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Q.1

Page 353

Toss 4times Suppose you toss a fair coin 4times. Let X=the number of heads you get.

(a) Find the probability distribution ofX.

(b) Make a histogram of the probability distribution. Describe what you see.

(c) Find P(X3) and interpret the result.

Q.1

Page 407

Knees Patients receiving artificial knees often experience pain after surgery. The pain is measured on a subjective scale with possible values of 1 (low) to 5 (high). Let X be the pain score for a randomly selected patient. The following table gives part of the probability distribution for X.

Value
1

2
3

4
5
Probability0.1
0.2

0.3
0.3
?

(a) Find P(X=5)

(b) If two patients who received artificial knees are chosen at random, what鈥檚 the probability that both of them report pain scores of 1or 2? Show your work.

(c) Compute the mean and standard deviation of X. Show your work.

Q.10

Page 410

A test for extrasensory perception (ESP) involves asking a person to tell which of 5shapes鈥攁 circle, star, triangle, diamond, or heart鈥攁ppears on a hidden computer screen. On each trial, the computer is equally likely to select any of the 5shapes. Suppose researchers are testing a person who does not have ESP and so is just guessing on each trial. What is the probability that the person guesses the first 4shapes incorrectly but gets the fifth correct?

a). 1/5

b). 454

c). 45415

d). 5145415

e).4/5

Q.10

Page 354

Fire insurance Suppose a homeowner spends \(300for a home insurance policy that will pay out \)200,000if the home is destroyed by fire. Let Y=the profit made by the company on a single policy. From previous data, the probability that a home in this area will be destroyed by fire is 0.0002.

(a) Make a table that shows the probability distribution of Y.

(b) Compute the expected value of Y. Explain what this result means for the insurance company

Q. 100

Page 406

Using Benford's law According to Benford's law (Exercise 5, page 353), the probability that the first digit of the amount of a randomly chosen invoice is an 8or a 9is 0.097. Suppose you examine randomly selected invoices from a vendor until you find one whose amount begins with an 8or a 9.

(a) How many invoices do you expect to examine until you get one that begins with an 8or 9? Justify your answer.

(b) In fact, you don't get an amount starting with an 8or 9until the 40thinvoice. Do you suspect that the invoice amounts are not genuine? Compute an appropriate probability to support your answer.

Q. 102

Page 406

In the previous exercise, the probability that at least 1of Joe's 3eggs contains salmonella is about

(a) 0.84.

(b) 0.68.

(c) 0.58.

(d) 0.42.

(e) 0.30.

Q.105

Page 406

In which of the following situations would it be appropriate to use a Normal distribution to approximate probabilities for a binomial distribution with the given values of n and p?

(a)n=10,p=0.5

(b)n=40,p=0.88

(c)n=100,p=0.2

(d)n=100,p=0.99

(e)n=1000,p=0.003

Q.106

Page 406

To collect information such as passwords, online criminals use 鈥渟poofing鈥 to direct Internet users to fraudulent Web sites. In one study of Internet fraud, students were warned about spoofing and then asked to log in to their university account starting from the university鈥檚 home page. In some cases, the login link led to the genuine dialog box. In others, the box looked genuine but in fact was linked to a different site that recorded the ID and password the student entered. An alert student could detect the fraud by looking at the true Internet address displayed in the browser status bar below the window, but most just entered their ID and password. Is this study an experiment? Why? What are the explanatory and response variables?

Q.107

Page 406

As the dangers of smoking have become more widely known, clear class differences in smoking have emerged. British government statistics classify adult men by occupation as 鈥渕anagerial and professional鈥 (43%of the population), 鈥渋ntermediate鈥 (34%), or 鈥渞outine and manual鈥 (23%). A survey finds that 20%of men in managerial and professional occupations smoke, 29%of the intermediate group smoke, and 38%in routine and manual occupations smoke.

(a) Use a tree diagram to find the percent of all adult British men who smoke.

(b) Find the percent of male smokers who have routine and manual occupations.

Q.11

Page 354

Spell-checking Refer to Exercise 3. Calculate the mean of the random variable X and interpret this result in context.

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