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Answer true or false. Explain your answer. A larger sample size produces a longer confidence interval for \(\mu\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
False. A larger sample size results in a shorter confidence interval.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding Confidence Intervals

A confidence interval provides a range of values within which the true population parameter \(\mu\) is expected to fall, with a certain level of confidence. The formula for a confidence interval for the mean is given by: \( \bar{x} \pm Z \left(\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}\right) \), where \( \bar{x} \) is the sample mean, \( Z \) is the Z-score for the desired confidence level, \( \sigma \) is the population standard deviation, and \( n \) is the sample size.
02

Analyze the Influence of the Sample Size

Notice that the term \( \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \) is inversely related to the sample size \( n \). As \( n \) increases, \( \sqrt{n} \) also increases, thus decreasing the value of \( \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \). This results in a smaller margin of error \( Z \left(\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}\right) \), leading to a narrower confidence interval.
03

Conclusion

Given that increasing the sample size \( n \) results in a smaller margin of error and consequently a narrower confidence interval, it is false to say that a larger sample size produces a longer confidence interval for \( \mu \). A larger sample size instead produces a shorter confidence interval.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding Sample Size
When collecting data to make estimates about a population, the size of your sample is incredibly important. The sample size (\( n \)) refers to the number of observations or data points that you collect from the population.It directly affects the precision of the estimates you make about your population. A larger sample size generally leads to more reliable and accurate estimation of the true population parameters, such as the mean or proportion.With an increase in sample size:
  • The estimate's accuracy improves, reducing the uncertainty about the population parameter.
  • The calculation of any statistics, such as means or standard deviations, becomes more stable and less sensitive to the inclusion or exclusion of a particular data point.
  • You gain increased power in hypothesis testing, which means you're more likely to detect a true effect if one exists.
These benefits stem from the fundamental principle that more data points provide a clearer picture of the population as a whole. This is why researchers strive for larger sample sizes whenever it is feasible.
What is the Margin of Error?
Margin of error is a key term in understanding how precise our estimate of a population parameter is based on the sample data.It tells us how much uncertainty there is around our sample statistic.When you hear about public opinion polls, the margin of error is what indicates the range within which the true opinion is likely to lie.The formula goes as follows:\[MOE = Z \left(\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}\right)\]where
  • \( Z \) is the Z-score corresponding to the desired confidence level, such as 95% or 99%.
  • \( \sigma \) represents the population standard deviation.
  • \( n \) is the sample size.
The margin of error decreases as the sample size increases. This is because the term \( \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \) shrinks with larger values of \( n \).Thus, increasing your sample size is one effective way to reduce your margin of error, leading to tighter confidence intervals.
Exploring the Population Parameter
The population parameter is essentially a number that describes a characteristic of the entire population, such as the mean (\( \mu \)), proportion, or standard deviation.In any study, this is the target value researchers estimate using sample data.Since obtaining data for every member of a large population is often impractical or impossible, we rely on sample statistics to make inferences about these population parameters.This is why confidence intervals, which provide a probabilistic range of where the parameter lies, are crucial as they help quantify our uncertainty in these estimates.Confidence intervals are constructed using sample statistics, such as the sample mean, along with measures of variability and sample size.By repeating the sampling process and calculating intervals for each sample, the true population parameter should lie within these intervals a specified percentage of the time (percent corresponding to the confidence level chosen). Hence, the larger the sample size with other conditions being similar, the more trustworthy the inference about the population parameter.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Consider a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu\). Assume \(\sigma\) is not known. For which sample size, \(n=10\) or \(n=20,\) is the critical value \(t_{c}\) larger?

Suppose \(x\) has a mound-shaped distribution with \(\sigma=9 .\) A random sample of size 36 has sample mean \(20 .\) (a) Is it appropriate to use a normal distribution to compute a confidence interval for the population mean \(\mu ?\) Explain. (b) Find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu\) (c) Explain the meaning of the confidence interval you computed.

Air Temperature How hot is the air in the top (crown) of a hot air balloon? Information from Ballooning: The Complete Guide to Riding the Winds by Wirth and Young (Random House) claims that the air in the crown should be an average of \(100^{\circ} \mathrm{C}\) for a balloon to be in a state of equilibrium. However, the temperature does not need to be exactly \(100^{\circ} \mathrm{C}\). What is a reasonable and safe range of temperatures? This range may vary with the size and (decorative) shape of the balloon. All balloons have a temperature gauge in the crown. Suppose that 56 readings (for a balloon in equilibrium) gave a mean temperature of \(\bar{x}=97^{\circ} \mathrm{C} .\) For this balloon, \(\sigma \approx 17^{\circ} \mathrm{C}\) (a) Compute a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the average temperature at which this balloon will be in a steady-state equilibrium. (b) Interpretation If the average temperature in the crown of the balloon goes above the high end of your confidence interval, do you expect that the balloon will go up or down? Explain.

Total plasma volume is important in determining the required plasma component in blood replacement therapy for a person undergoing surgery. Plasma volume is influenced by the overall health and physical activity of an individual. (Reference: See Problem 16.) Suppose that a random sample of 45 male firefighters are tested and that they have a plasma volume sample mean of \(\bar{x}=37.5 \mathrm{ml} / \mathrm{kg}\) (milliliters plasma per kilogram body weight). Assume that \(\sigma=7.50 \mathrm{ml} / \mathrm{kg}\) for the distribution of blood plasma. (a) Find a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean blood plasma volume in male firefighters. What is the margin of error? (b) What conditions are necessary for your calculations? (c) Interpret your results in the context of this problem. (d) Sample Size Find the sample size necessary for a \(99 \%\) confidence level with maximal margin of error \(E=2.50\) for the mean plasma volume in male firefighters.

(a) Suppose a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the difference of means contains both positive and negative numbers. Will a \(99 \%\) confidence interval based on the same data necessarily contain both positive and negative numbers? Explain. What about a \(90 \%\) confidence interval? Explain. (b) Suppose a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the difference of proportions contains all positive numbers. Will a \(99 \%\) confidence interval based on the same data necessarily contain all positive numbers as well? Explain. What about a \(90 \%\) confidence interval? Explain.

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