is \((-3, -1)\). This tells us every plausible value for the difference is less than zero, reinforcing the conclusion that \(\mu_1\) is less than \(\mu_2\). This conclusion is reliable at the given confidence level, in this case, 90%.

Moreover, a fully negative confidence interval emphasizes that not only is \(\mu_1\) lower than \(\mu_2\), but it is so consistently over repeated samples or iterations within the boundary of confidence specified.
  • A confidence interval entirely below zero provides strong evidence that the means differ in the direction indicated.
  • This assists in making statistically sound decisions or predictions about the populations involved.
Population Parameter
Population parameters are statistical metrics that describe an entire population. In our context, these often refer to the population means \(\mu_1\) and \(\mu_2\), which we compare to understand differences between two groups.

Population parameters are constants; however, they are typically unknown because it is impractical or impossible to measure every member of a population. Instead, we estimate these parameters using sample statistics. This is where confidence intervals come into play — they offer a range that the true population parameter likely falls into, given our sample data.

When discussing the difference of means, the population parameter of interest is \(\mu_1 - \mu_2\). Through confidence intervals, we gain insights into this parameter without directly measuring every individual in both populations.
  • They help bridge the gap between sample data and real population characteristics.
  • Confidence intervals provide a probabilistic understanding of where the parameter might lie.
  • This allows us to make inferences and draw conclusions with a specified level of confidence.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Consider a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu\). Assume \(\sigma\) is not known. For which sample size, \(n=10\) or \(n=20,\) is the critical value \(t_{c}\) larger?

Consider two independent binomial experiments. In the first one, 40 trials had 15 successes. In the second one, 60 trials had 6 successes. (a) Is it appropriate to use a normal distribution to approximate the \(\hat{p}_{1}-\hat{p}_{2}\) distribution? Explain. (b) Find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(p_{1}-p_{2}\) (c) IBased on the confidence interval you computed, can you be \(95 \%\) confident that \(p_{1}\) is more than \(p_{2} ?\) Explain.

Thirty small communities in Connecticut (population near 10,000 each) gave an average of \(\bar{x}=138.5\) reported cases of larceny per year. Assume that \(\sigma\) is known to be 42.6 cases per year (Reference: Crime in the United States, Federal Bureau of Investigation). (a) Find a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean annual number of reported larceny cases in such communities. What is the margin of error? (b) Find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean annual number of reported larceny cases in such communities. What is the margin of error? (c) Find a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean annual number of reported larceny cases in such communities. What is the margin of error? (d) Compare the margins of error for parts (a) through (c). As the confidence levels increase, do the margins of error increase? (c) Critical Thinking Compare the lengths of the confidence intervals for parts (a) through (c). As the confidence levels increase, do the confidence intervals increase in length?

"Unknown cultural affiliations and loss of identity at high elevations." These words are used to propose the hypothesis that archaeological sites tend to lose their identity as altitude extremes are reached. This idea is based on the notion that prehistoric people tended not to take trade wares to temporary settings and/or isolated areas (Source: Prehistoric New Mexico: Background for Survey, by D. E. Stuart and R. P. Gauthier, University of New Mexico Press). As elevation zones of prehistoric people (in what is now the state of New Mexico) increased, there seemed to be a loss of artifact identification. Consider the following information. Let \(p_{1}\) be the population proportion of unidentified archaeological artifacts at the elevation zone \(7000-7500\) feet in the given archaeological area. Let \(p_{2}\) be the population proportion of unidentified archaeological artifacts at the elevation zone \(5000-5500\) feet in the given archaeological area. (a) Can a normal distribution be used to approximate the \(\hat{p}_{1}-\hat{p}_{2}\) distribution? Explain. (b) Find a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for \(p_{1}-p_{2}\) (c) Explain the meaning of the confidence interval in the context of this problem. Does the confidence interval contain all positive numbers? all negative numbers? both positive and negative numbers? What does this tell you (at the \(99 \%\) confidence level) about the comparison of the population proportion of unidentified artifacts at high elevations \((7000-7500\) feet) with the population proportion of unidentified artifacts at lower elevations \((5000-5500\) feet)? How does this relate to the stated hypothesis?

(a) Suppose a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the difference of means contains both positive and negative numbers. Will a \(99 \%\) confidence interval based on the same data necessarily contain both positive and negative numbers? Explain. What about a \(90 \%\) confidence interval? Explain. (b) Suppose a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the difference of proportions contains all positive numbers. Will a \(99 \%\) confidence interval based on the same data necessarily contain all positive numbers as well? Explain. What about a \(90 \%\) confidence interval? Explain.

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