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An investor with a stock portfolio worth several hundred thousand dollars sued his broker due to the low returns he got from the portfolio at a time when the stock market did well overall. The investor’s lawyer wants to compare the broker’s performance against the market as a whole. He collects data on the broker’s returns for a

random sample of 36 weeks. Over the 10-year period that the broker has managed portfolios, stocks in the Standard & Poor’s 500 index gained an average of 0.95% per month. The Minitab output below displays descriptive statistics for these data, along with the results of a significance test.

(a) Determine whether there are any outliers. Show your work.

(b) Interpret the P-value in context.

(c) Do these data give convincing evidence to support the lawyer’s case? Carry out a test to help you answer this question.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. There are no outliers

b.0.003

c. There is convincing evidence to support the lawyer’s case

Step by step solution

01

Introduction

An investor with a stock portfolio worth several hundred thousand dollars sued his broker due to the low returns he got from the portfolio at a time when the stock market did well overall. The investor’s lawyer wants to compare the broker’s performance against the market as a whole. Over the 10-year period that the broker has managed portfolios, stocks in the Standard & Poor’s 500index gained an average of 0.95%per month.

02

Explanation Part (a)

Calculating the lower and upper boundaries,

Q1=−3.418andQ3=1.543

IQR=Q3−Q1=1.543−(−3.418)=4.961

Lower boundary,

=Q1−1.5×IQR=-3.418-1.5×4.961=-10.8595

Upper boundary,

=Q3+1.5×IQR=1.543+1.5×4.961=8.9845

Hence the values lie between the boundaries and there are no outliers.

03

Explanation Part (b)

Probability of getting a random sample of 36weeks with an average return of -1.441or less is approximately0.003 if the average percentage of return is 0.95per month.

04

Explanation Part (c)

Calculating the null and alternative hypotheses,

H0:μ=0.95H0:μ<0.95

The population is of enormous size, so we can approximately expect it to be a typical distribution. There will be over 360weeks where the securities exchange did well, so 10%condition is likewise satisfied.

A one example t test is run and we get test statistic of t =-2.98and the corresponding p value as 0.003. As the p value is not exactly the degree of significance, we have sufficient evidence at5% level of significance to dismiss the null hypothesis.

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