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Literacy A researcher reports that 80% of high school graduates but only 40% of high school dropouts would pass a basic literacy test.5 Assume that the researcher鈥檚 claim is true. Suppose we give a basic literacy test to a random sample of 60high school graduates and a separate random sample of 75high school dropouts.

(a) Find the probability that the proportion of graduates who pass the test is at least 0.20higher than the proportion of dropouts who pass. Show your work.

(b) Suppose that the difference in the sample proportions (graduate 鈥 dropout) who pass the test is exactly 0.20. Based on your result in part (a), would this give you a reason to doubt the researcher鈥檚 claim? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified

From the given information,

a) The probability that the proportion of graduates who pass the test is at least 0.20higher than the proportion of dropouts who pass is 0.9955

b) Yes, the claim of the researcher should be questioned.

Step by step solution

01

Part(a) Step 1: Given Information

It is given in the question that,

The proportion of high school graduates that will pass the basic literacy test=80%

The proportion of high school dropouts that will pass basic literacy test =40%

Number of Random Sample from high school graduates for basic literacy test =60

Number of Random Sample from high school dropouts for basic literacy test =75

02

Part(a) Step 2: Explanation

Let p1be the percentage of high school graduates who pass a basic literacy exam, and p2be the proportion of high school dropouts who pass a basic literacy test. p1-p2's sampling distribution is Normal because:

localid="1650446649236" n1p1=600.80=48

localid="1650446659437" n1(1p1)=600.20=12

localid="1650446668572" n2p2=750.40=30

localid="1650446679632" n2(1p2)=750.60=45

Are at least10, the sampling distribution ofp^1p^2is approximately Normal. Its mean is:

Ap2=p1p2

=0.80-0.40

=0.40

03

Part (a) Step 3: Explanation

The standard deviation is:

ip2=p1(1p1)n1+p2(1p2)n2

=0.8(10.8)60+0.40(10.40)75

=0.0766

Hence,

p(p^1p^20.2)=p(z0.20.400.0766)

=P(z2.61) (from the normal table)

=1P(z2.61)

=1-0.00453

=0.9955

04

Part(b) Step 1: Given Information

It is given in the question that,

The proportion of high school graduates that will pass the basic literacy test=80%

The proportion of high school dropouts that will pass basic literacy test =40%

Number of Random Sample from high school graduates for basic literacy test =60

Number of Random Sample from high school dropouts for basic literacy test =75

05

Part (b) Step 5: Explanation

Yes, the claim of the researcher should be questioned. The probability that at least 0.20or 20% more graduates pass the test than dropouts pass is 0.9955. There is a 99.55% likelihood of receiving samples with at least 20% more high school graduates passing, but only a 0.45percent risk of receiving samples with no more than 20% more high school graduates passing.

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