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Taking stock An investor with a stock portfolio worth several hundred thousand dollars sued his broker due to the low returns he got from the portfolio at a time when the stock market did well overall. The investor’s lawyer wants to compare the broker’s performance against the market as a whole. He collects data on the broker’s returns for a random sample of36weeks. Over the 10-year period that the broker has managed portfolios, stocks in the Standard & Poor’s 500index gained an average of 0.95%per month. The Minitab output below displays descriptive statistics for these data, along

with the results of a significance test.

(a) Determine whether there are any outliers. Show your work.

(b) Interpret the P-value in context.

(c) Do these data give convincing evidence to support the lawyer’s case? Carry out a test to help you answer this question.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. Yes.

b.p-value=0.003

c. It appears that these data give convincing evidence to support the lawyer's case.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

The investor’s lawyer wants to compare the broker’s performance against the market as a whole.

He collects data on the broker’s returns for a random sample of 36weeks.

Over the 10-year period that the broker has managed portfolios, stocks in the Standard & Poor’s 500index gained an average of 0.95%per month.

02

Explanation (part a)

The first quartile Q1, which represents a quarter of the way through the list of all data. Q1=-3.418

The third quartile Q3, which represents three-quarters of the way through the list of all data. There is no third quartile. localid="1650714832411" Q3=1.543

Therefore, IQR=4.961which is LESS than MAX-Q3and Q1-MIN. So, there are outliers.

03

Explanation (part b)

the broker’s returns for a random sample of 36weeks. Over the 10-year period that the broker has managed portfolios, stocks in the Standard & Poor’s 500index gained an average of 0.95%per month.

p-value=0.00521286

Decision:You can rejectHâ‚¶Ä at the significance level 0.05, because your p-value does not exceed 0.05.

04

Explanation (part c)

State: H0:μ=0.95versusHa:μ<0.95, where μis the actual mean broker's returns for a random sample of 36weeks.

Plan: One-sample t test for μ.

Random: The sample was randomly selected.

Normal: The sample size was 36, which is at least 30.

Independent: There are clearly many more than 500index gained on an average of 0.95%per month.

Do:t=-2.98, P-value is approximately 0.

Conclude: Since our P-value is less than 0.05, we reject H0.

It appears that these data give convincing evidence to support the lawyer's case.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

(a) State hypotheses for a significance test to determine whether first responders are arriving within 8 minutes of the call more often. Be sure to define the parameter of interest.

(b) Describe a Type I error and a Type II error in this setting and explain the consequences of each.

(c) Which is more serious in this setting: a Type I error or a Type II error? Justify your answer.

(d) If you sustain a life-threatening injury due to a vehicle accident, you want to receive medical treatment as quickly as possible. Which of the two significance tests—H0:μ=6.7versusHa:μ<6.7 or the one from part (a) of this exercise—would you be

more interested in? Justify your answer.

The health director of a large company is concerned about the effects of stress on the company’s middle-aged male employees. According to the National Center for Health Statistics, the mean systolic blood pressure for males 35 to 44 years of age is 128. The health director examines the medical records of a random sample of 72 male employees in this age group. The Minitab output below displays the results of a significance test and a confidence interval.

1. Do the results of the significance test allow us to conclude that the mean blood pressure for all the company’s middle-aged male employees differs from the national average? Justify your answer.

2. Interpret the 95% confidence interval in context. Explain how the confidence interval leads to the same conclusion as in Question 1.

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In planning a study of the birth weights of babies whose mothers did not see a doctor

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A researcher claims to have found a drug that causes people to grow taller. The coach of the basketball team at Brandon University has expressed interest but demands evidence. Over 1000 Brandon students volunteer to participate in an experiment to test this new drug. Fifty of the volunteers are randomly selected, their heights are measured, and they are given the drug. Two weeks later, their heights are measured again. The power of the test to detect an average increase in height of one inch could be increased by

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