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Which alternative? In each of the following situations, is the alternative hypothesis one-sided or two-sided? What are the hypotheses? a) A college dining service conducts a survey to see if students prefer plastic or metal cutlery. b) In recent years, \(10 \%\) of college juniors have applied for study abroad. The dean's office conducts a survey to see if that's changed this year. c) A pharmaceutical company conducts a clinical trial to see if more patients who take a new drug experience headache relief than the \(22 \%\) who claimed relief after taking the placebo. d) At a small computer peripherals company, only \(60 \%\) of the hard drives produced passed all their performance tests the first time. Management recently invested a lot of resources into the production system and now conducts a test to see if it helped.

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) Two-sided; b) Two-sided; c) One-sided; d) One-sided.

Step by step solution

01

Identifying the Hypotheses for Cutlery Preference

In situation (a), the dining service is not looking for a specific direction of preference (higher or lower). Therefore, it is a two-sided hypothesis test. The null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) is that there is no preference between plastic and metal cutlery, and the alternative hypothesis (\(H_a\)) is that there is a preference, but it does not specify which.
02

Identifying the Hypotheses for Study Abroad Application Rate

In situation (b), the dean's office wants to determine if the 10% application rate has changed, without specifying a direction of change (increase or decrease). Thus, this is also a two-sided hypothesis test. The null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) is that the current percentage of juniors applying for study abroad is still 10%. The alternative hypothesis (\(H_a\)) is that the percentage has changed without specifying the direction.
03

Identifying the Hypotheses for Drug Effectiveness

In situation (c), the pharmaceutical company is interested in knowing if more than 22% of patients experience headache relief with the new drug. Since the direction ("more than") is specified, this is a one-sided hypothesis test. The null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) is that the relief rate is 22% or less, and the alternative hypothesis (\(H_a\)) is that it is more than 22%.
04

Identifying the Hypotheses for Hard Drive Production Improvement

In situation (d), management wants to test if improvements have increased the passing rate above 60%. This specifies an increase, thus it is a one-sided hypothesis test. The null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) is that the passing rate is 60% or less. The alternative hypothesis (\(H_a\)) is that the passing rate is greater than 60%.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

One-Sided Hypothesis
A one-sided hypothesis is a type of hypothesis test that looks for an effect in one specific direction. This means that we are either only interested in detecting an increase or a decrease. For instance, if a pharmaceutical company wants to know if more patients feel headache relief with a new drug compared to a placebo, they would test to see if the relief exceeds a certain percentage, not just any change.

In scenario (c) from the exercise, the alternative hypothesis is one-sided, since the company is interested in knowing if the relief rate is more than 22%. Similarly, in scenario (d), management wants to know if the improvements have raised the acceptance rate above 60%, specifying the direction of improvement as an increase.

The one-sided hypothesis is simpler when you have a clear expectation about the direction of change. However, it limits the testing to just one direction, potentially missing changes in the opposite direction.
Two-Sided Hypothesis
A two-sided hypothesis test is used when the effect or change could occur in either direction. This means the test will show significance if there's either an increase or a decrease. Two-sided tests are often more conservative because they require more evidence to reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative.

In the exercise from the textbook, both scenarios (a) and (b) use a two-sided hypothesis. The college dining service wants to know if there's any preference for cutlery, whether it's plastic or metal, thus not specifying a direction. Similarly, the dean's office wants to see if the study abroad application rate has changed from 10%, without indicating if they expect an increase or decrease.

When you're unsure of the direction of the effect or when both directions are important for your research, a two-sided hypothesis is preferable.
Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis, often denoted by \( H_0 \), is the statement that there is no effect or no difference. This is the hypothesis that the researcher seeks to test against. It acts as a default or starting assumption in statistical testing.

In the context of the original exercise, each scenario starts with a null hypothesis. For instance, in scenario (a), the null hypothesis is that there is no preference between plastic and metal cutlery. In scenario (b), it posits that the percentage of juniors applying for study abroad remains 10%.

The null hypothesis serves as a benchmark. A hypothesis test assesses whether the observed data provide strong enough evidence against the null hypothesis, leading to its rejection. If not, we fail to reject it, suggesting that the data do not show a statistically significant effect.
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis, denoted by \( H_a \), proposes a new outcome or trend that differs from the null hypothesis. The alternative hypothesis suggests that there is an actual effect or difference that the researcher is testing for.

In the exercise examples, the alternative hypothesis gives direction to the investigation. For instance, in situation (c), the alternative hypothesis is that more than 22% of patients experience headache relief, suggesting a positive effect of the new drug. For scenario (d), it's posited that production improvements have increased the passing rate above 60%.

The alternative hypothesis is what researchers aim to support through their test results. If the data significantly deviate from what we'd expect if the null were true, the data may lend support to the alternative hypothesis being a more accurate reflection of reality.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Significant? Public health officials believe that \(90 \%\) of children have been vaccinated against measles. A random survey of medical records at many schools across the country found that, among more than 13,000 children, only \(89.4 \%\) had been vaccinated. A statistician would reject the \(90 \%\) hypothesis with a P-value of \(P=0.011\) a) Explain what the P-value means in this context. b) The result is statistically significant, but is it important? Comment.

Stop signs Highway safety engineers test new road signs, hoping that increased reflectivity will make them more visible to drivers. Volunteers drive through a test course with several of the new- and old-style signs and rate which kind shows up the best. a) Is this a one-tailed or a two-tailed test? Why? b) In this context, what would a Type I error be? c) In this context, what would a Type II error be? d) In this context, what is meant by the power of the test? e) If the hypothesis is tested at the \(1 \%\) level of significance instead of \(5 \%,\) how will this affect the power of the test? f) The engineers hoped to base their decision on the reactions of 50 drivers, but time and budget constraints may force them to cut back to 20. How would this affect the power of the test? Explain.

\- Dogs Canine hip dysplasia is a degenerative disease that causes pain in many dogs. Sometimes advanced warning signs appear in puppics as young as 6 months. A veterinarian checked 42 puppies whose owners brought them to a vaccination clinic, and she found 5 with early hip dysplasia. She considers this group to be a random sample of all puppies. a) Explain we cannot use this information to construct a confidence interval for the rate of occurrence of early hip dysplasia among all 6 -month-old puppies. b) Construct a "plus-four" confidence interval and interpret it in this context.

More \(P\) -values Which of the following are true? If false, explain briefly. a) A very low \(P\) -value provides evidence against the null hypothesis. b) A high P-value is strong evidence in favor of the null hypothesis. c) A P-value above 0.10 shows that the null hypothesis is true. d) If the null hypothesis is true, you can't get a P-value below 0.01.

Ads A company is willing to renew its advertising contract with a local radio station only if the station can prove that more than \(20 \%\) of the residents of the city have heard the ad and recognize the company's product. The radio station conducts a random phone survey of 400 people. a) What are the hypotheses? b) The station plans to conduct this test using a \(10 \%\) leve of significance, but the company wants the significance level lowered to \(5 \%\). Why? c) What is meant by the power of this test? d) For which level of significance will the power of this test be higher? Why? e) They finally agree to use \(\alpha=0.05,\) but the company proposes that the station call 600 people instead of the 400 initially proposed. Will that make the risk of Type II error higher or lower? Explain.

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