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Ethnic Groups A sociologist studying New York City ethnic groups wants to determine if there is a difference in income for immigrants from four different countries during their first year in the city. She obtained the data in the following table from a random sample of immigrants from these countries (incomes in thousands of dollars). Use a 0.05 level of significance to test the claim that there is no difference in the earnings of immigrants from the four different countries. Country I $$\begin{aligned}&12.7\\\&9.2\\\&10.9\\\&8.9\\\&16.4\end{aligned}$$ Country II $$\begin{aligned}&8.3\\\&17.2\\\&\begin{array}{l}19.1 \\\10.3\end{array}\end{aligned}$$ Country III $$\begin{aligned}&20.3\\\&\begin{array}{l}16.6 \\\22.7 \\\25.2 \\\19.9\end{array}\end{aligned}$$ Country IV $$\begin{aligned}&\begin{array}{r}17.2 \\\8.8\end{array}\\\&14.7\\\&\begin{array}{l}21.3 \\\19.8 \end{array}\end{aligned}$$

Short Answer

Expert verified
Reject the null hypothesis: there is a significant difference in earnings among the countries' immigrants.

Step by step solution

01

Define Hypotheses

First, we need to establish the null and alternative hypotheses for the ANOVA test. - Null Hypothesis \(H_0\): There is no difference in average income among immigrants from the four countries (i.e., the means are the same for all groups).- Alternative Hypothesis \(H_a\): At least one country's average income is different from the others.
02

Collect and Organize Data

Gather the income data provided for immigrants from each country and organize it in a form suitable for ANOVA analysis:- Country I: \( \{12.7, 9.2, 10.9, 8.9, 16.4\} \)- Country II: \( \{8.3, 17.2, 19.1, 10.3\} \)- Country III: \( \{20.3, 16.6, 22.7, 25.2, 19.9\} \)- Country IV: \( \{17.2, 8.8, 14.7, 21.3, 19.8\} \)
03

Compute Group Means and Overall Mean

Calculate the mean income for each country's immigrants and the overall mean:- Mean for Country I: \( \frac{12.7 + 9.2 + 10.9 + 8.9 + 16.4}{5} = 11.62 \)- Mean for Country II: \( \frac{8.3 + 17.2 + 19.1 + 10.3}{4} = 13.725 \)- Mean for Country III: \( \frac{20.3 + 16.6 + 22.7 + 25.2 + 19.9}{5} = 20.94 \)- Mean for Country IV: \( \frac{17.2 + 8.8 + 14.7 + 21.3 + 19.8}{5} = 16.36 \)The overall mean (grand mean) is calculated using all observations: \( \frac{12.7 + 9.2 + 10.9 + 8.9 + 16.4 + 8.3 + 17.2 + 19.1 + 10.3 + 20.3 + 16.6 + 22.7 + 25.2 + 19.9 + 17.2 + 8.8 + 14.7 + 21.3 + 19.8}{19} = 15.37 \).
04

Conduct ANOVA Test

Perform the ANOVA test by calculating the sum of squares for each component:- Total sum of squares (SST): Measures total variability around the overall mean.- Between-group sum of squares (SSB): Measures variability due to differences between group means.- Within-group sum of squares (SSW): Measures variability due to differences within each group.Calculate SSB, SSW and then compute the F-statistic:\[ F = \frac{SSB/df_B}{SSW/df_W} \]where \(df_B\) is the degrees of freedom between groups and \(df_W\) is the degrees of freedom within groups.
05

Compare F-Statistic to Critical Value

Find the critical F-value from the F-distribution table at \(\alpha = 0.05\) with degrees of freedom \((k-1, N-k)\), where \(k\) is the number of groups and \(N\) is the total number of observations. For this case, the degrees of freedom are \((3, 15)\).Compare the calculated F-statistic to the critical F-value from the table. If the F-statistic is greater, we reject the null hypothesis.
06

Make Conclusion

Based on the F-test, if we reject the null hypothesis, it implies that there is a significant difference in the average incomes of immigrants from different countries. Otherwise, we fail to reject the null hypothesis, suggesting no significant difference in their incomes.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
In simple terms, the null hypothesis is the assumption that there is no effect or no difference. When conducting an ANOVA test, we start by stating our null hypothesis to provide a baseline to compare against. For this particular exercise, the null hypothesis, denoted as \(H_0\), proposes that the average incomes of immigrants from four different countries are all the same. In other words, any observed difference in income is due to random chance or natural variation rather than a genuine effect. The null hypothesis is expressed mathematically as: \( \mu_1 = \mu_2 = \mu_3 = \mu_4 \). This means the mean income \( \mu \) for each country group is equal. We use statistical tests to challenge this hypothesis and determine whether we see evidence strong enough to reject it.
Alternative Hypothesis
If the null hypothesis suggests no difference, the alternative hypothesis, denoted \(H_a\), is the opposing statement. For this exercise, the alternative hypothesis indicates that there is indeed a difference in average incomes among the groups. In the context of ANOVA, it suggests that at least one group's mean income is different from the others, although it doesn't specify which group or groups are contributing to the difference.Mathematically, the alternative hypothesis can be expressed as: \( \text{At least one } \mu_i \, \text{is different} \). It essentially opens the door to the possibility of finding a noteworthy variance in at least one group compared to the rest. The goal of our analysis is to determine if we have enough statistical evidence to reject the null hypothesis in favor of this alternative one.
F-statistic
The F-statistic is a value we calculate during an ANOVA test to assess whether the variability between group means is more than what we would expect by chance. It is a ratio derived from two variances. Specifically, it compares the variance between groups to the variance within groups – essentially looking at whether the means of country income groups differ more than we'd expect if they really were the same.The formula for the F-statistic is given by:\[ F = \frac{\text{SSB}/df_B}{\text{SSW}/df_W} \]Where:- \( \text{SSB} \) (Sum of Squares Between) represents the variance between group means.- \( \text{SSW} \) (Sum of Squares Within) measures the variance within groups.- \( df_B \) and \( df_W \) denote the degrees of freedom for between and within groups, respectively.A larger F-statistic suggests a greater difference in group means relative to within-group variability, which might lead us to reject the null hypothesis.
Significance Level
The significance level, often denoted \( \alpha \), is a threshold set by the researcher to decide whether or not our results are statistically significant. It reflects the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true – essentially, it's the risk we take in declaring a result to be significant when it might just be due to chance.In many analyses, including ours, the common significance level chosen is 0.05. This means we would accept a 5% risk of incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis. During the ANOVA test, we compare the calculated F-statistic to a critical value from the F-distribution table corresponding to our significance level. If the F-statistic is greater than this critical value, we deem the differences in group means statistically significant and reject the null hypothesis. If it’s not, we conclude that there's no sufficient evidence to assert a difference exists at our chosen level of risk.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A random sample of leading companies in South Korea gave the following percentage yields based on assets (see reference in Problem 7): $$\begin{array}{cc} 2.5 & 2.0 & 4.5 & 1.8 & 0.5 & 3.6 & 2.4 \\ 0.2 & 1.7 & 1.8 & 1.4 & 5.4 &1.1 \end{array}$$ Use a calculator to verify that \(s^{2}=2.247\) for these South Korean companies. Another random sample of leading companies in Sweden gave the following percentage yields based on assets: $$\begin{array}{ccccccccc} 2.3 & 3.2 & 3.6 & 1.2 & 3.6 & 2.8 & 2.3 & 3.5 & 2.8 \end{array}$$ Use a calculator to verify that \(s^{2}=0.624\) for these Swedish companies. Test the claim that the population variance of percentage yields on assets for South Korean companies is higher than that for companies in Sweden. Use a \(5 \%\) level of significance. How could your test conclusion relate to an economist's question regarding volatility of corporate productivity of large companies in South Korea compared with that in Sweden?

When using the \(F\) distribution to test variances from two populations, should the random variables from each population be independent or dependent?

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