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A Titanic disaster In 1912the luxury liner Titanic, on its first voyage across the Atlantic, struck an iceberg and sank. Some passengers got off the ship in lifeboats, but many died. The two-way table gives information about adult passengers who lived and who died, by class of travel. Suppose we choose an adult passenger at random.

(a) Given that the person selected was in first class, what鈥檚 the probability that he or she survived?

(b) If the person selected survived, what鈥檚 the probability that he or she was a third-class passenger?

Short Answer

Expert verified

Part (a) P (shrived/First class) =0.6167

Part (b) P (Third class/survived) =0.3416

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1. Given Information

By class of travel, the two-way table provides information on adult passengers who lived and died. Let's say we pick a random adult passenger.

02

Part (a) Step 2. Concept Used

The number of favorable outcomes divided by the total number of possible outcomes equals probability. As a result, the following is a definition of condition probability:P(A/B)=P(AandB)P(B)

03

Part (a) Step 3. Calculation

The person is chosen first class, according to the question. Now we need to figure out how likely it is that "he or she survived."

Therefore,

P(Firstclassandsurvive)=favorableoutcomespossibleoutcomes=1971207

P(Firstclass)=favorableoutcomespossibleoutcomes=197+1221207=3191207

As a result, the conditional probability is:

P(survived/Firstclass)=P(Firstclassandsurvived)P(Firstclass)P(survived/Firstclass)=19712073191207P(survived/Firstclass)=197319P(survived/Firstclass)0.6167

As a result, the likelihood of the conclusion "he or she survived" is

P(survived/Firstclass)=0.6167

04

Part (b) Step 1. Calculation

The person is chosen for survival based on the question. Now we need to figure out how likely it is that "he or she was a third-class traveler" was the case. Therefore,

P(Thirdclassandsurvive)=favorableoutcomespossibleoutcomes=1511207

P(Firstclass)=favorableoutcomespossibleoutcomes=197+94+1511207P(Firstclass)=4421207

As a result, the conditional probability is:

P(Thirdclass/survived)=P(Thirdclassandsurvived)P(Firstclass)=15112074421207P(Thirdclass/survived)=1514420.3416

As a result, the likelihood of the finding "he or she was a third-class traveler" is high.

P(Thirdclass/survived)=0.3416

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