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29. The candy machine Suppose a large candy machine has 45% orange candies. Imagine taking an SRS of 25 candies from the machine and observing the sample proportion p^ of orange candies.
(a) What is the mean of the sampling distribution of p^? Why?
(b) Find the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of p^. Check to see if the 10%condition is met.
(c) Is the sampling distribution of p^approximately Normal? Check to see if the Normal condition is met.
(d) If the sample size were 50 rather than 25, how would this change the sampling distribution of p^?

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a) The mean of the sampling distribution p^is 0.45.

(b) The standard deviation is 0.099487.

(c) The sampling distribution of p^ is approximately Normal.

(d) The standard deviation of the sampling distribution p^changes to 0.070356 with the sample size is n=50.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1: Given information

To determine the mean of the sampling distribution of p^.

02

Part (a) Step 2: Explanation

Let the sample distribution to be pand the SRSsample size to be n.
p=45%
=0.45
Then, n=25

The mean of a sample proportion's sampling distribution p^and the population proportion pare equivalent.

μp^=p.

Let, substitute the value 0.45for pas:

μp^=0.45

The mean is calculated using the sampling proportion as an unbiased estimator of the population percentage.

As a result, the mean of the sampling distribution p^is 0.45.

03

Part (b) Step 1: Given information

To find the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of p^. Then to check to see if the 10% condition is met.

04

Part (b) Step 2: Explanation

Let, the sample distribution to be pand the sample size for SRSto be n.
p=45%

=0.45

Then, n=25

The standard deviation of the sampling distribution of p^is σp^=p(1-p)n.

Let, substitute the value 0.45for p.

Also substitute the value, 25for n .
σp^=0.45(1-0.45)25
=0.45×0.5525
=0.0099

≈0.0994987

The candy machine is enormous, it contains more than 250candies, so satisfying the 10% criterion.

As a result, the standard deviation is 0.099487.

05

Part (c) Step 1: Given information

To find the sampling distribution of p^ is approximately normal or not.

06

Part (c) Step 2: Explanation

The sampling distribution is roughly Normal when the product of sample size and sampling proportion, that is, npand n(1-p), are both less than or equal to 10.
Let, the sample distribution to be pand sample size for SRSto be n.
p=45%
=0.45
Then,n=25
If the product of the sample size and the sampling proportion, npand n(1-p), are both less than 10, the sampling distribution is nearly Normal.

Let, substitute the value0.45for pand the value 25for nin the term np.
25×(0.45)

=11.25

07

Part (c) Step 3: Explanation

Then, substitute the value 0.45for pand the value 25for nin the term n(1-p).
25(1-0.45)=25×0.55
=13.75
Because both npand n(1-p)are at least 10 the Normal distribution requirement is met.
As a result, the sampling distribution of p^ is approximately Normal.

08

Part (d) Step 1: Given information

The sample size were 50rather than 25, and change the sampling distribution of p^.

09

Part (d) Step 2: Explanation

Let, the sample distribution to be pand the sample size for SRSto be n.
p=45%

=0.45

n=50

The standard deviation of the sampling distribution of p^is calculated by:σp^=p(1-p)n.

Then, substitute the value 0.45for pand the value 50for nas:

σp^=0.45(1-0.45)50

=0.45×0.5550

=0.00495

≈0.0703562

As a result, the standard deviation is 0.0703562.

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